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Arizona: McCain vs. Obama
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | McCain (R) | Obama (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 53.8 | 45.0 | McCain +8.8 |
| RCP Average | 10/26 - 10/30 | -- | -- | 49.3 | 45.8 | McCain +3.5 |
| ARG | 10/28 - 10/30 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 46 | McCain +4 |
| Research 2000 | 10/28 - 10/30 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 47 | McCain +1 |
| NBC/Mason-Dixon | 10/27 - 10/28 | 625 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 44 | McCain +4 |
| Rasmussen | 10/26 - 10/26 | 500 LV | 4.5 | 51 | 46 | McCain +5 |
Recent Commentary & News Stories
- The Failure of Big Government Conservatism - Ralph Reiland, American Spectator
- Goodbye Reagan Democrats - Stan Greenberg, New York Times
- Was Last Week's Vote a Realignment? - Jay Cost, RealClearPolitics
- The New Liberalism - George Packer, The New Yorker
- The McCain I Know - Mark Salter, The Daily Beast
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | McCain (R) | Obama (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 53.8 | 45.0 | McCain +8.8 |
| RCP Average | 10/26 - 10/30 | -- | -- | 49.3 | 45.8 | McCain +3.5 |
| ARG | 10/28 - 10/30 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 46 | McCain +4 |
| Research 2000 | 10/28 - 10/30 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 47 | McCain +1 |
| NBC/Mason-Dixon | 10/27 - 10/28 | 625 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 44 | McCain +4 |
| Rasmussen | 10/26 - 10/26 | 500 LV | 4.5 | 51 | 46 | McCain +5 |
| CNN/Time | 10/23 - 10/28 | 807 LV | 3.5 | 53 | 46 | McCain +7 |
| Arizona State | 10/23 - 10/26 | 1019 RV | 3.0 | 46 | 44 | McCain +2 |
| N. Ariz. Univ. | 10/18 - 10/27 | 600 RV | 4.0 | 49 | 41 | McCain +8 |
| Zimmerman (D) | 10/16 - 10/19 | 408 LV | 4.9 | 44 | 42 | McCain +2 |
| Arizona State | 09/25 - 09/28 | 975 RV | 3.1 | 45 | 38 | McCain +7 |
| Rasmussen | 09/29 - 09/29 | 500 LV | 4.5 | 59 | 38 | McCain +21 |
| Mason-Dixon | 08/13 - 08/15 | 400 LV | 5.0 | 47 | 41 | McCain +6 |
| Arizona State | 08/14 - 08/16 | 402 RV | -- | 40 | 30 | McCain +10 |
| Rasmussen | 07/30 - 07/30 | 500 LV | -- | 57 | 38 | McCain +19 |
| PPP (D) | 07/30 - 07/31 | 1000 LV | -- | 52 | 40 | McCain +12 |
| Rasmussen | 06/25 - 06/25 | 500 LV | 4.5 | 49 | 40 | McCain +9 |
| Arizona State | 06/20 - 06/21 | 350 RV | -- | 38 | 28 | McCain +10 |
| Behavior Res. Ctr | 05/12 - 05/20 | 630 RV | -- | 50 | 39 | McCain +11 |
| Arizona State | 04/24 - 04/27 | 577 RV | -- | 47 | 38 | McCain +9 |
| Rasmussen | 04/15 - 04/15 | 500 LV | -- | 57 | 37 | McCain +20 |
| N. Ariz. Univ. | 03/30 - 04/08 | 369 LV | -- | 55 | 33 | McCain +22 |
| SurveyUSA | 02/26 - 02/28 | 613 RV | -- | 51 | 39 | McCain +12 |
| Arizona State | 02/21 - 02/24 | 522 RV | -- | 49 | 38 | McCain +11 |
All Commentary & News Stories
- The Failure of Big Government Conservatism - Ralph Reiland, American Spectator
- Goodbye Reagan Democrats - Stan Greenberg, New York Times
- Was Last Week's Vote a Realignment? - Jay Cost, RealClearPolitics
- The New Liberalism - George Packer, The New Yorker
- The McCain I Know - Mark Salter, The Daily Beast
- Three Men for Today's Challenges - Richard Cohen, Washington Post
- A Disturbing Trend For the GOP - J.C. Watts, Las Vegas Review-Journal
- How Obama Won - Ryan Lizza, The New Yorker
- Obama Has Much to Prove - David Shribman, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- Election '08: Irony Abounds - George Will, Sacramento Bee
- The Week Americans Reclaimed Their Country - Frank Rich, NY Times
- The Unity Fantasy - Andrew Ferguson, Weekly Standard
- The GOP's Deep Hole - Norman Ornstein, Los Angeles Times
- The Right Needs to Get Centered - Rich Lowry, Washington Post
- Triumph of Temperament, Not Policy - Michael Barone, US News & WR
- A Mandate for Progressivism - David Sirota, Salon
- Rahm Emanuel: Expect a Pragmatic White House - Jason Riley, WSJ
- Obama: Radical Moderate - Christopher Caldwell, Financial Times
- America Should Be Proud - Bob Herbert, New York Times
- Now It's Our Turn to Hope - William Kristol, Weekly Standard
- Obama's Risky Emanuel Pick - Steve Kornacki, New York Observer
- What the Recession Means for Foreign Policy - Richard Haass, Wall St. Jrnl
- Gingrich 2012? - Robert Novak, Chicago Sun-Times
- Barack Obama, CEO in Chief - Nina Easton, Fortune
- Obama's Calm Demeanor Will Be Tested - Ann McFeatters, Boston Herald
- How Obama Should Handle the Press - George Packer, New Yorker
- 'Center-Right' America Lurches Further Left - Mark Steyn, OC Register
