http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/ en-us Copyright 2008 Fri, 10 Oct 2008 11:22:13 -0600 http://www.sixapart.com/movabletype/?v=3.2 http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss One week ago, the House of Representatives passed the financial bailout bill. At the end of that day, the RCP average stood at: Obama 49.2%, to McCain 43.4%. As of this writing today, the RCP average is essentially unchanged: Obama... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/10/why_no_traction_for_mccain.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/10/why_no_traction_for_mccain.html 2008 Presidential Election - The General Fri, 10 Oct 2008 11:22:13 -0600 In Is Anyone Responsible?, Stanford political scientist Shanto Iyengar tackles the implications of media "framing:" At the most general level, the concept of framing refers to subtle alterations in the statement or presentation of judgment and choice problems, and the... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/10/thoughts_on_the_second_debate.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/10/thoughts_on_the_second_debate.html Wed, 08 Oct 2008 14:07:27 -0600 I wanted to post a follow up to today's column. Ross Douthat over at the Atlantic was kind enough to mention it today. He writes: Jay Cost makes the strongest possible case for campaigning on Ayers, Wright et. al. in... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/10/follow_up.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/10/follow_up.html 2008 Presidential Election - The General Tue, 07 Oct 2008 11:19:16 -0600 If Niccolò Machiavelli were to envision an economic crisis that would cripple the Republicans prior to Election Day, he couldn't do much better than one precipitated by the banking industry. The Republican Party was founded in 1854 as one consequence... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/10/the_mccain_campaign_and_the_fi_1.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/10/the_mccain_campaign_and_the_fi_1.html 2008 Presidential Election - The General Tue, 07 Oct 2008 00:00:47 -0600 I noted with interest stories today discussing McCain and Obama opening up campaign offices in some far-flung places: McCain in Bangor, Maine and Obama in Omaha, Nebraska. Maine and Nebraska do not have reputations as swing states, so what the... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/10/nebraska_and_maine.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/10/nebraska_and_maine.html 2008 Presidential Election - The General Fri, 03 Oct 2008 14:51:32 -0600 The results of Monday's vote on the bailout bill, HR 3997, contain some illuminating patterns. A few people have noted that members of Congress facing competitive elections tended to vote against the bill. This is true, and significant. The roll... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/politics_of_bailout.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/politics_of_bailout.html Congress Tue, 30 Sep 2008 15:49:21 -0600 In this post, I'd like to chart the effect the financial crisis has had on each candidate's standing in the polls. The following graphs the RCP average from 9/7 to yesterday. As of this writing, the average of the most... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/on_the_state_of_the_race_1.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/on_the_state_of_the_race_1.html 2008 Presidential Election - The General Tue, 30 Sep 2008 00:11:18 -0600 Friday's debate was an enjoyable, engaging contest. These candidates have such sharply different styles - there were reasons to expect a good show. I for one was not disappointed. Barack Obama's initial answers to Jim Lehrer's lead questions were strong.... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/mccain_controlled_agenda_in_fi_1.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/mccain_controlled_agenda_in_fi_1.html 2008 Presidential Election - The General Sun, 28 Sep 2008 19:54:24 -0600 There has been a lot of discussion about McCain's decision to suspend his campaign. I'll toss in my two cents. I do not think it is a purely political move, a stunt or ploy designed only to advance McCain-Palin's message.... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/mccain_plays_it_likemccain.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/mccain_plays_it_likemccain.html 2008 Presidential Election - The General Wed, 24 Sep 2008 16:01:26 -0600 I'm not one who typically puts a lot of stock in campaign gaffes, but this one is different. Is he trying to lose western Pennsylvania? Somebody please forward this picture to Joe Biden. There are 7,400 people in Pennsylvania who... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/joe_biden_steps_in_it.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/joe_biden_steps_in_it.html 2008 Presidential Election - The General Tue, 23 Sep 2008 10:18:45 -0600 I have covered in some detail Barack Obama's "rural problem," which manifested itself in poor performances in primary battles east of the Mississippi. My sense - based on the poll data, press reports, and people with whom I speak in... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/does_mccain_have_a_rural_probl.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/does_mccain_have_a_rural_probl.html 2008 Presidential Election - The General Mon, 22 Sep 2008 10:37:49 -0600 There's been a lot of talk about this dynamic race - "game changers" and "moments" and things of that nature. Regular readers of mine know that I don't subscribe to the view of politics inherent to that kind of analysis.... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/the_state_of_the_race.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/the_state_of_the_race.html 2008 Presidential Election - The General Fri, 19 Sep 2008 13:49:34 -0600 Walter Shapiro's article on the state of the race in Ohio is interesting and very much worth a read. I want to talk specifically about Ohio later in the week. For now, I'd note that he is right say when... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/reflections_on_the_state.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/reflections_on_the_state.html 2008 Presidential Election - The General Mon, 15 Sep 2008 13:18:08 -0600 Question: In politics, what's the difference between a vicious smear attack and a tough but fair ad? Answer: Depends on whose side you're on! Vicious smear, or tough but fair? Vicious smear, or tough but fair? Some might say both... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/politics_or_paddycake.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/politics_or_paddycake.html 2008 Presidential Election - The General Fri, 12 Sep 2008 11:51:40 -0600 Back in June, the Obama campaign announced an 18-state advertising strategy. The states in the list were mostly your traditional swing states - but the Obama campaign had about half a dozen surprises on the list, states that George W.... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/update_on_obamas_first.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/update_on_obamas_first.html 2008 Presidential Election - The General Thu, 11 Sep 2008 11:16:34 -0600