Topics
Administration
Colorado
Congress
Democrats
Elections
Governor -- Alabama
Governor -- Delaware
Governor -- Indiana
Governor -- Kentucky
Governor -- Louisiana
Governor -- Missouri
Governor -- Montana
Governor -- New Hampshire
Governor -- New Jersey
Governor -- New York
Governor -- North Carolina
Governor -- North Dakota
Governor -- Ohio
Governor -- Pennsylvania
Governor -- Rhode Island
Governor -- Texas
Governor -- Utah
Governor -- Vermont
Governor -- Virginia
Governor -- Washington
House
House -- Alabama -- 02
House -- Alabama -- 05
House -- Alaska
House -- Arizona -- 01
House -- Arizona -- 03
House -- Arizona -- 05
House -- Arizona -- 08
House -- California -- 04
House -- California -- 12
House -- California -- 26
House -- Colorado -- 02
House -- Colorado -- 04
House -- Connecticut -- 04
House -- Connecticut -- 05
House -- Florida -- 13
House -- Florida -- 15
House -- Florida -- 24
House -- Florida -- 25
House -- Georgia -- 05
House -- Georgia -- 10
House -- Georgia -- 12
House -- Idaho -- 01
House -- Illinois -- 01
House -- Illinois -- 03
House -- Illinois -- 06
House -- Illinois -- 10
House -- Illinois -- 11
House -- Illinois -- 14
House -- Illinois -- 18
House -- Indiana -- 07
House -- Indiana -- 09
House -- Iowa -- 03
House -- Kansas -- 02
House -- Kentucky -- 02
House -- Kentucky -- 03
House -- Louisiana -- 01
House -- Louisiana -- 06
House -- Maine -- 01
House -- Maryland -- 01
House -- Maryland -- 04
House -- Massachusetts -- 05
House -- Michigan -- 07
House -- Michigan -- 09
House -- Michigan -- 13
House -- Minnesota -- 01
House -- Minnesota -- 03
House -- Minnesota -- 06
House -- Mississippi -- 01
House -- Mississippi -- 03
House -- Missouri -- 09
House -- Nevada -- 02
House -- Nevada -- 03
House -- New Hampshire -- 01
House -- New Hampshire -- 02
House -- New Jersey -- 03
House -- New Jersey -- 07
House -- New Mexico -- 01
House -- New Mexico -- 02
House -- New York -- 13
House -- New York -- 21
House -- New York -- 24
House -- New York -- 25
House -- New York -- 26
House -- New York -- 29
House -- North Carolina -- 03
House -- North Carolina -- 08
House -- North Carolina -- 10
House -- Ohio -- 01
House -- Ohio -- 02
House -- Ohio -- 05
House -- Ohio -- 07
House -- Ohio -- 10
House -- Ohio -- 15
House -- Ohio -- 16
House -- Oregon -- 05
House -- Pennsylvania -- 03
House -- Pennsylvania -- 06
House -- Pennsylvania -- 10
House -- Pennsylvania -- 11
House -- Tennessee -- 07
House -- Tennessee -- 09
House -- Texas -- 07
House -- Texas -- 14
House -- Texas -- 22
House -- Utah -- 03
House -- Virginia -- 01
House -- Virginia -- 11
House -- Washington -- 08
House -- West Virginia -- 02
House -- Wisconsin -- 08
House -- Wyoming
International
Issues
Local Elections
Media
Miscellaneous
Morning Thoughts
Polls
Rankings
Republicans
Senate
Senate -- Alaska
Senate -- Arkansas
Senate -- Colorado
Senate -- Connecticut
Senate -- Georgia
Senate -- Idaho
Senate -- Illinois
Senate -- Iowa
Senate -- Kansas
Senate -- Kentucky
Senate -- Louisiana
Senate -- Maine
Senate -- Massachusetts
Senate -- Minnesota
Senate -- Mississippi
Senate -- Montana
Senate -- Nebraska
Senate -- New Hampshire
Senate -- New Jersey
Senate -- New Mexico
Senate -- North Carolina
Senate -- Oklahoma
Senate -- Oregon
Senate -- Pennsylvania
Senate -- South Carolina
Senate -- South Dakota
Senate -- Tennessee
Senate -- Texas
Senate -- Virginia
Senate -- Wyoming
WH 08
WH 08 -- Democrats
WH 08 -- Republicans

