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ShareKansas Governor - Brownback vs. Holland
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Brownback (R) | Holland (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 63.4 | 32.1 | Brownback +31.3 |
| SurveyUSA | 10/22 - 10/26 | 561 LV | 59 | 32 | Brownback +27 |
| SurveyUSA | 10/10 - 10/12 | 619 LV | 60 | 32 | Brownback +28 |
| SurveyUSA | 9/14 - 9/16 | 602 LV | 59 | 32 | Brownback +27 |
| SurveyUSA | 8/12 - 8/15 | 588 LV | 67 | 25 | Brownback +42 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 8/4 - 8/4 | 500 LV | 57 | 34 | Brownback +23 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 6/30 - 6/30 | 500 LV | 59 | 31 | Brownback +28 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 5/11 - 5/11 | 500 LV | 58 | 27 | Brownback +31 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 2/24 - 2/24 | 500 LV | 55 | 33 | Brownback +22 |
Race Analysis
While Kansas has fairly consistently voted Republican at the federal level since the end of the Great Depression, the state has elected a number of Democratic governors. In fact, no Republican has succeeded another Republican in the state since the 1960s.
In 2002, Kathleen Sebelius was able to take advantage of a longstanding split between moderate and conservative Republicans to edge into the Governor’s mansion. She then won a large victory in 2006. After she joined Barack Obama’s cabinet as Secretary of Health and Human Services, Lieutenant Governor Mark Parkinson, a former Republican, took her place. Parkinson announced that he would not run for a full term.
Republican Senator Sam Brownback will be the GOP’s nominee against state Senator Tom Holland. Brownback has led handily in the polls and, barring a major meltdown, will be the state’s next governor.
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