RealClearPolitics - Election 2010 - New York Senate

Print Polls

Candidates

Charles Schumer (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Jay Townsend (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

New York Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races: Governor | Senate (Special) | NY-1 | NY-2 | NY-4 | NY-13 | NY-19 | NY-20 | NY-22 | NY-23 | NY-24 | NY-25 | NY-27 | NY-29

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

2008: Pres | NY-13 | NY-25 | NY-26 | NY-29
2006: Governor | NY-19 | NY-20 | NY-24 | NY-25 | NY-26 | NY-29
2004: President

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Schumer (D)	Townsend (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	65.4	33.0	Schumer +32.4
RCP Average	10/18 - 10/30	--	61.8	32.6	Schumer +29.2
Siena	10/27 - 10/30	603 LV	64	32	Schumer +32
Marist	10/26 - 10/28	415 LV	60	36	Schumer +24
SurveyUSA	10/25 - 10/28	544 LV	62	32	Schumer +30
Quinnipiac	10/18 - 10/24	672 LV	64	32	Schumer +32
Rasmussen Reports	10/19 - 10/19	500 LV	59	31	Schumer +28

See All New York Senate - Townsend vs. Schumer Polling Data

(After October 4th registered voter poll results will not be added to RCP State Poll Averages.)

Race Analysis

Since the founding of the Republican Party in the 1850s, New York politics was divided between Republican upstate and Democratic New York City. The growth of the suburbs and the movement of the white working class toward the party of Eisenhower moved the balance toward the Republicans for a while. But as the suburbs moved back toward the Democrats in the 1990s and 2000s, the state likewise became solidly Democratic.

In 1998, Charles Schumer took advantage of this movement in the suburbs and handily defeated three-term Senator Alfonse D'Amato. Schumer has been re-elected handily ever since. The polls in the latest race suggest that he is still favored to win, albeit by a reduced margin.

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Schumer (D)	Townsend (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	65.4	33.0	Schumer +32.4
RCP Average	10/18 - 10/30	--	61.8	32.6	Schumer +29.2
Siena	10/27 - 10/30	603 LV	64	32	Schumer +32
Marist	10/26 - 10/28	415 LV	60	36	Schumer +24
SurveyUSA	10/25 - 10/28	544 LV	62	32	Schumer +30
Quinnipiac	10/18 - 10/24	672 LV	64	32	Schumer +32
Marist	10/18 - 10/20	505 LV	63	35	Schumer +28
Rasmussen Reports	10/19 - 10/19	500 LV	59	31	Schumer +28
Siena	10/14 - 10/18	647 LV	67	28	Schumer +39
New York Times	10/10 - 10/15	LV	61	21	Schumer +40
SurveyUSA	10/11 - 10/13	633 LV	63	30	Schumer +33
SurveyUSA	10/5 - 10/7	627 LV	60	30	Schumer +30
CNN/Time	10/1 - 10/5	585 LV	57	41	Schumer +16
Quinnipiac	10/1 - 10/5	1141 LV	63	32	Schumer +31
PPP (D)	10/1 - 10/3	592 LV	59	37	Schumer +22
Marist	9/19 - 9/22	617 LV	58	37	Schumer +21
SurveyUSA	9/20 - 9/21	572 LV	54	33	Schumer +21
Siena	9/16 - 9/21	801 RV	63	30	Schumer +33
Quinnipiac	9/16 - 9/20	751 LV	54	38	Schumer +16
Rasmussen Reports	9/16 - 9/16	500 LV	58	36	Schumer +22
Siena	7/6 - 7/12	760 RV	63	26	Schumer +37
Rasmussen Reports	6/16 - 6/16	500 LV	54	33	Schumer +21
Siena	6/7 - 6/9	808 RV	60	26	Schumer +34
Marist	5/3 - 5/5	686 RV	66	27	Schumer +39

(After October 4th registered voter poll results will not be added to RCP State Poll Averages.)