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Ohio Senate Race

Candidates

Mike DeWine (R)*
Bio | Campaign Site

Sherrod Brown (D)
Bio | Campaign Site
RealClearPolitics Snapshot
RCP Average: Brown + 10.0% | RCP Chart
RCP Ranking: Leans Democrat
Key State Races: GOV | OH-1 | OH-2 | OH-15 | OH-18
Polling Data
PollDateSampleDeWine (R)*Brown (D)Und.Spread
RCP Average10/31 - 11/05-43.353.3--Brown +10.0
SurveyUSA11/03 - 11/05436 LV42544Brown +12.0
Univ. of Cinci11/01 - 11/051074 LV4456--Brown +12.0
Mason-Dixon10/31 - 11/02625 LV44505Brown +6.0
See All Ohio Senate Race Polling Data
RealClearPolitics Analysis
(October 17) It had been our opinion that Sherrod Brown's very liberal record in the Ohio congressional delegation would provide enough fodder for DeWine to keep this race close and coupled with the Republican GOTV make this race a toss up on election day. It may get back there, but it looks like the Republican Party's implosion in Ohio is just becoming too much for DeWine to overcome. Today's Quinnipiac poll shows DeWine moving from essentially tied in mid-September (Brown 45% - DeWine 44%) to down a sizable 12-points. Granted this is only one poll, and a Rasmussen Reports survey taken over the same time gives Brown only a 6-point lead. But with the RCP Average now at Brown +6.8%, and climbing, and with Strickland headed for a huge win in the governor's race, Sherrod Brown has to be considered the favorite.
Previous Election Results

Senate
2000: DeWine 60, Celeste 36
1994: DeWine 53, Hyatt 39

President
2004: Bush 51, Kerry 49
2000: Bush 50, Gore 46
1996: Clinton 47, Dole 40

Demographics

Occupation: Blue Collar 27.8% | White Collar 57.3% | Gray Collar 14.9%
Race: White 84.0% | Black 11.4% | Hisapnic 1.9% | Asian 1.2%


Links for More Information

Money Race: Latest FEC Filings

Blogs: State of the Union | Right Angle | Sherrod Brown | From the Roots

State Newspaper Coverage: Cincinnati Enquirer | Columbus Dispatch

State Parties: OH GOP | OH Dems

 

