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Morning Thoughts: Media Overboard!

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Good Tuesday morning. Anxious for a vote to take place? A mere four weeks from today, Pennsylvanians will head to the polls to cast ballots. In the meantime, here's what Washington is watching:

-- Congress remains on spring break, while President Bush today will meet the champions of the 2008 Bassmaster Classic before stopping by to say hello to the King of Bahrain. Later, Bush addresses a reception benefiting the National Republican Senatorial Committee. Commerce Secretary Carlos Gutierrez may be advertising one of the NRSC's chief challenges today when he joins Alaska Senator Ted Stevens for a media availability after speaking to the Greater Fairbanks Chamber of Commerce.

-- On the presidential campaign trail, as Barack Obama lies on the beach in St. Thomas, Hillary Clinton's campaign team must be contemplating pulling out their hair. Even when their candidate gets a free shot at the media, she can't turn it into a positive day. While Clinton was giving a major speech on housing and the economy yesterday, her campaign team was considering how to deal with fallout from a story she says she mis-remembered. Instead of landing in Bosnia in a hail of gunfire in 1996, Clinton landed at a safe location where several entertainers gave a USO concert soon after, media reports and video footage show.

-- Clinton's other recent pet peeve: Chatter from the surrogate peanut gallery, which is getting loud enough to distract. If it's not James Carville asserting that Bill Richardson is akin to Judas, it's retired General Merrill "Tony" McPeak, an Obama backer, analogizing Bill Clinton to Joe McCarthy for implying that his wife somehow loves her country more than Obama does. Of course, that's not an entirely bad thing for the Clinton campaign, as national campaign co-chair Terry McAuliffe sent out an email yesterday hoping to raise money off the comments. The fundraising, however successful, can't bring back a day, as the media was consumed by McPeak's comments even though Clinton offered her own policy speech.

-- But the media was only interested in McPeak until something more inflammatory came along, and they didn't have to wait long. Wrote top Obama Iowa adviser Gordon Fischer, a former state Democratic Party chairman: "Bill Clinton cannot possibly seriously believe Obama is not a patriot, and cannot possibly be said to be helping -- instead he is hurting -- his own party. B. Clinton should never be forgiven. Period. This is a stain on his legacy, much worse, much deeper, than the one on Monica's blue dress." Fischer, a Des Moines lawyer, made the comments on his personal blog, where he later apologized twice. Obama flack Tommy Vietor told ABC's Jake Tapper that the candidate repudiated such statements, but nonetheless, a top Obama campaigner brought up the blue dress.

-- Meanwhile, Obama lies on a beach in St. Thomas, getting a tan and presumably enjoying drinks with little umbrellas in them. And he's still being treated like someone heaven-sent. When his campaign wouldn't reveal his vacation choice, tourists did the media's work for them, snapping photos and sending them to Fox News. Later, CNN cameras showed up like paparazzi to record the momentous occasion of Obama talking on his cell phone, wearing swim trunks and no shoes, billing it as "exclusive video."

-- All of that has to make Clinton wonder: What does she have to do to get a little positive media attention? While the conventional wisdom still suggests Obama is well ahead, enough so that he's got the Democratic nomination practically locked up unless he does something truly stupid, he has yet to mathematically clinch anything. Clinton is still in the race, and if she loses she will still bring the largest non-winning delegate bloc to the convention in Denver in party history. But nothing seems to be working right now -- not the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, not debates on Michigan and Florida, nothing -- and it's got to be justifiably frustrating.

-- As bad for Clinton, the expectations bar keeps going up. Of the three major states remaining -- Pennsylvania, Indiana and North Carolina -- Clinton is a favorite only in the Keystone State, leading by a wide 16.6 points, according to the latest RCP Pennsylvania Average. Conventional wisdom holds that the two campaigns are tied in Indiana and that Obama leads in North Carolina. But it's not enough for Clinton to battle Obama to a delegate draw in Indiana the same day he's increasing his delegate lead by winning North Carolina: Now, Clinton practically has to win all three states to continue past May 6.

-- John McCain's focus in the race has never been in doubt. At a town hall meeting in Chula Vista yesterday, McCain told veterans the U.S. effort in Iraq was succeeding, even as the number of American troops who have died in Iraq rose to 4,000. McCain also characterized the country's importance by reminding veterans at the event that Iraq is the central front in the war on terror, something on which he said General David Petraeus and Osama bin Laden agree, CBS News reported. Running a race on experience necessary to protect the country suggests McCain already knows who his opponent will be.

-- Playing Favorites Of The Day: Sure, it's his hometown paper, but the Chicago Tribune may be over the top on this one. The paper's website, as part of an ongoing series, features a "Barack Obama IQ" quiz, on which readers can rank themselves from "Yes, we can" to "No, we shouldn't." Suggested levels of success for a John McCain quiz: "My friends..." (to a New Hampshire town hall audience) and "My friends..." (growled at Mitt Romney).

-- Today On The Trail: Obama lies on a beautiful beach and hangs out with his kids, where the temperature was 76 degrees at 8 a.m. ET. Hillary Clinton holds a town hall meeting in Greensburg, Pennsylvania, where the current temperature hovers at 17 degrees, climbing to a high of just 49 degrees today. John McCain has a small business round table planned for Santa Ana, California today, where he will address the housing crisis.

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