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Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Baucus (D) | Kelleher (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPP (D) | 10/31 - 11/2 | 2734 LV | 71 | 26 | Baucus +45 |
| Rasmussen | 9/7 - 9/7 | 700 LV | 64 | 31 | Baucus +33 |
Race Summary
Perennial canddiate Bob Kelleher surprisingly won the six-way Republican primary in June. He'll get no such surprise in November, when entrenched Sen. Max Baucus is expected to win handily.
Baucus would have been heavily favored over any Republican, including his two closest competitors in pre-primary polling -- Michael Lange and Kirk Bushman. The 85-year-old Republican nominee, who advocates a switch to a federal parliamentary government, has said he will not fundraise.
Baucus is running for a 6th term in the Senate. The current Senate Finance Committee chairman served two terms in the House before winning election to the upper chamber in 1978.
Previous Election Results
Senate
2006: Tester (D) 49, Burns (R) 44
2002: Baucus (D) 63, Taylor (R) 32
2000: Burns (R) 51, Schweitzer (D) 47
1996: Baucus (D) 50, Rehberg (R) 45
President
2004: Bush (R) 59, Kerry (D) 39
2000: Bush (R) 58, Gore (D) 33
1996: Dole (R) 44, Clinton (D) 41
Demographics
Population (2007 est.): 957,861
Registered Voters: N/A
Occupation: Blue Collar 22.0% | White Collar 58.6% | Gray Collar 19.4%
Race: White 89.5% | Native Am. 6.0% | Hispanic 2.0% | Two+ Races 1.5%
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