- Slow Learning Republicans - Jonathan Chait, New Republic
- The Republican Challenge Going Forward - Fred Barnes, Weekly Standard
- Why I'll Miss President Bush - Jim Towey, Wall Street Journal
- Obama Will Never Be a Forgotten President - Robert Dallek, The Telegraph
- A Better Fiscal Stimulus - Chicago Tribune
- A Real Realignment - Harold Meyerson, Washington Post
- Moderates Made Obama President - Doug Schoen, New York Daily News
- Chief Executive or Business-Basher? - John Gapper, Financial Times
- Swing Voters Don't Want Big Government - Pat Toomey, WSJ
- The Meaning of Obama's Win - Nancy Gibbs, Time
- Stepping into the Sunshine - Eugene Robinson, Washington Post
- Closing the Door on Victimhood - Joan Vennochi, Boston Globe
- Make Haste Slowly, President Obama? - Victor Davis Hanson, NRO
- Note to Obama: Now Is the Time to Be Bold - Errol Louis, NY Daily News
- Now We Know: The Left's View of US Is Wrong - Greg Sheridan, Australian
- 'Yes We Can.' But Can He? - Timothy Garton Ash, Globe and Mail
- How the President-Elect Did It - Karl Rove, Wall Street Journal
- Landslide That Doesn't Feel All Liberal - Froma Harrop, Providence Journal
- Unity? No, Thank You - David Harsanyi, Denver Post
- Glow of Obama's Win Good Enough For Now - John Heilemann, NY Mag
- Republicans: 1st Day of the Rest of Your Lives - Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call
- What Would Goldwater Do? - George Will, Washington Post
- A Masterclass in Democracy - Times of London
- The World Cheers, Russia Challenges - Washington Post
- Meet Obama's Real Opposition - Wall Street Journal
- Goodbye, Bradley Effect - Boston Globe
- GOP Must Choose Between Two Futures - David Frum, The Telegraph
- Dems Add Suburbs to Growing Coalition - MacGillis & Cohen, Wash Post
- Miraculous March to the White House - Steve Forbes, Forbes
- The Audacity of America - Steve Chapman, Chicago Tribune
- It Is a New Day in America - Laurence Tribe, Forbes
- Obama Recognized the Desire for Change - Gerard Baker, Times of London
- Obama's Transcendence is Beyond Race - Ron Fournier, Associated Press
- Ten Reasons Why Obama Won - Carl Cannon, Reader's Digest
- America's History Gives Way to Its Future - Kevin Merida, Washington Post
- Tide Turned as Economic Crisis Peaked - Monica Langley, Wall St. Journal
- The Age of Obama: Will He Govern as He Ran? - Jon Meacham, Newsweek
- McCain's Concession - Stephen Hayes, Weekly Standard
- World Welcomes Obama with Open Arms - Christiane Amanpour, CNN
- A Huge Victory for Chicago - Carol Marin, Chicago Sun-Times
- In the Democratic Senate, Could Moderates Rule? - Jay Carney, Time
- In Lincoln's Shadow - Michael Cohen, New York Times
- No Mandate for Obama, No Lopsided Congress - Robert Novak, Chicago ST
- Obama Awakens a New America - Marc Pitzke, Der Spiegel
- The First Night in the Age of Obama - George Packer, The New Yorker
- A Foreign-Policy Repair Manual - Fred Kaplan, Slate
- The End Of Racism? - John McWhorter, Forbes
- The Ultimate Color Line - Henry Louis Gates, The Root
- Is It Transformational? - Gary Langer, ABC News
- Democratic Party Revitalized - Dick Polman, Philadelphia Inquirer
- Yes, It Is Time to Hope Again - E.J. Dionne, Washington Post
- A Moment in Time - Howard Kurtz, Washington Post
- Obama Win Preserves the Supreme Court - Glenn Greenwald, Salon
- Ten Theses on President-Elect Obama - Scott Johnson, Power Line
- A Vital Win for Democracy - Trudy Rubin, Philadelphia Inquirer
- Steady as He Goes - Michael Tomasky, The Guardian
- Forging a Conservative Agenda - Tony Blankley, Washington Times
- A Transformation on Race - Michael Moynihan, Reason
- First Item of Business - Mark McKinnon, The Daily Beast
- What Obama Means to This Nation - Anna Quindlen, Newsweek
- From King to Obama, the Nation Heals - John Kass, Chicago Tribune
- The Obama Revolution - John Harris and Jim VandeHei, Politico
- Near-Flawless Run - Nagourney, Rutenberg and Zeleny, New York Times
- Obama Won with Clear Message of Change - David Brody, The Brody File
- Decisive Win Gives Dems New Clout - Susan Page, USA Today
- Bipartisanship Could Help Victorious Democrats - Gerald Seib, WSJ
- Conservatism Faces Challenges Ahead - Philip Klein, American Spectator
- America the Liberal - John Judis, The New Republic
- Obama's Post-Racial Promise - Shelby Steele, Los Angeles Times
- Will a Black President Heal the Racial Divide? - T.D. Jakes, Time
- Hail to the Chief - Michael Gerson, Washington Post
- Which Barack Obama Will Govern? - Doyle McManus, Los Angeles Times
- Transformational Presidency - Katrina vanden Heuvel, The Nation