| Poll | Date | Sample | Richmond (D) | Cao (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 64.6 | 33.5 | Richmond +31.1 |
| Daily Kos/PPP (D) | 10/2 - 10/3 | 605 LV | 49 | 38 | Richmond +11 |
| 2008: Cao (R) 50%, Jefferson (D) 47% | 2008: Obama (D) 75%, McCain (R) 23% | ||
| 2006: Jefferson (D) 57%, Carter (D) 43% | 2004: Kerry (D) 75%, Bush (R) 24% | ||
| 2004: Jefferson (D) 79%, Schwertz (R) 21% | 2000: Gore (D) 76%, Bush (R) 22% |
10/27/10 -- Do our "Holy Cao" jokes get a new lease on life? Democrat Cedric Richmond is certainly the favorite in this heavily Democratic New Orleans-based district where Barack Obama received 75 percent of the vote. We think Cao loses, but we can't rule out the upset (in one of the few districts where a Republican incumbent winning would truly be an upset).

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