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ShareMichigan 15th District - Steele vs. Dingell
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Dingell (D) | Steele (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 56.8 | 40.1 | Dingell +16.7 |
| EPIC-MRA | 10/16 - 10/19 | 400 LV | 53 | 36 | Dingell +17 |
| Rossman/Team TelCom | 10/4 - 10/4 | 300 LV | 40 | 44 | Steele +4 |
| Detroit News | 9/15 - 9/16 | 400 LV | 49 | 30 | Dingell +19 |
Previous Election Results
| 2008: Dingell (D) 71%, Lynch (R) 25% | 2008: Obama (D) 66%, McCain (R) 33 |
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| 2006: Dingell (D) 88%, Smith (G) 5% | 2004: Kerry (D) 61%, Bush (R) 38% |
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| 2004: Dingell (D) 71%, Reamer (R) 27% | 2000: Gore (D) 61%, Bush (R) 39% |
Race Analysis
10/27/10 -- A Dingell has represented this district since the 1930s, but some polling suggests that could be about to change. One Democratic pollster has Dingell trailing his opponent, while an independent pollster has him with a comfortable lead. Our bet is that Dingell has the closest race of his career, but anything can happen here.
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