| Poll | Date | Sample | Berkowitz (D) | Young (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily Kos/R2000 | 10/28 - 10/30 | 600 LV | 53 | 44 | Berkowitz +9 |
| Ivan Moore Res. | 10/17 - 10/19 | 500 LV | 51 | 43 | Berkowitz +8 |
| Daily Kos/R2000 | 10/14 - 10/16 | 600 LV | 50 | 44 | Berkowitz +6 |
| Ivan Moore Res. | 10/3 - 10/6 | 500 LV | 51 | 42 | Berkowitz +9 |
| Ivan Moore Res. | 9/20 - 9/22 | 500 LV | 49 | 44 | Berkowitz +5 |
| Daily Kos/R2000 | 9/16 - 9/17 | 600 LV | 53 | 39 | Berkowitz +14 |
| Daily Kos/R2000 | 7/14 - 7/16 | LV | 51 | 40 | Berkowitz +11 |
| Daily Kos/R2000 | 5/12 - 5/14 | LV | 50 | 40 | Berkowitz +10 |
Rep. Don Young, seeking his 18th full term in the House, led Lt. Gov. Sean Parnell in the August 26 primary, as absentee ballots were still being counted. Three weeks later, Parnell conceded the race. Some Republicans had worried that if Young, who was included in an FBI corruption investigation, won the primary, the party could lose the seat for the first time since 1972.
Running for the Democratic nomination was former state House Minority Leader Ethan Berkowitz, who defeated Diane Benson, an activist and 2006 Democratic nominee, 53%-38%. In 2006, Benson held Young to just a 57%-40% win, despite being outspent 10-1 -- it was Young's lowest winning percentage since 1994.
House
2006: Young (R) 57, Benson (D) 40
2004: Young (R) 71, Higgins (D) 22
2002: Young (R) 75, Greene (D) 17
President
2004: Bush (R) 61, Kerry (D) 36
2000: Bush (R) 59, Gore (D) 28
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