| Poll | Date | Sample | Luetkemeyer (R) | Baker (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily Kos/R2000 | 10/20 - 10/22 | LV | 47 | 42 | Luetkemeyer +5 |
| Daily Kos/R2000 | 9/17 - 9/18 | LV | 49 | 40 | Luetkemeyer +9 |
| SurveyUSA | 9/1 - 9/2 | 634 LV | 50 | 38 | Luetkemeyer +12 |
This seat became open when Rep. Kenny Huslhof (R) announced he would run for governor rather than for a seventh term. Facing off in the general election is state Rep. Judy Baker (D) and former state tourism dir. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R), who both defeated four opponents in the August 5 primaries.
Two tough primaries produced nominees of fractured parties, but Republicans came out with the more moderate candidate. Luetkemeyer beat out a Club for Growth-backed candidate, while Democratic observers admit Baker was not the most centrist candidate the party could have picked. A poll for Baker's campaign showed her leading right after the primary, but that could change once Luetkemeyer consolidates his base.
House
2006: Hulshof (R) 61, Burghard (D) 36
2004: Hulshof (R) 65, Jacobsen (D) 34
2002: Hulshof (R) 68, Deichman (D) 29
President
2004: Bush (R) 59, Kerry (D) 41
2000: Bush (R) 55, Gore (D) 42
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