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Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | English (R) | Dahlkemper (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily Kos/R2000 | 10/6 - 10/8 | LV | 41 | 48 | Dahlkemper +7 |
Race Summary
Rep. Phil English (R) received his lowest winning percentage in 2006 since his first re-election 10 years earlier. He had previously never won less than 60% of the vote. This Erie-based district could flip if voter registration increases in the more Democratic-leaning Erie County. English's opponent, Kathy Dahlkemper (D), is a political neophyte and small-business owner, and appears to be giving English a run for his money. The NRCC is running ads here, so Dahlkemper will need cash to stay competitive.
Previous Election Results
House
2006: English (R) 54, Porter (D) 42
2004: English (R) 60, Porter (D) 40
2002: English (R) 78, Benson (G) 22
President
2004: Bush (R) 53, Kerry (D) 47
2000: Bush (R) 51, Gore (D) 46
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