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Washington Governor
Washington Snapshot
RCP House Ranking: Toss Up
Presidential Race:
Obama (D) vs. McCain (R)
Governor Race: Gregoire (D)* vs. Rossi (R)
Competitive House Races: WA-8
Key 2006 State Races: Senate | WA-8
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Gregoire (D) | Rossi (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 53.2 | 46.8 | Gregoire +6.4 |
| RCP Average | 10/22 - 11/2 | -- | 50.7 | 47.3 | Gregoire +3.4 |
| SurveyUSA | 10/30 - 11/2 | 663 LV | 52 | 46 | Gregoire +6 |
| The Washington Poll | 10/27 - 10/31 | 387 RV | 50 | 48 | Gregoire +2 |
| Rasmussen | 10/22 - 10/22 | 500 LV | 50 | 48 | Gregoire +2 |
Race Summary
In a rematch of the ultra-competitive 2004 election, Gov. Christine Gregoire comes this year with the advantage of incumbency, as well as the fact that a Republican has not been elected governor here since 1980.
Still, Rossi lost by only 129 votes in '04, and has four years of the Gregoire administration record to attack. Rossi also has strong fundraising abilities -- enough to keep up with Gregoire.
Previous Elections
Governor
2004: Gregoire 49, Rossi 49
2004: Locke 58, Carlson 40
President
2004: Kerry 53, Bush 46
2000: Gore 50, Bush 45
1996: Clinton 50, Dole 37
Demographics
Occupation: Blue Collar 22.1% | White Collar 61.4% | Gray Collar 16.4%
Race: White 78.9% | Hispanic 7.5% | Asian 5.4% | Black 3.1%
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Gregoire (D) | Rossi (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 53.2 | 46.8 | Gregoire +6.4 |
| RCP Average | 10/22 - 11/2 | -- | 50.7 | 47.3 | Gregoire +3.4 |
| SurveyUSA | 10/30 - 11/2 | 663 LV | 52 | 46 | Gregoire +6 |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 10/31 - 11/2 | 800 LV | 50 | 48 | Gregoire +2 |
| The Washington Poll | 10/27 - 10/31 | 387 RV | 50 | 48 | Gregoire +2 |
| SurveyUSA | 10/26 - 10/27 | 630 LV | 50 | 48 | Gregoire +2 |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 10/25 - 10/26 | 800 LV | 49 | 47 | Gregoire +2 |
| Rasmussen | 10/22 - 10/22 | 500 LV | 50 | 48 | Gregoire +2 |
| The Washington Poll | 10/18 - 10/26 | 600 RV | 51 | 45 | Gregoire +6 |
| Elway Poll | 10/16 - 10/19 | 405 RV | 51 | 39 | Gregoire +12 |
| SurveyUSA | 10/12 - 10/13 | 544 LV | 48 | 47 | Gregoire +1 |
| Rasmussen | 10/2 - 10/2 | 700 LV | 48 | 48 | Tie |
| SurveyUSA | 9/21 - 9/22 | 682 LV | 50 | 48 | Gregoire +2 |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 9/14 - 9/16 | 800 LV | 46 | 48 | Rossi +2 |
| Rasmussen | 9/10 - 9/10 | 500 LV | 46 | 52 | Rossi +6 |
| SurveyUSA | 9/5 - 9/7 | 658 LV | 47 | 48 | Rossi +1 |
| SurveyUSA | 8/11 - 8/12 | 718 LV | 50 | 48 | Gregoire +2 |
| Rasmussen | 8/6 - 8/6 | 500 LV | 50 | 46 | Gregoire +4 |
| Elway Poll | 7/27 - 7/31 | 405 RV | 52 | 36 | Gregoire +16 |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 7/25 - 7/27 | 800 LV | 47 | 45 | Gregoire +2 |
| SurveyUSA | 7/13 - 7/15 | 666 LV | 49 | 46 | Gregoire +3 |
| Moore Info. (R) | 7/9 - 7/10 | 400 LV | 45 | 45 | Tie |
| Rasmussen | 7/9 - 7/9 | 500 LV | 52 | 44 | Gregoire +8 |
| Elway Poll | 6/18 - 6/22 | 405 RV | 47 | 39 | Gregoire +8 |
| Rasmussen | 6/9 - 6/9 | 500 LV | 50 | 43 | Gregoire +7 |
| SurveyUSA | 6/7 - 6/9 | 637 LV | 50 | 47 | Gregoire +3 |
| Rasmussen | 5/12 - 5/12 | 500 LV | 52 | 41 | Gregoire +11 |
| Elway Poll | 4/21 - 4/22 | 405 RV | 43 | 38 | Gregoire +5 |
| SurveyUSA | 4/14 - 4/16 | 634 LV | 50 | 46 | Gregoire +4 |
| SurveyUSA | 4/7 - 4/7 | 607 RV | 48 | 47 | Gregoire +1 |
| Rasmussen | 3/27 - 3/27 | 500 LV | 47 | 46 | Gregoire +1 |
| Rasmussen | 2/28 - 2/28 | 500 LV | 46 | 47 | Rossi +1 |
| U. of Washington | 10/22 - 10/29 | 600 RV | 47 | 42 | Gregoire +5 |