Down-Ballot Drama
While Hoosier voters are probably praying the descended media storm leaves them alone after today's voting, they will have to pick a gubernatorial nominee as well as vote for a presidential candidate. And a final survey taken before the polls opened shows the race between two front-running Democrats is wide open.
The poll, conducted by Suffolk University, surveyed 600 likely Democratic primary voters, for a margin of error of +/- 4%, between 5/3-4. Architect Jim Schellinger and former Rep. Jill Long Thompson were surveyed.
Primary Election Matchup
(All / Men / Wom)
Thompson 35 / 34 / 36
Schellinger 27 / 26 / 28
Turnout is likely to be a huge factor in deciding the gubernatorial race. The two Democratic candidates are essentially tied among supporters of Barack Obama -- 34% of Obama backers said they would vote for Long-Thompson while 33% said they would choose Schellinger. But among backers of Hillary Clinton, Long Thompson runs away with it, leading by a big 39%-23% gap. If Clinton wins big in Indiana today, she might just bring Long-Thompson with her.
Still, the large number of undecided voters is a problem for both candidates. Pols have consistently shown Long-Thompson ahead, but with so many who haven't made up their mind -- as well as a big turnout of new voters expected today -- the race will remain in flux right up to the time the polls close.
As results come in tonight, take advantage of our handy clip-and-save of recent polls, updated with the Suffolk numbers. The results, from oldest to newest (Selzer & Co.: 4/20-23; Research 2000: 4/21-24; Howey-Gauge: 4/23-24; Suffolk: 5/3-4):
Sel R2K H-G Suf
Thompson 26 48 45 35
Schellinger 28 42 27 27
Margin -2 +6 +18 +8


