RealClearPolitics - Final Democratic Results

Obama (D) vs. McCain (R)
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No Toss Up States

Ohio (20 Electoral Votes)
Pennsylvania (21 EV)
Michigan (17 EV)
Wisconsin (10 EV)
New Hampshire (4 EV)
Virginia (13 EV)
Florida (27 EV)
Missouri (11 EV)
Colorado (9 EV)
New Mexico (5 EV)
Nevada (5 EV)
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Mississippi, New Hampshire,
New Mexico, North Carolina,
Oregon & Virginia

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Final Democratic Results

Iowa Democratic Caucus

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama	Clinton	Edwards	Biden	Richardson	Spread
Final Results	--	--	37.5	29.4	29.7	0.9	2.1	Obama +7.8
RCP Average	12/26 - 01/02	--	30.8	29.2	26.0	5.4	5.2	Obama +1.6
InsiderAdvantage	01/02 - 01/02	415 LV	34	32	33	--	--	Obama +1.0
American Res. Group	12/31 - 01/02	600 LV	25	34	21	8	6	Clinton +9.0
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby	12/30 - 01/02	905 LV	31	24	27	5	7	Obama +4.0
Strategic Vision (R)	12/28 - 12/30	600 LV	32	27	29	5	2	Obama +3.0
Des Moines Register	12/27 - 12/30	800 LV	32	25	24	4	6	Obama +7.0
CNN	12/26 - 12/30	482 LV	31	33	22	5	5	Clinton +2.0

New Hampshire Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama	Clinton	Edwards	Richardson	Spread
Final Results	--	--	36.4	39.0	16.9	4.6	Clinton +2.6
RCP Average	01/05 - 01/07	--	38.3	30.0	18.3	5.7	Obama +8.3
American Res. Group	01/06 - 01/07	600 LV	40	31	20	4	Obama +9.0
Suffolk/WHDH	01/06 - 01/07	500 LV	39	34	15	4	Obama +5.0
Rasmussen	01/05 - 01/07	1774 LV	37	30	19	8	Obama +7.0
ReutersC-Span/Zogby	01/05 - 01/07	862 LV	42	29	17	5	Obama +13.0
CBS News	01/05 - 01/06	323 LV	35	28	19	5	Obama +7.0
Marist	01/05 - 01/06	636 LV	36	28	22	7	Obama +8.0
CNN/WMUR/UNH	01/05 - 01/06	599 LV	39	30	16	7	Obama +9.0

Michigan Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Uncommitted	Spread
Final Results	--	--	55.4	39.9	Clinton +15.5
RCP Average	01/06 - 01/14	--	54.0	30.5	Clinton +23.5
American Res. Group	01/12 - 01/14	600 LV	56	31	Clinton +25.0
Detroit News	01/09 - 01/12	600 LV	56	33	Clinton +23.0
Detroit Free Press	01/09 - 01/11	600 LV	56	30	Clinton +26.0
Rossman Group (D)	01/06 - 01/07	300 LV	48	28	Clinton +20.0

Nevada Democratic Caucus

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Edwards	Spread
Final Results	--	--	50.7	45.2	3.8	Clinton +5.5
RCP Average	01/09 - 01/18	--	37.8	33.8	18.0	Clinton +4.0
ReutersC-Span/Zogby	01/17 - 01/18	757 LV	45	39	6	Clinton +6.0
Mason-Dixon	01/14 - 01/16	500 LV	41	32	14	Clinton +9.0
American Res. Group	01/09 - 01/14	600 LV	35	32	25	Clinton +3.0
Research 2000	01/11 - 01/13	500 LV	30	32	27	Obama +2.0

South Carolina Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama	Clinton	Edwards	Spread
Final Results	--	--	55.4	26.5	17.6	Obama +28.9
RCP Average	01/15 - 01/25	--	38.4	26.8	19.2	Obama +11.6
ReutersC-Span/Zogby	01/24 - 01/25	816 LV	41	26	19	Obama +15.0
SurveyUSA	01/23 - 01/24	553 LV	43	30	24	Obama +13.0
Mason-Dixon	01/22 - 01/23	400 LV	38	30	19	Obama +8.0
Clemson	01/15 - 01/23	LV	27	20	17	Obama +7.0
Rasmussen	01/21 - 01/21	624 LV	43	28	17	Obama +15.0

