Florida: McCain vs. Obama

2008: FL-8, FL-16, FL-21, FL-24, FL-25 | 2006: Gov, FL-13, FL-16, FL-22 | 2004: President, Senate

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEObama (D)McCain (R)Spread
Final Results------50.948.4Obama +2.5
RCP Average10/27 - 11/03----49.047.2Obama +1.8
FOX News/Rasmussen11/02 - 11/021000 LV3.04950McCain +1
SurveyUSA10/31 - 11/03691 LV3.85047Obama +3
Reuters/Zogby10/31 - 11/03678 LV4.14948Obama +1
Quinnipiac10/27 - 11/021773 LV2.34745Obama +2
ARG10/29 - 10/31600 LV4.05046Obama +4
Mason-Dixon10/29 - 10/30625 LV4.04947Obama +2

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Recent Commentary & News Stories

- Center Right Nation Leans to the Left - Thomas Schaller, Baltimore Sun

- The Era of Division Remains - Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call

- What's at Stake in Georgia's Senate Runoff - Michael Grunwald, Time

- The Truth About the Election - Elizabeth Drew, NY Review of Books

- Mr. Jefferson and Mr. Hamilton - John Feehery, Politico

See All Florida: McCain vs. Obama Commentary & News Stories

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Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEObama (D)McCain (R)Spread
Final Results------50.948.4Obama +2.5
RCP Average10/27 - 11/03----49.047.2Obama +1.8
FOX News/Rasmussen11/02 - 11/021000 LV3.04950McCain +1
SurveyUSA10/31 - 11/03691 LV3.85047Obama +3
Reuters/Zogby10/31 - 11/03678 LV4.14948Obama +1
Strategic Vision (R)10/31 - 11/021200 LV3.04947Obama +2
PPP (D)10/31 - 11/021717 LV2.45048Obama +2
Quinnipiac10/27 - 11/021773 LV2.34745Obama +2
ARG10/29 - 10/31600 LV4.05046Obama +4
Mason-Dixon10/29 - 10/30625 LV4.04947Obama +2
FOX News/Rasmussen10/26 - 10/261000 LV3.05147Obama +4
LA Times/Bloomberg10/25 - 10/27639 LV3.05043Obama +7
CNN/Time10/23 - 10/28747 LV3.55147Obama +4
National Journal/FD10/23 - 10/27402 RV4.94844Obama +4
Reuters/Zogby10/23 - 10/26603 LV4.14747Tie
Suffolk10/23 - 10/26600 LV--4944Obama +5
Associated Press/GfK10/22 - 10/26600 LV4.04543Obama +2
Quinnipiac10/22 - 10/261435 LV2.64745Obama +2
Politico/InAdv10/22 - 10/22562 LV5.04847Obama +1
Strategic Vision (R)10/20 - 10/221200 LV3.04648McCain +2
St. Petersburg Times10/20 - 10/22800 LV3.54942Obama +7
NBC/Mason-Dixon10/20 - 10/21625 LV4.04546McCain +1
FOX News/Rasmussen10/19 - 10/191000 LV3.04849McCain +1
Quinnipiac10/16 - 10/211433 LV2.64944Obama +5
PPP (D)10/16 - 10/191158 LV2.94847Obama +1
SurveyUSA10/16 - 10/16553 LV4.34749McCain +2
Research 200010/13 - 10/15600 LV4.04945Obama +4
CNN/Time10/11 - 10/14765 LV3.55146Obama +5
InAdv/PollPosition10/13 - 10/13612 LV3.84844Obama +4
FOX News/Rasmussen10/12 - 10/121000 LV3.05146Obama +5
Research 200010/06 - 10/08600 LV4.04944Obama +5
