RealClearPolitics - Election 2010 - New York Governor

Print Polls

Candidates

Andrew Cuomo (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Carl Paladino (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

New York Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races: Senate (Special) | Senate | NY-1 | NY-2 | NY-4 | NY-13 | NY-19 | NY-20 | NY-22 | NY-23 | NY-24 | NY-25 | NY-27 | NY-29

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

2008: Pres | NY-13 | NY-25 | NY-26 | NY-29
2006: Governor | NY-19 | NY-20 | NY-24 | NY-25 | NY-26 | NY-29
2004: President

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Cuomo (D)	Paladino (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	61.4	34.1	Cuomo +27.3
RCP Average	10/18 - 10/30	--	55.0	35.0	Cuomo +20.0
Siena	10/27 - 10/30	603 LV	58	33	Cuomo +25
Marist	10/26 - 10/28	415 LV	56	37	Cuomo +19
SurveyUSA	10/25 - 10/28	544 LV	55	33	Cuomo +22
Quinnipiac	10/18 - 10/24	672 LV	55	35	Cuomo +20
Rasmussen Reports	10/19 - 10/19	500 LV	51	37	Cuomo +14

See All New York Governor - Paladino vs. Cuomo Polling Data

(After October 4th registered voter poll results will not be added to RCP State Poll Averages.)

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Race Analysis

For years, the stepping stone to a major party nomination was to be elected Governor of New York. From 1876 until 1948, Governors of the state were on the ticket as President or Vice President in 14 of 19 elections (other New Yorkers were on tickets in two of the remaining five elections). But as the years wore on, New York's prominence faded, and California and Texas replaced the Empire State as the home of Presidents.

In 2006, the state overwhelmingly elected Eliot Spitzer as its President. But Spitzer was caught up in a prostitution scandal, and the reins of power were transferred to his Lieutenant Governor, David Paterson. Then Paterson's popularity cratered, leaving an opening for Attorney General Andrew Cuomo to seek the Governor's mansion.

No major Republican stepped up to oppose Cuomo. Republicans nominated real estate developer Carl Paladino, and early polls showed a tightening race. But a number of high profile misteps by Paladino seemingly moved the race toward the Democrats, and Cuomo enters the final stretch as the favorite.

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Cuomo (D)	Paladino (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	61.4	34.1	Cuomo +27.3
RCP Average	10/18 - 10/30	--	55.0	35.0	Cuomo +20.0
Siena	10/27 - 10/30	603 LV	58	33	Cuomo +25
Marist	10/26 - 10/28	415 LV	56	37	Cuomo +19
SurveyUSA	10/25 - 10/28	544 LV	55	33	Cuomo +22
Quinnipiac	10/18 - 10/24	672 LV	55	35	Cuomo +20
Marist	10/18 - 10/20	505 LV	60	37	Cuomo +23
Rasmussen Reports	10/19 - 10/19	500 LV	51	37	Cuomo +14
Siena	10/14 - 10/18	647 LV	63	26	Cuomo +37
New York Times	10/10 - 10/15	LV	59	24	Cuomo +35
SurveyUSA	10/11 - 10/13	633 LV	59	33	Cuomo +26
SurveyUSA	10/5 - 10/7	627 LV	57	34	Cuomo +23
CNN/Time	10/1 - 10/5	585 LV	55	41	Cuomo +14
Quinnipiac	10/1 - 10/5	1141 LV	55	37	Cuomo +18
Siena	10/3 - 10/4	636 LV	56	32	Cuomo +24
PPP (D)	10/1 - 10/3	592 LV	53	38	Cuomo +15
Marist	9/27 - 9/29	591 LV	53	38	Cuomo +15
SurveyUSA	9/20 - 9/21	527 LV	49	40	Cuomo +9
Marist*	9/19 - 9/22	617 LV	52	33	Cuomo +19
Quinnipiac	9/16 - 9/20	751 LV	49	43	Cuomo +6
Siena*	9/16 - 9/21	801 RV	57	24	Cuomo +33
Rasmussen Reports	9/16 - 9/16	500 LV	54	38	Cuomo +16
Quinnipiac	8/23 - 8/29	1497 RV	60	23	Cuomo +37
Siena	8/9 - 8/16	788 RV	60	27	Cuomo +33
Quinnipiac	7/20 - 7/26	1165 RV	55	25	Cuomo +30
Rasmussen Reports	7/20 - 7/20	500 LV	58	29	Cuomo +29
Siena	7/6 - 7/12	760 RV	64	23	Cuomo +41
Rasmussen Reports	6/24 - 6/24	500 LV	55	25	Cuomo +30
Quinnipiac	6/15 - 6/20	1592 RV	59	23	Cuomo +36
Siena	6/7 - 6/9	808 RV	60	23	Cuomo +37
Siena	5/17 - 5/20	905 RV	65	22	Cuomo +43
Marist	5/3 - 5/5	686 RV	67	22	Cuomo +45
Rasmussen Reports	4/27 - 4/27	500 LV	55	25	Cuomo +30
Siena	4/12 - 4/15	806 RV	64	19	Cuomo +45
Quinnipiac	4/6 - 4/11	1381 RV	60	24	Cuomo +36
Rasmussen Reports	3/29 - 3/29	500 LV	51	28	Cuomo +23