| Poll | Date | Sample | Nunnelee (R) | Childers (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 55.3 | 40.8 | Nunnelee +14.5 |
| The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D) | 10/9 - 10/17 | 603 LV | 44 | 39 | Nunnelee +5 |
| 2008: Childers (D) 55%, Davis (R) 44% | 2008: McCain (R) 62%, Obama (D) 37% | ||
| 2006: Wicker (R) 66%, Hurt (D) 34% | 2004: Bush (R) 62%, Kerry (D) 37% | ||
| 2004: Wicker (R) 79%, Washer (REF) 21% | 2000: Bush (R) 59%, Gore (D) 40% |
10/27/10 -- Travis Childers shocked the political world with his special election victory in this heavily Republican district, and managed to hold on in November of 2008. But this is a very different year, and even though Childers is one of the most conservative Democrats in the House, in this year it might not be enough to hold on.

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