Rasmussen10/08 - 10/08700 LV4.05047Obama +3
Strategic Vision (R)10/06 - 10/081200 LV3.05244Obama +8
Mason-Dixon10/04 - 10/06625 LV4.04846Obama +2
FOX News/Rasmussen10/05 - 10/051000 LV3.05245Obama +7
Florida Chamber (R)09/30 - 10/01619 RV4.04245McCain +3
CNN/Time09/28 - 09/30770 LV3.55147Obama +4
InAdv/PollPosition09/30 - 09/30532 LV4.04946Obama +3
Suffolk/WSVN09/27 - 09/30600 LV--4642Obama +4
Quinnipiac09/27 - 09/29836 LV3.45143Obama +8
FOX News/Rasmussen09/28 - 09/28500 LV4.54747Tie
SurveyUSA09/27 - 09/28599 LV4.14748McCain +1
PPP (D)09/27 - 09/28941 LV3.24946Obama +3
Rasmussen09/24 - 09/24700 LV4.04748McCain +1
Strategic Vision (R)09/21 - 09/231200 LV3.54548McCain +3
FOX News/Rasmussen09/21 - 09/21500 LV4.54651McCain +5
NBC/Mason-Dixon09/16 - 09/18625 LV4.04745Obama +2
Sun-Sentinel/R200009/15 - 09/18600 LV4.04546McCain +1
SurveyUSA09/16 - 09/17707 LV3.84551McCain +6
Miami Herald/SP Times09/14 - 09/17800 LV3.54547McCain +2
CNN/Time09/14 - 09/16907 RV3.54848Tie
FOX News/Rasmussen09/14 - 09/14500 LV4.54449McCain +5
National Journal/FD09/11 - 09/15400 RV4.94444Tie
InAdv/PollPosition09/10 - 09/10511 LV4.34250McCain +8
Quinnipiac09/05 - 09/091032 LV2.74350McCain +7
FOX News/Rasmussen09/07 - 09/07500 LV4.54848Tie
PPP (D)09/06 - 09/07986 LV3.14550McCain +5
Mason-Dixon08/25 - 08/26625 LV--4544Obama +1
Strategic Vision (R)08/22 - 08/241200 LV3.04249McCain +7
Quinnipiac08/17 - 08/241069 LV--4347McCain +4
Kitchens Group (D)08/18 - 08/21605 LV--3942McCain +3
Rasmussen08/18 - 08/18700 LV4.54648McCain +2
InAdv/PollPosition08/11 - 08/11418 LV5.04448McCain +4
SurveyUSA08/01 - 08/03679 LV--4450McCain +6
PPP (D)07/30 - 08/02800 LV--4447McCain +3
Quinnipiac07/23 - 07/291238 LV2.84644Obama +2
McLaughlin (R)07/20 - 07/281600 LV--4045McCain +5
Rasmussen07/22 - 07/22500 LV--4947Obama +2
Strategic Vision (R)06/27 - 06/291200 LV--4149McCain +8
PPP (D)06/26 - 06/29723 LV--4644Obama +2
Rasmussen06/26 - 06/26500 LV--4148McCain +7
Rasmussen06/18 - 06/18500 LV--3947McCain +8
Quinnipiac06/09 - 06/161453 LV2.64743Obama +4
ARG*06/13 - 06/17600 LV--4944Obama +5
Quinnipiac05/13 - 05/201419 RV2.64145McCain +4
Rasmussen05/19 - 05/19500 LV--4050McCain +10
Quinnipiac04/23 - 04/291411 RV--4344McCain +1
Rasmussen04/10 - 04/10500 LV--3853McCain +15
Quinnipiac03/24 - 03/311136 RV--3746McCain +9
PPP (D)03/15 - 03/16618 LV--3950McCain +11
Rasmussen03/12 - 03/12500 LV--4347McCain +4
SurveyUSA02/26 - 02/28632 RV--4547McCain +2
Mason-Dixon02/21 - 02/24625 RV--3747McCain +10
Rasmussen02/16 - 02/16500 LV--3753McCain +16
Quinnipiac02/06 - 02/121009 LV--3941McCain +2
St. Petersburg Times11/04 - 11/07800 RV--4547McCain +2
Quinnipiac10/17 - 10/221025 RV--4242Tie
Quinnipiac10/01 - 10/08869 RV--3941McCain +2
Quinnipiac09/03 - 09/091141 RV--3942McCain +3

