| Poll | Date | Sample | Paulsen (R) | Madia (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | 10/29 - 10/30 | 647 LV | 46 | 41 | Paulsen +5 |
| SurveyUSA | 10/26 - 10/27 | 643 LV | 45 | 44 | Paulsen +1 |
| SurveyUSA | 10/6 - 10/7 | 634 LV | 43 | 46 | Madia +3 |
| SurveyUSA | 8/26 - 8/28 | 636 LV | 44 | 41 | Paulsen +3 |
Although fellow Republicans wanted Rep. Jim Ramstad to reconsider his retirement, the GOP is confident state Rep. Erik Paulsen (R) can retain the seat. National Democrats’ choice candidate, state Sen. Terri Bonoff (DFL), lost her party's endorsement to upstart attorney and Iraq war veteran Ashwin Madia. Madia is keeping pace with Paulsen in fundraising and Democrats still believe this is prime pick-up territory.
House
2006: Ramstad (R) 65, Wilde (D) 35
2004: Ramstad (R) 65, Watts (D) 35
2002: Ramstad (R) 72, Stanton (D) 28
President
2004: Bush (R) 51, Kerry (D) 48
2000: Bush (R) 50, Gore (D) 46
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