| 154 Safe or Not Up | 29 | 18 | 146 | 11 | 53 | 127 Safe or Not Up |
270 Electoral Votes Needed To Win (Recent Race Changes)
December 23: %
December 16: %
December 9: %
December 2: %
November 25: %
November 18: %
| Date |
State |
Previous Status |
|
New Status |
RCP Electoral Count |
RCP National Avg. |
| 11/2 | Montana | Leans Romney | »»» | Likely Romney | Obama 201 - Romney 191 | Obama +0.1 |
| 11/2 | Washington | Likely Obama | »»» | Safe Obama | Obama 201 - Romney 191 | Obama +0.1 |
| 10/28 | North Dakota | Likely Romney | »»» | Safe Romney | Obama 201 - Romney 191 | Romney +0.9 |
| 10/28 | Tennessee | Likely Romney | »»» | Safe Romney | Obama 201 - Romney 191 | Romney +0.9 |
| 10/28 | Texas | Likely Romney | »»» | Safe Romney | Obama 201 - Romney 191 | Romney +0.9 |
| 10/25 | North Carolina | Leans Romney | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 201 - Romney 191 | Romney +0.9 |
| 10/20 | Missouri | Leans Romney | »»» | Likely Romney | Obama 201 - Romney 206 | Obama +0.1 |
| 10/20 | New Jersey | Leans Obama | »»» | Likely Obama | Obama 201 - Romney 206 | Obama +0.1 |
| 10/18 | North Carolina | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Romney | Obama 201 - Romney 206 | Romney +1 |
| 10/17 | Montana | Likely Romney | »»» | Leans Romney | Obama 201 - Romney 191 | Romney +0.4 |
| 10/17 | New Jersey | Likely Obama | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 201 - Romney 191 | Romney +0.4 |
| 10/16 | Indiana | Leans Romney | »»» | Likely Romney | Obama 201 - Romney 191 | Romney +0.4 |
| 10/14 | New Mexico | Leans Obama | »»» | Likely Obama | Obama 201 - Romney 191 | Romney +1 |
| 10/13 | Missouri | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Romney | Obama 201 - Romney 191 | Romney +1.3 |
| 10/13 | South Carolina | Leans Romney | »»» | Likely Romney | Obama 201 - Romney 191 | Romney +1.3 |
| 10/11 | Michigan | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 201 - Romney 181 | Romney +0.7 |
| 10/10 | New Hampshire | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 217 - Romney 181 | Romney +1.5 |
| 10/10 | Pennsylvania | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 217 - Romney 181 | Romney +1.5 |
| 10/10 | Wisconsin | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 217 - Romney 181 | Romney +1.5 |
| 10/5 | Ohio | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 251 - Romney 181 | Obama +2.6 |
| 10/2 | Missouri | Leans Romney | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 269 - Romney 181 | Obama +3.3 |
| 10/1 | New Hampshire | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 269 - Romney 191 | Obama +4 |
| 9/26 | Ohio | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 265 - Romney 191 | Obama +4 |
| 9/21 | Georgia | Leans Romney | »»» | Likely Romney | Obama 247 - Romney 191 | Obama +3.5 |
| 9/20 | Connecticut | Leans Obama | »»» | Likely Obama | Obama 247 - Romney 191 | Obama +3.1 |
| 9/19 | Wisconsin | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 247 - Romney 191 | Obama +2.9 |
| 9/12 | Michigan | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 237 - Romney 191 | Obama +3.5 |
| 8/30 | Missouri | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Romney | Obama 221 - Romney 191 | Obama +0.6 |
| 8/24 | Missouri | Leans Romney | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 221 - Romney 181 | Obama +1 |
| 8/23 | Connecticut | Likely Obama | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 221 - Romney 191 | Obama +1 |
| 8/23 | Montana | Leans Romney | »»» | Likely Romney | Obama 221 - Romney 191 | Obama +1 |
| 8/21 | Michigan | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 221 - Romney 191 | Obama +2.7 |
| 8/11 | Wisconsin | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 237 - Romney 191 | Obama +4.6 |
| 8/1 | Michigan | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 247 - Romney 191 | Obama +2 |
| 7/28 | Missouri | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Romney | Obama 231 - Romney 191 | Obama +1.3 |
| 7/24 | Wisconsin | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 231 - Romney 181 | Obama +1.8 |
| 7/18 | New Mexico | Likely Obama | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 221 - Romney 181 | Obama +1.4 |
| 7/3 | Maine | Leans Obama | »»» | Likely Obama | Obama 221 - Romney 181 | Obama +2.6 |
| 6/27 | Arizona | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Romney | Obama 221 - Romney 181 | Obama +3 |
| 6/14 | New Jersey | Leans Obama | »»» | Likely Obama | Obama 221 - Romney 170 | Obama +0.8 |
| 6/7 | Michigan | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 221 - Romney 170 | Obama +2.2 |
| 5/31 | Nevada | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 237 - Romney 170 | Obama +2.3 |
| 5/29 | Michigan | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 243 - Romney 170 | Obama +2 |
| 5/22 | Michigan | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 227 - Romney 170 | Obama +1.9 |
| 5/15 | Wisconsin | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 243 - Romney 170 | Obama +1.8 |
| 5/3 | Nevada | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 253 - Romney 170 | Obama +3.4 |
| 5/3 | Pennsylvania | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 253 - Romney 170 | Obama +3.4 |
| 4/12 | Colorado | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 227 - Romney 170 | Obama +4.3 |
| 4/12 | Nevada | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 227 - Romney 170 | Obama +4.3 |
| 4/12 | New Jersey | Likely Obama | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 227 - Romney 170 | Obama +4.3 |
| 4/12 | Ohio | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 227 - Romney 170 | Obama +4.3 |
| 4/12 | Pennsylvania | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 227 - Romney 170 | Obama +4.3 |
| 4/10 | Arizona | Leans Romney | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 280 - Romney 181 | Obama +5.3 |
| 4/10 | Colorado | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 280 - Romney 181 | Obama +5.3 |
| 4/10 | Ohio | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 280 - Romney 181 | Obama +5.3 |
| 4/10 | Pennsylvania | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 280 - Romney 181 | Obama +5.3 |
| 4/4 | Nevada | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 233 - Romney 181 | Obama +4 |
| 2/23 | Wisconsin | Toss Up | »»» | Leans Obama | Obama 227 - Romney 181 | Obama +5.1 |
| 2/7 | Missouri | Leans Romney | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 217 - Romney 181 | Obama +4.2 |
| 2/2 | Iowa | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 217 - Romney 195 | Obama +1.9 |
| 2/2 | Nevada | Leans Obama | »»» | Toss Up | Obama 217 - Romney 195 | Obama +1.9 |