Florida Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Edwards	Spread
Final Results	--	--	49.7	33.0	14.4	Clinton +16.7
RCP Average	01/22 - 01/28	--	48.4	28.8	14.2	Clinton +19.6
SurveyUSA	01/27 - 01/28	903 LV	52	28	13	Clinton +24.0
Strategic Vision (R)	01/25 - 01/27	600 LV	49	36	11	Clinton +13.0
Quinnipiac	01/24 - 01/27	481 LV	50	30	12	Clinton +20.0
Rasmussen	01/26 - 01/26	437 LV	44	25	19	Clinton +19.0
Mason-Dixon	01/22 - 01/23	400 LV	47	25	16	Clinton +22.0

California Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama	Clinton	Spread
Final Results	--	--	42.3	51.9	Clinton +9.6
RCP Average	02/01 - 02/04	--	44.0	42.8	Obama +1.2
SurveyUSA	02/03 - 02/04	872 LV	42	52	Clinton +10.0
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby	02/03 - 02/04	895 LV	49	36	Obama +13.0
Suffolk	02/01 - 02/03	700 LV	40	39	Obama +1.0
Rasmussen	02/02 - 02/02	798 LV	45	44	Obama +1.0

New York Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Spread
Final Results	--	--	57.4	39.9	Clinton +17.5
RCP Average	01/30 - 02/04	--	53.5	36.3	Clinton +17.2
Quinnipiac	01/30 - 02/04	517 LV	53	39	Clinton +14.0
SurveyUSA	02/02 - 02/03	774 LV	56	38	Clinton +18.0
Rasmussen	01/31 - 02/01	799 LV	51	30	Clinton +21.0
WNBC/Marist	01/30 - 01/31	409 LV	54	38	Clinton +16.0

Illinois Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama	Clinton	Spread
Final Results	--	--	64.5	33.0	Obama +31.5
RCP Average	01/21 - 02/03	--	58.0	25.0	Obama +33.0
SurveyUSA	02/02 - 02/03	1010 LV	66	30	Obama +36.0
Chicago Tribune	01/29 - 01/31	500 LV	55	24	Obama +31.0
Rasmussen	01/29 - 01/29	631 LV	60	24	Obama +36.0
Research 2000	01/21 - 01/24	500 LV	51	22	Obama +29.0

Georgia Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama	Clinton	Spread
Final Results	--	--	66.4	31.1	Obama +35.3
RCP Average	02/01 - 02/04	--	50.3	32.3	Obama +18.0
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby	02/02 - 02/04	865 LV	49	29	Obama +20.0
Strategic Vision (R)	02/01 - 02/03	600 LV	49	27	Obama +22.0
InsiderAdvantage	02/02 - 02/02	342 LV	51	36	Obama +15.0
Rasmussen	02/02 - 02/02	542 LV	52	37	Obama +15.0

New Jersey Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Spread
Final Results	--	--	53.8	44.0	Clinton +9.8
RCP Average	01/30 - 02/04	--	48.3	40.6	Clinton +7.7
Rasmussen	02/04 - 02/04	835 LV	49	43	Clinton +6.0
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby	02/02 - 02/04	872 LV	46	41	Clinton +5.0
SurveyUSA	02/02 - 02/03	706 LV	52	41	Clinton +11.0
Strategic Vision (R)	02/01 - 02/03	600 LV	47	41	Clinton +6.0
Quinnipiac	01/30 - 02/03	463 LV	48	43	Clinton +5.0
Mason-Dixon	01/30 - 02/01	400 LV	46	39	Clinton +7.0
Monmouth/Gannett	01/30 - 02/01	718 LV	50	36	Clinton +14.0

Missouri Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Spread
Final Results	--	--	47.9	49.2	Obama +1.3
RCP Average	01/30 - 02/04	--	47.5	41.8	Clinton +5.7
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby	02/02 - 02/04	860 LV	42	45	Obama +3.0
SurveyUSA	02/02 - 02/03	671 LV	54	43	Clinton +11.0
Mason-Dixon	01/30 - 02/01	400 LV	47	41	Clinton +6.0
Rasmussen	01/31 - 01/31	507 LV	47	38	Clinton +9.0

