RealClearPolitics - Election 2010 - Georgia Senate

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Candidates

Johnny Isakson (R)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Michael Thurmond (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Georgia Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races: Governor | GA-2 | GA-8 | GA-12

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Isakson (R)	Thurmond (D)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	58.1	39.2	Isakson +18.9
RCP Average	10/19 - 10/28	--	57.3	32.8	Isakson +24.5
Mason-Dixon	10/26 - 10/28	625 LV	56	33	Isakson +23
Rasmussen Reports	10/24 - 10/24	750 LV	59	29	Isakson +30
SurveyUSA	10/21 - 10/24	601 LV	58	34	Isakson +24
Landmark (R)	10/19 - 10/19	3277 LV	56	35	Isakson +21

See All Georgia Senate - Isakson vs. Thurmond Polling Data

Race Analysis

In 2002, Georgia snapped. The state had been among the last in the South to cling to its Democratic roots: Bill Clinton carried the state in 1992, and a coalition of African Americans and rural whites had kept the Democrats in control of the Governor’s mansion, the legislature and even a Senate seat.

All of that changed in 2002, as rural whites revolted, throwing out the state’s Democratic governor, senator, and legislature. Two years later, Johnny Isakson rolled to a 58-40 win over Congresswoman Denise Majette.

There’s not much to indicate things will be different in 2010. Isakson has a decent opponent in State Labor Commissioner Mike Thurmond. But there's still no reason to believe that Isakson is vulnerable this cycle, or that Georgia voters are embracing President Obama’s agenda.

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Isakson (R)	Thurmond (D)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	58.1	39.2	Isakson +18.9
RCP Average	10/19 - 10/28	--	57.3	32.8	Isakson +24.5
Mason-Dixon	10/26 - 10/28	625 LV	56	33	Isakson +23
Rasmussen Reports	10/24 - 10/24	750 LV	59	29	Isakson +30
SurveyUSA	10/21 - 10/24	601 LV	58	34	Isakson +24
Landmark (R)	10/19 - 10/19	3277 LV	56	35	Isakson +21
Rasmussen Reports	10/6 - 10/6	750 LV	53	38	Isakson +15
Insider Advantage	9/27 - 9/27	412 LV	61	29	Isakson +32
Rasmussen Reports	9/21 - 9/21	500 LV	52	36	Isakson +16
Insider Advantage	9/16 - 9/16	632 LV	52	34	Isakson +18
Mason-Dixon	9/13 - 9/15	625 LV	52	33	Isakson +19
SurveyUSA	9/10 - 9/12	599 LV	56	34	Isakson +22
Insider Advantage	8/18 - 8/18	554 RV	47	35	Isakson +12
Rasmussen Reports	8/11 - 8/11	500 LV	55	41	Isakson +14
Rasmussen Reports	5/20 - 5/20	500 LV	57	30	Isakson +27
Rasmussen Reports	4/22 - 4/22	500 LV	51	35	Isakson +16
R2000/Daily Kos (D)**	4/5 - 4/7	600 LV	53	26	Isakson +27