RealClearPolitics Politics Nation Blog

By Reid Wilson (AIM: PoliticsNation)

« Mitchell Leads Dem Poll | Blog Home Page | FEC Reports -- Western Great Lakes »

Morning Thoughts -- On To Seis de Maio

Good Thursday morning. It's beautiful here in Washington, D.C. -- one of those days you have to get outside just to be outside. As we write, Reid Wilson is in the air en route to the other Washington, but here is what this Washington is watching today:

--Congress is indoors today. After the Senate convenes to conduct morning business, it will continue consideration of S.B. 1315, the Veterans' Benefits bill. It's also set today to pass legislation that would ban the practice of discrimination based on genetic test results by health insurance companies and employers. Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton appeared and spoke on the Senate floor last night after campaigning in Indiana. Democrats delayed until 6 p.m. voting on a measure aimed at making it easier for women and others to sue one's employer over unequal pay, so the two candidates could participate. Republicans blocked the bill, without the help of John McCain, who was campaigning in Kentucky. Today, the House meets at 10 a.m. and continues voting on a myriad of bills.

--Clinton's big (popular vote) win in Pennsylvania -- it appears she will net 12 delegates, at most -- is so two days ago. The battle for Indiana and North Carolina is what's up now. And Clinton's big news is that the campaign raised $10 million in about 24 hours following Tuesday's primary. To put that in some perspective, Clinton pulled in $20 million in all of March. This should help Clinton, whose campaign is in debt after a long and expensive Keystone State battle.

--If you haven't yet read Michael Barone's breakdown of the Pennsylvania primary vote, be sure to check out his U.S. News blog. He of course looks at the voters and voting trends like no one else can. But he also notes the possibility that Democrats cannot be hoping for: After the last states have voted on June 3, Clinton wins the total popular vote and Obama wins the pledged delegate vote.

--Neither candidate is likely to make it to the magic 2,024 total delegate number without more superdelegates, and the Obama campaign is now focusing on how hard it will be for Clinton. In a conference call with reporters yesterday, Obama campaign manager David Plouffe said Clinton would need to win 57% of the remaining pledged delegates to cut Obama's pledged lead down to 100, and then would still need to win a "huge majority" of the undecided superdelegates. "At the conclusion of these primaries on June 3, we're going to be a very manageable number away from the nomination, and we're increasingly going to focus on that," Plouffe said. "Let's move away from the theoretical into the world of reality here."

--Obama now has a chance to make up at least a large chunk of the more than 200,000 net popular votes Clinton picked up in Pennsylvania. With the popular vote a major tool for the Clinton campaign to convince undecided superdelegates to support her, keeping his current 500,000 or so popular vote lead is imperative. In the RCP averages, Obama currently is up 15.5 points in North Carolina. Indiana is far closer right now, with Clinton leading by 2.2 points.

--Fact Of The Day: The Census Bureau reports that on July 1, 2006, there were 37.3 million people aged 65 or older living in the United States. This accounted for about 12% of the total population. By 2050, Census projects the number of those 65 or older to be 86.7 million, making up 21% of the population. One more interesting fact: Census estimates that about a quarter of those 65 or older right now are military veterans.

--Today On The Trail: McCain will be touring the Lower 9th Ward of New Orleans with Gov. Bobby Jindal, before holding a town hall event at Xavier University, and a fundraiser in Baton Rouge. Clinton will be crossing the state of North Carolina east-to-west, with events scheduled on the coast in Jacksonville, then inland to Fayetteville, and on to the scenic and mountainous Asheville in the western part of the state. Obama has no scheduled events today.

--Kyle Trygstad