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ShareOhio 1st District - Chabot vs. Driehaus
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Chabot (R) | Driehaus (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 51.5 | 46.0 | Chabot +5.5 |
| SurveyUSA | 9/28 - 9/29 | 594 LV | 53 | 41 | Chabot +12 |
| AAF/Ayers (R) | 8/16 - 8/21 | 400 LV | 47 | 45 | Chabot +2 |
| WeAskAmerica | 8/4 - 8/4 | 1001 RV | 51 | 39 | Chabot +12 |
| SurveyUSA | 1/12 - 1/14 | 600 LV | 56 | 39 | Chabot +17 |
Previous Election Results
| 2008: Driehaus (D) 53%, Chabot (R) 47% |
2008: Obama (D) 55%, McCain (R) 44% |
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| 2006: Chabot (R) 52%, Cranley (R) 48% | 2004: Bush (R) 50%, Kerry (D) 49% | ||
| 2004: Chabot (R) 60%, Bacal Harris (D) 40% | 2000: Bush (R) 53%, Gore (D) 47% |
Race Analysis
10/28/10 -- This district sent one of the more conservative Republicans to Congress from 1994 through 2008. That year, aided by huge turnout from the district's African American precincts, Steve Dreihaus upended Steve Chabot. Chabot is back for the rematch, and has led by double digits in much of the polling. It would definitely be an upset if Dreihaus returns to Congress.
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