| Poll | Date | Sample | McIntyre (D) | Pantano (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 53.7 | 46.3 | McIntyre +7.4 |
| SurveyUSA | 9/24 - 9/26 | 450 RV | 45 | 46 | Pantano +1 |
| 2008: McIntyre (D) 69%, Breazeale (R) 31% | 2008: McCain (R) 52%, Obama (D) 47% | ||
| 2006: McIntyre (D) 73%, Davis (R) 27% | 2004: Bush (R) 56%, Kerry (D) 44% | ||
| 2004: McIntyre (D) 73%, Plonk (R) 27% | 2000: Bush (R) 51%, Gore (D) 48% |
10/28/10 -- McIntyre has voted a fairly conservative line in this Wilmington-based district, but it might not be enough in a year like this. Polls show a very tight race, and he might get dragged under by the wave.

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