As we wrote on Monday, Montgomery Mayor Bobby Bright's entry into the race to replace retiring Republican Rep. Terry Everett gives Democrats hope in one of the most ruby-red areas in the country. A poll taken in October for the DCCC and released this week shows just how strong that hope should be.

The survey, conducted by Democratic firm Anzalone Liszt Research, an Alabama-based firm that has a long history of contracting with the DCCC, surveyed 400 likely voters between 10/2-4 for a margin of error of +/- 5%. Along with Bright, the poll tested State Rep. Jay Love and State Senator Harri Anne Smith, both Republicans.

General Election Matchups
Bright 43
Smith 38

Bright 46
Love 27

Bright's biggest benefit, Roll Call's John McArdle reports, is his home base. The Montgomery media market will cover about 60% of the district's voters, and Bright's high name recognition there will give him a leg up on Smith, Love or any of the other Republicans seeking the seat. Bright also boasts a high favorable rating in the area.

Still, the poll shows Bright under 50% against both Republicans, and in a long race, especially with a presidential contest at the top of the ticket, the GOP maintains an excellent chance at retaining the seat. The district is more than 29% African American, and while President Bush won by huge margins near 30 points both times he ran, it will be interesting to note black turnout this November.

If Barack Obama heads the Democratic ticket, Alabama's Second District could be one of a few he helps bring with him. If turnout among African Americans is up big, Bright has more than a fighting chance.