Tennessee Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Spread
Final Results	--	--	53.8	40.5	Clinton +13.3
RCP Average	01/28 - 02/02	--	46.7	33.7	Clinton +13.0
InsiderAdvantage	02/02 - 02/02	485 LV	55	35	Clinton +20.0
Rasmussen	01/30 - 01/30	448 LV	49	35	Clinton +14.0
WSMV-TV	01/28 - 01/29	402 LV	36	31	Clinton +5.0

Massachusetts Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Spread
Final Results	--	--	56.2	40.8	Clinton +15.4
RCP Average	01/28 - 02/03	--	47.7	40.7	Clinton +7.0
SurveyUSA	02/02 - 02/03	651 LV	56	39	Clinton +17.0
Suffolk/WHDH	02/01 - 02/03	400 LV	44	46	Obama +2.0
Rasmussen	01/28 - 01/28	1023 LV	43	37	Clinton +6.0

Arizona Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Spread
Final Results	--	--	50.7	41.9	Clinton +8.8
RCP Average	01/20 - 02/01	--	41.7	35.7	Clinton +6.0
Mason-Dixon	01/30 - 02/01	400 LV	43	41	Clinton +2.0
Rasmussen	01/31 - 01/31	537 LV	45	39	Clinton +6.0
Behavior Res. Ctr	01/20 - 01/24	LV	37	27	Clinton +10.0

Virginia Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama	Clinton	Spread
Final Results	--	--	63.6	35.4	Obama +28.2
RCP Average	02/06 - 02/10	--	55.0	37.3	Obama +17.7
SurveyUSA	02/09 - 02/10	596 LV	60	38	Obama +22.0
Mason-Dixon	02/07 - 02/08	400 LV	53	37	Obama +16.0
InsiderAdvantage	02/07 - 02/07	501 LV	52	37	Obama +15.0
Rasmussen	02/06 - 02/07	719 LV	55	37	Obama +18.0

Maryland Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama	Clinton	Spread
Final Results	--	--	60.0	36.5	Obama +23.5
RCP Average	02/06 - 02/10	--	55.0	32.7	Obama +22.3
SurveyUSA	02/09 - 02/10	774 LV	55	32	Obama +23.0
Mason-Dixon	02/07 - 02/08	400 LV	53	35	Obama +18.0
Rasmussen	02/06 - 02/07	925 LV	57	31	Obama +26.0

Wisconsin Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama	Clinton	Spread
Final Results	--	--	58.1	40.7	Obama +17.4
RCP Average	02/08 - 02/14	--	46.3	42.0	Obama +4.3
Research2000/WISC	02/13 - 02/14	400 LV	47	42	Obama +5.0
Rasmussen	02/13 - 02/13	855 LV	47	43	Obama +4.0
Strategic Vision (R)	02/08 - 02/10	LV	45	41	Obama +4.0

Ohio Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Spread
Final Results	--	--	54.2	44.1	Clinton +10.1
RCP Average	02/27 - 03/03	--	50.1	43.0	Clinton +7.1
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby	03/01 - 03/03	828 LV	44	44	Tie
Rasmussen	03/02 - 03/02	858 LV	50	44	Clinton +6.0
SurveyUSA	03/01 - 03/02	873 LV	54	44	Clinton +10.0
PPP (D)	03/01 - 03/02	1112 LV	51	42	Clinton +9.0
Suffolk	03/01 - 03/02	400 LV	52	40	Clinton +12.0
Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin.	02/28 - 03/02	624 LV	51	42	Clinton +9.0
Quinnipiac	02/27 - 03/02	799 LV	49	45	Clinton +4.0

Texas Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Spread
Final Results	--	--	50.9	47.4	Clinton +3.5
RCP Average	02/27 - 03/03	--	47.4	45.7	Clinton +1.7
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby	03/01 - 03/03	855 LV	47	44	Clinton +3.0
InsiderAdvantage	03/02 - 03/02	609 LV	49	44	Clinton +5.0
Rasmussen	03/02 - 03/02	710 LV	47	48	Obama +1.0
SurveyUSA	03/01 - 03/02	840 LV	48	49	Obama +1.0
PPP (D)	03/01 - 03/02	755 LV	50	44	Clinton +6.0
WFAA/Belo Tracking	02/29 - 03/02	728 LV	46	45	Clinton +1.0
M-D/Star-Telegram	02/27 - 02/29	625 LV	45	46	Obama +1.0