All Commentary & News Stories

- Center Right Nation Leans to the Left - Thomas Schaller, Baltimore Sun

- The Era of Division Remains - Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call

- What's at Stake in Georgia's Senate Runoff - Michael Grunwald, Time

- The Truth About the Election - Elizabeth Drew, NY Review of Books

- Mr. Jefferson and Mr. Hamilton - John Feehery, Politico

- Iraq's Costly Success - Michael Gerson, Washington Post

- Obama's Transformational Network - E. J. Dionne, Houston Chronicle

- Can 'Progressives' Be 'Liberals' Again? - Michael Lind, Salon

- Electoral Polarization Persists Under Obama - Jay Cost, RealClearPolitics

- Lessons Spoke to Nation's Mood - Larry Sabato, Richmond Times-Dispatch

- Gergen & Hart Analyze Obama's Win - Jann Wenner, Rolling Stone

- Myths About a Mythic Election - Chris Cillizza, Washington Post

- How Political Eras End and Begin - Ron Suskind, NY Times Magazine

- A Center-Left Nation - Tod Lindberg, Washington Post

- Palin's Unfortunate Coattails - Wall Street Journal

- The Obama Presidency and a New Liberal Order - Peter Beinart, Time

- Obama Gets the Clinton Band Back Together - Smith & Brown, Politico

- Obama's Promise to Pro-Lifers - E.J. Dionne, Houston Chronicle

- The Party of the South and Nowhere Else - Steve Kornacki, NY Observer

- America Throws Long - Peggy Noonan, Wall Street Journal

- Youthfulness The Idiom Of American Politics - Rich Lowry, New York Post

- For Women, It's Not Gender But Agenda - Ellen Goodman, Boston Globe

- Soundbites the Least of Bush's Mistakes - Marie Cocco, Indianapolis Star

- This Election Has Not 'Realigned' the Country - Jennifer Marsico, WSJ

- Goodbye, Reagan Democrats - Stan Greenberg, New York Times

- Some Positive Election Reactions from the Right - Dennis Prager, Townhall

- Why Obama Looks Like a One Termer - James Pethokoukis, US News & WR

- Pride in our Past, Hope in the Future - Madeleine Albright, Huffington Post

- The Democrats' Secret Health Care Plan - Jonathan Cohn, New Republic

- Conservatives, We Blew It - P.J. O'Rourke, Weekly Standard

- The Law of Unintended Economic Consequences - Wesbury & Stein, Forbes

- The Failure of Big Government Conservatism - Ralph Reiland, American Spectator

- Have We Witnessed a Revolution? - Blake Dvorak, RCP

- Was Last Week's Vote a Realignment? - Jay Cost, RealClearPolitics

- The New Liberalism - George Packer, The New Yorker

- The McCain I Know - Mark Salter, The Daily Beast

- Three Men for Today's Challenges - Richard Cohen, Washington Post

- A Disturbing Trend For the GOP - J.C. Watts, Las Vegas Review-Journal

- How Obama Won - Ryan Lizza, The New Yorker

- Obama Has Much to Prove - David Shribman, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

