A new poll suggests Detroit Rep. Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick could face serious trouble in her August 5 primary, thanks at least in part to a scandal involving her son, Mayor Kwame Kilpatrick.

The survey, conducted by Michigan-based EPIC-MRA from 7/27-28, surveyed 400 likely Democratic primary voters for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Kilpatrick, State Senator Martha Scott and ex-State Rep. Mary Waters were tested.

General Election Matchup
Kilpatrick........33
Waters...........29
Scott..............24

Her troubles stem largely from the Mayor, whose involvement in a scandal that includes an alleged cover-up of a now-very public affair with his former chief of staff has sent his favorable rating plummeting. Just 22% of voters in the district, which covers about half of Detroit, view Kwame Kilpatrick favorably, while 67% see him unfavorably.

That could explain why Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick's favorable rating is an anemic 45% favorable to 41% unfavorable. Both Scott and Waters have favorable numbers in the mid-40s, while their unfavorables are much lower.