RealClearPolitics - Election 2010 - Nevada Governor

Print Polls

Candidates

Brian Sandoval (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Rory Reid (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Nevada Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 State Races: Senate | NV-3

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Sandoval (R)	Reid (D)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	53.4	41.6	Sandoval +11.8
RCP Average	10/25 - 10/31	--	55.7	39.0	Sandoval +16.7
PPP (D)	10/30 - 10/31	682 LV	55	44	Sandoval +11
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	10/25 - 10/27	625 LV	54	38	Sandoval +16
Rasmussen Reports	10/25 - 10/25	750 LV	58	35	Sandoval +23

See All Nevada Governor - Sandoval vs. Reid Polling Data

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Race Analysis

Nevada is really something of a city-state. Although geographically massive, 86 percent of its votes are cast in the Las Vegas and Reno/Sparks metro areas. These are some of the fastest growing areas in the United States. The state’s politics are thus typically in a state of flux, with politicians having to reintroduce themselves every four years.

This already tempestuous political situation was thrown further into turmoil when the Las Vegas real estate market collapsed. In 2008, this allowed Barack Obama to win a huge victory in a state that typically had close elections. This year, the dynamics are not so favorable to the governing parties. In the Republican primary, voters swept aside scandal-tarred incumbent Governor Jim Gibbons in favor of former federal judge Brian Sandoval.

Sandoval will face off against Clark County Commission chair Rory Reid, son of the senator. In the general election, the ire that swept aside Gibbons will likely be directed against the Democrat, who is the son of an unpopular senator. Things have gotten bad enough for Reid that he has taken to dropping his last name from advertisements. If Sandoval wins and acquits himself well, he will probably be in the mix for a national run in 2012 or 2016.

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Sandoval (R)	Reid (D)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	53.4	41.6	Sandoval +11.8
RCP Average	10/25 - 10/31	--	55.7	39.0	Sandoval +16.7
PPP (D)	10/30 - 10/31	682 LV	55	44	Sandoval +11
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	10/25 - 10/27	625 LV	54	38	Sandoval +16
Rasmussen Reports	10/25 - 10/25	750 LV	58	35	Sandoval +23
CNN/Time	10/20 - 10/26	773 LV	58	34	Sandoval +24
Rasmussen Reports	10/17 - 10/17	750 LV	56	37	Sandoval +19
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	10/11 - 10/12	625 LV	52	37	Sandoval +15
Rasmussen Reports	10/11 - 10/11	750 LV	55	40	Sandoval +15
Suffolk University	10/8 - 10/11	500 LV	50	39	Sandoval +11
PPP (D)	10/7 - 10/9	504 LV	52	43	Sandoval +9
Rasmussen Reports	10/5 - 10/5	750 LV	53	40	Sandoval +13
CNN/Time	10/1 - 10/5	789 LV	56	33	Sandoval +23
Rasmussen Reports	9/28 - 9/28	750 LV	53	40	Sandoval +13
Retail Ass. of Nevada/POS (R)	9/21 - 9/23	500 LV	45	39	Sandoval +6
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	9/20 - 9/22	625 LV	51	37	Sandoval +14
Rasmussen Reports	9/13 - 9/13	750 LV	52	39	Sandoval +13
CNN/Time	9/10 - 9/14	789 LV	58	31	Sandoval +27
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen	9/11 - 9/11	1000 LV	56	38	Sandoval +18
Reuters/Ipsos	9/10 - 9/12	463 LV	60	31	Sandoval +29
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	9/7 - 9/9	625 LV	52	36	Sandoval +16
Rasmussen Reports	9/1 - 9/1	750 LV	60	36	Sandoval +24
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	8/23 - 8/25	625 LV	53	31	Sandoval +22
Rasmussen Reports	8/16 - 8/16	750 LV	55	40	Sandoval +15
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	8/9 - 8/11	625 LV	52	36	Sandoval +16
Reuters/Ipsos	7/30 - 8/1	462 LV	50	39	Sandoval +11
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	7/26 - 7/28	625 LV	50	31	Sandoval +19
Rasmussen Reports	7/27 - 7/27	750 LV	50	40	Sandoval +10
PPP (D)	7/16 - 7/18	630 RV	52	38	Sandoval +14
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	7/12 - 7/14	625 LV	47	36	Sandoval +11
Rasmussen Reports	7/12 - 7/12	750 LV	57	36	Sandoval +21
Rasmussen Reports	6/22 - 6/22	500 LV	55	33	Sandoval +22
Rasmussen Reports	6/9 - 6/9	500 LV	54	31	Sandoval +23
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	6/1 - 6/3	625 LV	51	37	Sandoval +14
R2000/Daily Kos (D)**	5/31 - 6/2	600 LV	51	41	Sandoval +10
Rasmussen Reports	4/27 - 4/27	500 LV	53	35	Sandoval +18
Mason-Dixon	4/5 - 4/7	625 RV	50	35	Sandoval +15
Rasmussen Reports	3/31 - 3/31	500 LV	55	34	Sandoval +21
Rasmussen Reports	3/3 - 3/3	500 LV	53	35	Sandoval +18
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	2/22 - 2/24	625 RV	51	29	Sandoval +22
Rasmussen Reports	2/3 - 2/3	500 LV	45	33	Sandoval +12
Mason-Dixon	11/30 - 12/2	625 LV	49	34	Sandoval +15
Mason-Dixon	10/6 - 10/8	500 LV	50	33	Sandoval +17
Mason-Dixon	8/17 - 8/18	400 LV	49	32	Sandoval +17