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ShareWashington 8th District - Reichert vs. DelBene
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Reichert (R) | DelBene (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 52.1 | 47.9 | Reichert +4.2 |
| SurveyUSA | 10/18 - 10/20 | 639 LV | 52 | 45 | Reichert +7 |
| Daily Kos/PPP (D) | 10/9 - 10/10 | 1036 LV | 49 | 46 | Reichert +3 |
| SurveyUSA | 9/27 - 9/29 | 579 LV | 52 | 45 | Reichert +7 |
| SurveyUSA | 8/31 - 9/2 | 657 LV | 54 | 41 | Reichert +13 |
Race Analysis
Twenty years ago, the King County suburbs of Seattle were the heart of Republicanism in Washington. The rural voters in the eastern and southwestern portion of the state had not yet aligned with the Republicans, and Seattle proper was heavily Democratic. The district has elected moderate Republicans since it was created in 1982: Rod Chandler, Jennifer Dunn, and, in 2004, Dave Reichert.
At the same time, like many suburbs, King County tilted toward the Democrats in the 1990s and 2002. Dave Reichert – who became famous for successfully hunting down the Green River Killer, has never been elected with more than 53 percent of the vote.
In 2010, Reichert seemed set to face his stiffest competition to date, with Microsoft executive Suzan DelBene carrying the banner for the Democrats. But Seattle’s suburbs have swung back toward the Republicans during the Obama administration, and the total Republican vote in the GOP primary was 58 percent. Reichert will never be safe in a district that gave Obama 57 percent of the vote, but he should still feel pretty good about his chances this cycle.
Previous Election Results
| 2008: Reichert (R) 53%, Burner (D) 47% |
2008: Obama (D) 56%, McCain (R) 42% |
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| 2006: Reichert (R) 52%, Burner (R) 48% | 2004: Kerry (D) 51%, Bush (R) 48% |
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| 2004: Reichert (R) 52%, Ross (R) 47% | 2000: Gore (D) 49%, Bush (R) 47% |
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