- Election '08: Irony Abounds - George Will, Sacramento Bee

- The Week Americans Reclaimed Their Country - Frank Rich, NY Times

- The Unity Fantasy - Andrew Ferguson, Weekly Standard

- The GOP's Deep Hole - Norman Ornstein, Los Angeles Times

- The Right Needs to Get Centered - Rich Lowry, Washington Post

- Triumph of Temperament, Not Policy - Michael Barone, US News & WR

- A Mandate for Progressivism - David Sirota, Salon

- Rahm Emanuel: Expect a Pragmatic White House - Jason Riley, WSJ

- Obama: Radical Moderate - Christopher Caldwell, Financial Times

- America Should Be Proud - Bob Herbert, New York Times

- Now It's Our Turn to Hope - William Kristol, Weekly Standard

- Obama's Risky Emanuel Pick - Steve Kornacki, New York Observer

- What the Recession Means for Foreign Policy - Richard Haass, Wall St. Jrnl

- Gingrich 2012? - Robert Novak, Chicago Sun-Times

- Barack Obama, CEO in Chief - Nina Easton, Fortune

- Obama's Calm Demeanor Will Be Tested - Ann McFeatters, Boston Herald

- How Obama Should Handle the Press - George Packer, New Yorker

- 'Center-Right' America Lurches Further Left - Mark Steyn, OC Register

- Slow Learning Republicans - Jonathan Chait, New Republic

- The Republican Challenge Going Forward - Fred Barnes, Weekly Standard

- Why I'll Miss President Bush - Jim Towey, Wall Street Journal

- Obama Will Never Be a Forgotten President - Robert Dallek, The Telegraph

- A Better Fiscal Stimulus - Chicago Tribune

- A Real Realignment - Harold Meyerson, Washington Post

- Moderates Made Obama President - Doug Schoen, New York Daily News

- Chief Executive or Business-Basher? - John Gapper, Financial Times

- Swing Voters Don't Want Big Government - Pat Toomey, WSJ

- The Meaning of Obama's Win - Nancy Gibbs, Time

- Stepping into the Sunshine - Eugene Robinson, Washington Post

- Closing the Door on Victimhood - Joan Vennochi, Boston Globe

- Make Haste Slowly, President Obama? - Victor Davis Hanson, NRO

- Note to Obama: Now Is the Time to Be Bold - Errol Louis, NY Daily News

- Now We Know: The Left's View of US Is Wrong - Greg Sheridan, Australian

- 'Yes We Can.' But Can He? - Timothy Garton Ash, Globe and Mail

- How the President-Elect Did It - Karl Rove, Wall Street Journal

- Landslide That Doesn't Feel All Liberal - Froma Harrop, Providence Journal

- Unity? No, Thank You - David Harsanyi, Denver Post

- Glow of Obama's Win Good Enough For Now - John Heilemann, NY Mag

- Republicans: 1st Day of the Rest of Your Lives - Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call

- What Would Goldwater Do? - George Will, Washington Post

- A Masterclass in Democracy - Times of London

- The World Cheers, Russia Challenges - Washington Post

- Meet Obama's Real Opposition - Wall Street Journal

- Goodbye, Bradley Effect - Boston Globe

- GOP Must Choose Between Two Futures - David Frum, The Telegraph

- Dems Add Suburbs to Growing Coalition - MacGillis & Cohen, Wash Post

- Miraculous March to the White House - Steve Forbes, Forbes

- The Audacity of America - Steve Chapman, Chicago Tribune

- It Is a New Day in America - Laurence Tribe, Forbes

- Obama Recognized the Desire for Change - Gerard Baker, Times of London

- Obama's Transcendence is Beyond Race - Ron Fournier, Associated Press

- Ten Reasons Why Obama Won - Carl Cannon, Reader's Digest

- America's History Gives Way to Its Future - Kevin Merida, Washington Post

- Tide Turned as Economic Crisis Peaked - Monica Langley, Wall St. Journal

- The Age of Obama: Will He Govern as He Ran? - Jon Meacham, Newsweek

- McCain's Concession - Stephen Hayes, Weekly Standard

- World Welcomes Obama with Open Arms - Christiane Amanpour, CNN

- A Huge Victory for Chicago - Carol Marin, Chicago Sun-Times

- In the Democratic Senate, Could Moderates Rule? - Jay Carney, Time

- In Lincoln's Shadow - Michael Cohen, New York Times