Race Summary

With low approval ratings at home, Gordon Smith appears to be in serious trouble this year. His ratings in Oregon have been close to that of Pres. Bush, who, despite his absence at the top of the ballot, could still prove to be a drag on Smith's campaign. Though Smith has one of the most moderate records in the Senate, Democrats are poised to snatch this seat.

Democrats got their candidate in State House Speaker Jeff Merkley, who faced a bitter and competitive primary against activist Steve Novick. Merkley is in for another tough campaign now, as he takes on a well-funded and seasoned Smith.

In 2006, Democrats easily won re-election to the governorship and also wrestled away control of the State House. The state has voted for a Democrat in the last five presidential eletions.

Previous Election Results

Senate
2004: Wyden (D) 63, King (R) 32
2002: Smith (R) 56, Bradbury (D) 40
1998: Wyden (D) 61, Lim (R) 34
1996: Smith (R) 56, Bruggere (D) 46

President
2004: Kerry (D) 51, Bush (R) 47
2000: Gore (D) 47, Bush (R) 47
1996: Clinton (D) 47, Dole (R) 39

Demographics

Population (2007 est.): 3,747,455
Registered Voters: Dem 764,255 | Rep 687,898 | Other 510,409  
Occupation: Blue Collar 23.9% | White Collar 59.1% | Gray Collar 17.0%
Race: White 83.5% | Hispanic 8.0% | Asian 2.9% | Two+ races 2.4%