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Indiana Governor
Indiana Snapshot
RCP House Ranking: Leans GOP
Presidential Race:
Obama (D) vs. McCain (R)
Governor Race: Thompson (D) vs. Daniels (R)*
Key 2006 State Races: IN-2 | IN-7 | IN-8 | IN-9
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Daniels (R) | Thompson (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 57.8 | 40.1 | Daniels +17.7 |
| RCP Average | 10/23 - 10/30 | -- | 55.8 | 36.3 | Daniels +19.5 |
| Downs Center/SUSA | 10/27 - 10/30 | 900 LV | 55 | 38 | Daniels +17 |
| Indy Star/Selzer | 10/26 - 10/28 | 606 LV | 54 | 36 | Daniels +18 |
| Research 2000 | 10/23 - 10/25 | 600 LV | 53 | 41 | Daniels +12 |
| Howey-Gauge | 10/23 - 10/24 | 600 LV | 61 | 30 | Daniels +31 |
Race Summary
Former Rep. Jill Long Thompson faces an uphill battle against incumbent Gov. Mitch Daniels. Long Thompson faced an expensive and competitive primary, defeating Indianapolis architect Jim Schellinger by less than a point.
Daniels opened the general election campaign with a 10-1 cash advantage and favorable approval ratings, though not as high as some other governors running for re-election. Long Thompson has been endorsed by several labor unions, as well as EMILY's List, both of which should provide her with support.
Long Thompson served in Congress from a 1989 special election victory until losing a third bid for re-election in 1994. Most recently, Long Thompson lost a 2002 open House seat race to Chris Chocola.
Previous Election Results
Governor
2004: Daniels 53, Kernan 45
2000: O'Bannon 57, McIntosh 42
President
2004: Bush 60, Kerry 39
2000: Bush 57, Gore 41
1996: Dole 47, Clinton 42
Demographics
Occupation: Blue Collar 31.4% | White Collar 54.0% | Gray Collar 14.6%
Race: White 85.8% | Black 8.3 % | Hispanic 3.5% | Asian 1.0%
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Daniels (R) | Thompson (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 57.8 | 40.1 | Daniels +17.7 |
| RCP Average | 10/23 - 10/30 | -- | 55.8 | 36.3 | Daniels +19.5 |
| PPP (D) | 10/31 - 11/2 | 2634 LV | 60 | 37 | Daniels +23 |
| Downs Center/SUSA | 10/27 - 10/30 | 900 LV | 55 | 38 | Daniels +17 |
| Indy Star/Selzer | 10/26 - 10/28 | 606 LV | 54 | 36 | Daniels +18 |
| Research 2000 | 10/23 - 10/25 | 600 LV | 53 | 41 | Daniels +12 |
| Howey-Gauge | 10/23 - 10/24 | 600 LV | 61 | 30 | Daniels +31 |
| PPP (D) | 10/18 - 10/19 | 1411 LV | 57 | 36 | Daniels +21 |
| Research 2000 | 9/29 - 10/3 | 800 LV | 49 | 45 | Daniels +4 |
| Research 2000 | 9/28 - 9/30 | 600 LV | 47 | 46 | Daniels +1 |
| SurveyUSA | 9/28 - 9/29 | 687 LV | 53 | 37 | Daniels +16 |
| Rasmussen | 9/17 - 9/18 | 500 LV | 56 | 40 | Daniels +16 |
| Indy Star/Selzer | 9/14 - 9/16 | 600 LV | 46 | 42 | Daniels +4 |
| Howey-Gauge | 8/30 - 9/2 | 500 LV | 53 | 35 | Daniels +18 |
| SurveyUSA | 8/16 - 8/18 | 645 LV | 52 | 38 | Daniels +14 |
| SurveyUSA | 6/21 - 6/23 | 627 LV | 50 | 45 | Daniels +5 |
| SurveyUSA | 6/10 - 6/12 | 452 RV | 49 | 49 | Tie |
| Indiana Legislative Insight | 5/27 - 6/1 | 601 RV | 51 | 35 | Daniels +16 |
| Howey-Gauge | 4/23 - 4/24 | 600 LV | 55 | 36 | Daniels +19 |
| Research 2000 | 4/21 - 4/24 | 600 LV | 45 | 45 | Tie |