| Poll | Date | Sample | Hanabusa (D) | Djou (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 53.2 | 46.8 | Hanabusa +6.4 |
| Aloha Vote/MRG | 10/23 - 10/23 | 620 LV | 50 | 45 | Hanabusa +5 |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | 10/12 - 10/19 | 399 LV | 45 | 48 | Djou +3 |
| The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D) | 10/2 - 10/7 | 406 LV | 41 | 45 | Djou +4 |
| Daily Kos/PPP (D) | 10/2 - 10/3 | 643 LV | 48 | 47 | Hanabusa +1 |
10/26/10 -- Republican Charles Djou picked up this seat with around 40 percent of the vote against a split Democratic field, becoming the first Republican to represent Hawaii in Congress since the 1980s. Polls suggest that he is running a close race to retain the seat against Democrat Colleen Hanabusa.
| 2008: Abercrombie (D) 77%, Tataii (R) 19% | 2008: Obama (D) 70%, McCain (R) 28% |
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| 2006: Abercrombie (D) 69%, Hough (R) 31% | 2004: Kerry (D) 52%, Bush (R) 47% |
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| 2004: Abercrombie (D) 63%, Tanonaka (R) 34% | 2000: Gore (D) 55%, Bush (R) 39% |

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