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Indiana 3rd District
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Souder (R) | Montagano (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Howey-Gauge | 10/23 - 10/24 | 300 LV | 41 | 44 | Montagano +3 |
| Research 2000 | 10/16 - 10/18 | 600 LV | 45 | 40 | Souder +5 |
Race Summary
This isn't supposed to be a competitive district for Democrats, especially if their candidate is in his mid-20s. But polls released late in the campaign indicate that even Northeastern Indiana is vulnerable territory for Republicans.
Rep. Souder, elected in the wave election of 1994, won in 2006 a by a smaller margin than he's used to. He was running against a credible challenger who ended up outspending him. Through Oct. 15, Souder had been outspent again, though his challenger had just $3k left in the bank at that point.
Previous Election Results
House
2006: Souder (R) 54, Hayhurst (D) 46
2004: Souder (R) 69, Parra (D) 31
2002: Souder (R) 63, Rigdon (D) 34
President
2004: Bush (R) 68, Kerry (D) 31
2000: Bush (R) 66, Gore (D) 33