Morning Thoughts: Welcome To Washington
Good Friday morning. Whenever politics starts to get a little tiring, it's good to think that Opening Day is just 11 days away, and that tipoff of the NCAA tournament is less than a week away. Here's what Washington is watching today:
-- The House is actually in session on a Friday, when it will continue considering amendments to the electronic eavesdropping bill that forced the chamber into secret session yesterday, the first in the House since 1983. The Senate, after sticking around late last night to pass their budget resolution -- the first time in six months that all 100 senators cast a vote, thanks to West Virginia Senator Robert Byrd, who's back from the hospital -- is taking today off. President Bush will address the Economic Club of New York and attend an RNC fundraiser there.
-- As Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama held a friendly three-minute chat on the Senate floor yesterday, Clinton's team was busy arguing that Obama "can't win the general election," as chief strategist Mark Penn said on a conference call yesterday, USA Today reports. Penn argued Obama's inability to win Pennsylvania raises serious doubts about the candidate's electability in November. The Obama campaign had a quick response: "It can't inspire too much confidence in the Clinton campaign when their pollster ignores both polls and math by making comments as divorced from reality as this one," spokesman Tommy Vietor said.
-- Both campaigns say the types of states they are winning means they are somehow more electable in November. Both campaigns have a point: Obama is attracting huge attention, much of it from independents, a not-insignificant portion of the general election base, and in states Democrats have to win to expand the playing field. Clinton is putting together the traditional Democratic coalition that Obama is not, a coalition that has won a lot of elections before. Still, it's important to remember that both Clinton and Obama are facing Democratic electorates, where Republicans and right-leaning independents are not involved and where voters are still largely voting for the candidate as opposed to against them. So electability, evidenced by vote totals now, is a tough argument to make.
-- Both Democrats, back in Washington to cast votes on the budget, are playing on John McCain's turf these days, and it's not the first time. After Clinton and Obama demonstrated what McCain called "new-found enthusiasm for suspending" earmarking, Obama followed through with a promise to release all his earmark requests, Lynn Sweet reported. That's something Clinton has yet to do, though of course doing so comes with a risk: Obama requested an earmark for $1 million for the hospital where wife Michelle worked, as NRO's Geraghty reports, drudging up past complaints of a mysterious salary bump for Michelle Obama.
-- But there is no question who is winning this debate: On Iraq and national security and now on federal spending, McCain is driving the debate, even though he may be relegated to Page 2 in the local paper. Adviser Charlie Black told MSNBC this morning that the campaign is smart enough to stay out of the Clinton-Obama firing circle, and the team has to be pleased with the notion that they can step back, start the general election campaign free of competition and scoop up a little money along the way. Meanwhile, the Democrats are trying to out-McCain each other, making the Republican's job that much easier (though still pretty difficult) in November.
-- The plan to redo Florida's primary faded as fast as it was proposed, with state party chair Karen Thurman admitting that any mail-in redo is looking more and more unlikely. But Michigan is moving toward a revote that NBC's Chuck Todd says is a real possibility, given that all the state's Democratic actors are involved and on board. That contest would be financed by private money donated to the state, which would then conduct the election on June 3.
-- Alternatively, writes Mark Halperin, a delegate plan under consideration would split Michigan's delegates down the middle (remember, Obama took himself off the ballot there) and seat Florida's delegation, giving each delegate a half a vote each (essentially what the RNC did to New Hampshire, South Carolina, Florida and Michigan). That would net Clinton about 19 pledged delegates, along with a few more from the ranks of both state's super delegates. Will Obama allow even a single delegate to go to Clinton when he doesn't have to? Or, at this point, envisioning a possible general election in which Michigan and Florida would start off being mad at the Democratic nominee, does he have to acquiesce to some sort of deal?
-- Guess who's back from the grave? Fresh off suggesting he would be honored to consider the vice presidency, Mitt Romney is forming a PAC that will allow him to assist down-ballot Republicans, Marc Ambinder reports. Close Romney advisers say he hopes to set up a policy shop that can help other Republicans come up with ideas. One theory: If Romney is left off a McCain-led ticket that loses after he virtually asked for the chance, he's perfectly set up to be the told-you-so candidate in 2012. Then again, something to worry over, Romney could find himself facing another policy-based blast from the GOP past that year: Watch out for Newt Gingrich.
-- Calendar Marker Of The Day: While Clinton and Obama were on Capitol Hill chatting together, sweet-talking super delegates or just walking presidentially down the stairs (click the link, you'll see), their campaigns agreed to do the one thing we need most: Another debate, this one on ABC News on a date to be determined (likely April 16) in advance of the Pennsylvania primary. Obama's on board for another one too, on April 19, to be held on CBS.
-- Today On The Trail: McCain has a morning town hall meeting in Springfield, Pennsylvania, followed by a fundraiser on Obama's turf in Chicago. Clinton will reportedly be endorsed by two prominent Pittsburghians (Pittsburghers?) -- including 20-something Mayor Luke Ravenstahl -- at one of her two scheduled events near the three rivers. Obama has no public events planned for the day and will be in Chicago.



