Morning Thoughts: Moving On
Good Friday morning. We stayed up late for a total of about twenty seconds of candidate appearances on the Colbert Report? Really? We're not falling for that one again. Back in Washington, here's what the city is watching:
-- The House and Senate are in pro forma session, and no votes will occur today. President Bush is in Washington where he will meet with the President of the Republic of Korea, Lee Myung-Bak, who joined Congressional leaders for a photo opportunity yesterday. Meanwhile, Pope Benedict leaves Washington today to head to New York, where he will address the United Nations and hold a mass in Yankee Stadium, even though it's really the Mets who need prayers.
-- The day after a poor debate performance at the hands of moderators Charlie Gibson and George Stephanopoulos, Barack Obama was still talking about problems with the questions, which, he accurately pointed out, didn't turn to policy until 45 minutes in. Obama was furious, bringing up the debate during a rally in Raleigh, North Carolina, where he accused rival Hillary Clinton of being "in her element" around a Washington scene that "like[s] playing gotcha games," as The Swamp writes.
-- It's not just Obama who is mad. his advisers were furious, wondering where balance on Clinton's recent foibles was. And aside from an apology on Bosnia, they have a point. (Jay Newton-Small's wise observation: Where was Mark Penn and trade deal talk?) But the Obama campaign is making the best of a bad situation, using the debate to solicit donations, to complain about balance and even, potentially, to avoid debates in the future. North Carolina Governor Mike Easley has been urging Obama to commit to an April 27 debate in that state, though Obama strongly hinted yesterday that he thought 21 meetings between the two front-runners was enough, and that he thinks it's time to go campaigning.
-- And campaign he and Hillary Clinton will. Both are on long swings through Pennsylvania, which will culminate on Tuesday when voters there head for the polls. Clinton leads the latest RCP Pennsylvania Average by 6.4 points, and how one looks at the race there is determined by which candidate's spin one believes. If it's a neck-and-neck race, the winner of which will be hugely advantaged, you're in the Clinton camp. If it's going to be a Clinton blowout and Obama's just trying to make it respectable, you're listening to his side's spin.
-- But the expectations game is a fair one to play, and in truth the contest stands somewhere between those two extremes. Clinton is likely to win Pennsylvania, but the margin remains the question. If she takes a double-digit win, the race will likely continue on at least through May 6 contests in Indiana and North Carolina. If she pulls off just a narrow win, a wave of super delegates heading to Obama's side could be forthcoming. The key, as the Journal's Amy Chozick writes today, remains the delegate haul. Even if Clinton takes a big win, she can't possibly take over the pledged delegate lead on Tuesday, but a big majority of the delegates allowed would do a lot to keep her campaign afloat.
-- In Philadelphia, the race is hurting feelings over, well, race. 46% of the city is African American, and the city's new mayor, Michael Nutter, has become a star by endorsing, of all people, Clinton. The two go back decades; Nutter was a Clinton delegate in 1992, they crossed paths at the Democratic Leadership Council, and now he's introducing her at every rally in the city. That's angered many in the city's black community, the Harrisburg Patriot-News writes. (One person it hasn't angered: Rep. Chaka Fattah, the Obama backer who lost to Nutter in last year's Democratic mayoral primary. Fattah told Politics Nation at the debate on Wednesday that he knows Nutter's motivations are pure.) The 2008 Democratic primary contest has opened a number of wounds, and bad blood could end up remaining in many states' Democratic circles for a number of years. Just watch how easy Nutter's 2011 re-election battle will be.
-- On the Republican side (remember them?) John McCain is about to run one of the least traditional presidential campaigns in history, writing and following his own script, Politico's Jonathan Martin writes. From ten campaign managers around the country to a heavy reliance on free media, McCain's style is going to remind some of what Bill Clinton was so good at in the early 1990s: It's all about triangulation, using the Democratic nominee and President Bush to make himself look all the better. Meanwhile, next week, McCain will head to heavily African American parts of Alabama, labor-heavy Youngstown, Ohio, and the Appalachian Kentucky town of Inez, as USA Today reports, three areas McCain calls the "forgotten parts" of America.
-- Dirt-Digging Of The Day: In their attempt to leave no file behind, the Democratic National Committee's research shop is pouring over results of Freedom of Information Act requests with cabinet agencies, The Hill's Sam Youngman writes today. As the Democratic candidates squabble incessantly, the DNC has become louder in their McCain criticism, and the FOIA requests could produce even more to yell about.
-- Today On The Trail: Obama kicks off his five-day bus tour of Pennsylvania with town hall meetings in Erie and Williamsport before rallying in Philadelphia. Clinton has a town hall scheduled for Radnor, just outside of Philadelphia, then heads to Winston-Salem, North Carolina, for an event with the poet Maya Angelou. McCain is still in D.C., where he will attend the National Catholic Prayer Breakfast.



