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RealClearPolitics Electoral College

(270 Electoral Votes Needed To Win)

• RealClear Electoral Count
• No Toss Up States
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(Click on State or Table Below for Latest Polls and to Change Status)

Obama 228, McCain 185, Toss Ups 125  |  No Toss Ups: Obama 273, McCain 265

Solid Obama     Leaning Obama     Solid McCain     Leaning McCain     Toss Up     (Click Header to Sort)

State	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	RCP Average	RCP Status	2004	2000
Ohio (20)	43.3	44.5	McCain +1.2	Toss Up	Bush +2.1	Bush +3.5
Florida (27)	43.3	46.9	McCain +3.6	Toss Up	Bush +5.0	Bush +0.1
Virginia (13)	46.0	46.0	Tie	Toss Up	Bush +8.2	Bush +8.1
Michigan (17)	46.0	41.7	Obama +4.3	Toss Up	Kerry +3.4	Gore +5.2
Colorado (9)	45.2	44.8	Obama +0.4	Toss Up	Bush +4.7	Bush +8.4
Nevada (5)	44.3	45.3	McCain +1.0	Toss Up	Bush +2.6	Bush +3.5
New Mexico (5)	47.3	43.0	Obama +4.3	Toss Up	Bush +0.7	Gore +0.1
New Hampshire (4)	44.0	43.7	Obama +0.3	Toss Up	Kerry +1.3	Bush +1.3
Minnesota (10)	47.5	43.0	Obama +4.5	Toss Up	Kerry +3.5	Gore +2.4
North Carolina (15)	42.8	47.0	McCain +4.2	Toss Up	Bush +12.4	Bush +12.8
Iowa (7)	49.3	44.0	Obama +5.3	Leaning	Bush +0.7	Gore +0.3
Pennsylvania (21)	47.4	42.4	Obama +5.0	Leaning	Kerry +2.5	Gore +4.2
Indiana (11)	42.0	48.7	McCain +6.7	Leaning	Bush +20.7	Bush +15.7
Missouri (11)	42.7	49.7	McCain +7.0	Leaning	Bush +7.2	Bush +3.3
Wisconsin (10)	48.0	40.8	Obama +7.2	Leaning	Kerry +0.4	Gore +0.2
Oregon (7)	48.7	41.7	Obama +7.0	Leaning	Kerry +4.2	Gore +0.5
Georgia (15)	43.7	50.0	McCain +6.3	Leaning	Bush +16.6	Bush +11.7
New Jersey (15)	50.0	39.3	Obama +10.7	Solid	Kerry +6.7	Gore +15.8
Massachusetts (12)	51.3	38.7	Obama +12.6	Solid	Kerry +25.1	Gore +27.3
Washington (11)	50.0	39.5	Obama +10.5	Solid	Kerry +8.2	Gore +5.5
Texas (34)	38.0	48.8	McCain +10.8	Solid	Bush +22.9	Bush +21.3
Mississippi (6)	42.0	53.7	McCain +11.7	Solid	Bush +19.6	Bush +16.9
Kansas (6)	38.7	54.7	McCain +16.0	Solid	Bush +25.4	Bush +20.8
Maine (4)	47.0	32.0	Obama +15.0	Solid	Kerry +9.0	Gore +5.1
Kentucky (8)	38.3	54.3	McCain +16.0	Solid	Bush +19.9	Bush +15.1
California (55)	52.7	35.3	Obama +17.4	Solid	Kerry +9.9	Gore +11.8
Louisiana (9)	38.0	54.3	McCain +16.3	Solid	Bush +14.5	Bush +7.7
Arkansas (6)	33.0	49.3	McCain +16.3	Solid	Bush +9.7	Bush +5.4
New York (31)	53.0	37.0	Obama +16.0	Solid	Kerry +18.3	Gore +25.0
Connecticut (7)	55.3	36.7	Obama +18.6	Solid	Kerry +10.3	Gore +17.5
Tennessee (11)	36.3	55.0	McCain +18.7	Solid	Bush +14.3	Bush +3.9
Alabama (9)	34.7	56.3	McCain +21.6	Solid	Bush +25.7	Bush +14.9
Arizona (10)	37.3	49.0	McCain +11.7	Solid	Bush +10.5	Bush +6.3
Illinois (21)	57.7	36.0	Obama +21.7	Solid	Kerry +10.4	Gore +12.0