Pennsylvania Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Spread
Final Results	--	--	54.6	45.4	Clinton +9.2
RCP Average	04/18 - 04/21	--	49.5	43.4	Clinton +6.1
InsiderAdvantage	04/21 - 04/21	712 LV	49	42	Clinton +7.0
Zogby	04/20 - 04/21	675 LV	51	41	Clinton +10.0
Rasmussen	04/20 - 04/20	722 LV	49	44	Clinton +5.0
PPP (D)	04/19 - 04/20	2338 LV	46	49	Obama +3.0
Suffolk	04/19 - 04/20	600 LV	52	42	Clinton +10.0
SurveyUSA	04/18 - 04/20	710 LV	50	44	Clinton +6.0
Quinnipiac	04/18 - 04/20	1027 LV	51	44	Clinton +7.0
Strategic Vision (R)	04/18 - 04/20	1200 LV	48	41	Clinton +7.0

North Carolina Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama	Clinton	Spread
Final Results	--	--	56.2	41.5	Obama +14.7
RCP Average	04/28 - 05/05	--	50.0	42.0	Obama +8.0
Insider Advantage	05/05 - 05/05	774 LV	47	43	Obama +4.0
Zogby Tracking	05/04 - 05/05	643 LV	51	37	Obama +14.0
SurveyUSA	05/02 - 05/04	810 LV	50	45	Obama +5.0
PPP (D)	05/03 - 05/04	870 LV	53	43	Obama +10.0
Rasmussen	05/01 - 05/01	831 LV	49	40	Obama +9.0
Research 2000	04/29 - 04/30	500 LV	51	44	Obama +7.0
Mason-Dixon	04/28 - 04/29	400 LV	49	42	Obama +7.0

Indiana Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Spread
Final Results	--	--	50.7	49.3	Clinton +1.4
RCP Average	05/02 - 05/05	--	49.0	44.0	Clinton +5.0
Zogby Tracking	05/04 - 05/05	644 LV	43	45	Obama +2.0
InsiderAdvantage	05/04 - 05/04	502 LV	48	44	Clinton +4.0
SurveyUSA	05/02 - 05/04	675 LV	54	42	Clinton +12.0
Suffolk	05/03 - 05/04	600 LV	49	43	Clinton +6.0
PPP (D)	05/03 - 05/04	851 LV	51	46	Clinton +5.0

West Virginia Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Spread
Final Results	--	--	67.0	25.7	Clinton +41.3
RCP Average	05/03 - 05/11	--	59.7	24.7	Clinton +35.0
Suffolk	05/10 - 05/11	600 LV	60	24	Clinton +36.0
Rasmussen	05/04 - 05/04	840 LV	56	27	Clinton +29.0
TSG Consulting (D)	05/03 - 05/03	300 LV	63	23	Clinton +40.0

Oregon Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama	Clinton	Spread
Final Results	--	--	58.2	40.6	Obama +17.6
RCP Average	05/08 - 05/18	--	52.2	40.2	Obama +12.0
Suffolk	05/17 - 05/18	600 LV	45	41	Obama +4.0
PPP (D)	05/17 - 05/18	1296 LV	56	38	Obama +18.0
SurveyUSA	05/16 - 05/18	627 LV	55	42	Obama +13.0
American Res. Group	05/14 - 05/16	600 LV	50	45	Obama +5.0
Portland Tribune	05/08 - 05/10	400 LV	55	35	Obama +20.0

Kentucky Democratic Primary

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Obama	Spread
Final Results	--	--	65.5	29.9	Clinton +35.6
RCP Average	05/05 - 05/18	--	58.4	29.4	Clinton +29.0
Suffolk	05/17 - 05/18	600 LV	51	25	Clinton +26.0
SurveyUSA	05/16 - 05/18	629 LV	62	31	Clinton +31.0
American Res. Group	05/14 - 05/15	600 LV	65	29	Clinton +36.0
Research 2000	05/07 - 05/09	500 LV	58	31	Clinton +27.0
Rasmussen	05/05 - 05/05	800 LV	56	31	Clinton +25.0

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