Recent Commentary & News Stories
- OH: Ohio's New Senator-Elect Says Dems Must Deliver - Cincinnati Enquirer
- OH: Brown, DeWine Give Last Push - Associated Press
- OH: Could it Be This Bad For the GOP? - Columbus Dispatch
- OH: GOP Hustling to Keep its Edge - Cleveland Plain-Dealer
- OH: DeWine, Brown Argue Ouster Impact - Cleveland Plain Dealer
See All Ohio Senate Race Commentary & News Stories
Polling Data
PollDateSampleDeWine (R)*Brown (D)Und.Spread
RCP Average10/31 - 11/05-43.353.3--Brown +10.0
SurveyUSA11/03 - 11/05436 LV42544Brown +12.0
Univ. of Cinci11/01 - 11/051074 LV4456--Brown +12.0
Columbus Dispatch*10/24 - 11/031541 RV3862--Brown +24.0
Mason-Dixon10/31 - 11/02625 LV44505Brown +6.0
Reuters/Zogby10/24 - 10/31600 LV42496Brown +7.0
Opinion Consultants10/22 - 10/30800 LV44515Brown +7.0
CNN10/26 - 10/29542 LV43543Brown +11.0
Zogby Interactive*10/23 - 10/27LV4749--Brown +2.0
SurveyUSA10/23 - 10/25563 LV37576Brown +20.0
Rasmussen10/24 - 10/24500 LV43542Brown +11.0
LA Times/Bloomberg10/20 - 10/23507 LV394711Brown +8.0
Mason-Dixon10/18 - 10/20625 LV40489Brown +8.0
Zogby Interactive*10/10 - 10/16750 LV4549--Brown +4.0
CBS News/NY Times10/11 - 10/15689 LV35499Brown +14.0
Quinnipiac10/10 - 10/15901 LV41537Brown +12.0
Univ. of Cinci10/09 - 10/14526 LV45522Brown +7.0
Rasmussen10/12 - 10/12500 LV42485Brown +6.0
SurveyUSA10/09 - 10/11515 LV40546Brown +14.0
Rasmussen10/03 - 10/03500 LV43504Brown +7.0
Reuters/Zogby09/25 - 10/02601 LV414117Tie
Univ. of Akron08/20 - 09/29477 LV424214Tie
Mason-Dixon09/25 - 09/27625 LV434510Brown +2.0
Zogby Interactive*09/19 - 09/25963 LV414514Brown +4.0
Columbus Dispatch*09/09 - 09/221791 RV424711Brown +5.0
SurveyUSA09/18 - 09/20490 LV42527Brown +10.0
Quinnipiac09/11 - 09/17876 LV444511Brown +1.0
University of Cincinnati09/07 - 09/17671 LV47512Brown +4.0
Rasmussen09/13 - 09/13500 LV41476Brown +6.0
Zogby Interactive*08/29 - 09/05807 LV414514Brown +4.0
USA Today/Gallup08/23 - 08/27584 LV40469Brown +6.0
Rasmussen08/22 - 08/22500 LV42458Brown +3.0
Zogby Interactive*08/15 - 08/211045 LV394714Brown +8.0
SurveyUSA08/05 - 08/07503 LV41492Brown +8.0
Rasmussen07/27 - 07/27500 LV424414Brown +2.0
Columbus Dispatch*07/11 - 07/201654 RV374518Brown +8.0
Zogby Interactive*07/11 - 07/19953 LV374512Brown +8.0
Rasmussen06/20 - 06/20500 LV46398DeWine +7.0
Zogby Interactive*06/13 - 06/19785 RV3446N/ABrown +12.0
SurveyUSA06/10 - 06/12507 LV39482Brown +9.0
University of Cincinnati05/09 - 05/21643 RV52425DeWine +10.0
Battleground05/12 - 05/14650 LV55405DeWine +15.0
Rasmussen05/08 - 05/08500 LV414410Brown +3.0
Feldman Group04/04 - 04/27800 LV44455Brown +1.0
Mason-Dixon04/24 - 04/26625 LV4736N/ADeWine +11.0
Rasmussen04/19 - 04/19500 LV434111DeWine +2.0
Rasmussen03/28 - 03/28500 LV45429DeWine +3.0
Rasmussen02/16 - 02/16500 LV463710DeWine +9.0
Hart Research (D)02/02 - 02/07502 RV47368DeWine +11.0
Rasmussen01/03 - 01/03500 LV454010DeWine +5.0
Rasmussen11/30 - 11/30500 LV434110DeWine +2.0
Columbus Dispatch*10/24 - 11/031872 RV313522Brown +4.0
All Commentary & News Stories
- OH: Ohio's New Senator-Elect Says Dems Must Deliver - Cincinnati Enquirer
- OH: Brown, DeWine Give Last Push - Associated Press
- OH: Could it Be This Bad For the GOP? - Columbus Dispatch
- OH: GOP Hustling to Keep its Edge - Cleveland Plain-Dealer
- OH: DeWine, Brown Argue Ouster Impact - Cleveland Plain Dealer
- Ohio at Center of Midterm Battle - New York Times
- OH: Brown Says GOP Wants to Change Subject With Kerry Flap - Associated Press
- OH: Voters Unmoved by Incumbent's Bipartisan Reputation - Financial Times
- OH: Actor Fox, McCain Among Ohio Visitors - Toledo Blade
- OH: DeWine, Brown Exchange Salvos - Associated Press
- OH: Senate Candidates Trade Criticisms in Cleveland Stops - Associated Press
- OH: GOP Drops TV Plans for DeWine - Associated Press
- OH: A Hard Year to Be an Ohio Republican - Washington Times
- Interviews with Mike DeWine, Sherrod Brown - Situation Room
- OH: Ad Bucks Pour Into Ohio - Columbus Dispatch
- OH: GOP Backs Off Claims in DeWine Ad, Continues Focus on Brown's Taxes - Plain Dealer
- OH: Senate Candidates Unleash Charges in Toledo Debate - Toledo Blade
- OH: Democrats Set Sights on Wins in Ohio - Associated Press
- Alarm Bells for GOP in Buckeye State - New York Times
- OH: DeWine Remains Priority, GOP Says - Columbus Dispatch
- In Final Weeks, G.O.P. Focuses on Best Bets - New York Times
- OH: DeWine, Brown Sharpen Attacks in 2nd Debate - Columbus Dispatch
- OH: Brown, DeWine Attack Each Other On Homeland Security Issues - WHIO-TV
- 'Values' Decline As Issue In Ohio - Washington Post
- OH: New Poll Puts DeWine in Lead - Akron Beacon Journal
- OH: Brown, DeWine Stance on Social Issues May Affect Vote - Dayton Daily News
- OH: Cuyahoga Coting Problems Could Delay Senate Results - Associated Press
- OH: Sen. Clinton Campaigns for Sherrod Brown, Criticizes GOP Spending - Associated Press
- OH: Brown Assails DeWine's Intelligence Panel Absences - Cleveland Plain Dealer
- DeWine Senate Race Now Dead Heat - Washington Times
- OH: Economy is No. 1 in Ohio Elections - Cleveland Plain Dealer
- OH: In debate, Senate Candidates Work to Burnish Own Image - Dayton Daily News
- Pervez Musharraf, Ohio Senate Debate - Meet the Press
- OH: Veteran of Political Attacks Defends Ohio Senate Hopeful - Associated Press
- OH: DeWine, Brown to Debate on NBC - Akron Beacon Journal
- The Smart Politics of the Detainee Vote - Tom Curry, MSNBC
- The Battle for Ohio, Round Two - Perry Bacon Jr., Time
- Can Economic Populism Trump Culture, Terror in OH? - J. McNeill, TAP
- OH: With Brown So Close, Ads Will Grow - Cleveland Plain Dealer
- What Ohioans Really Want in a Candidate - John Judis, The New Republic
- What Can Sherrod Brown Do for Democrats? - John Nichols, The Nation
- OH: GOP Facing Prospect of Going 0-2 at Top of Ticket - CQ
- OH: Bush Coming for DeWine Fundraiser - Cincinnati Enquirer
- OH: Brown to Speak for MoveOn.org - Cincinnati Enquirer
- OH: Politicians Emerge for Labor Day - Akron Beacon-Journal
- OH: DeWine Believes Record Will Dispel Cloud Over GOP - Akron Beacon-Journal
- OH: Brown Takes On The Role of Challenger - Akron Beacon-Journal
- OH: Ruling Erases Election Overhaul - Cleveland Plain-Dealer
- GOP Lags in Key Races For Senate - USA Today
- OH: Senate GOP Tries Anti-incumbent Message On Brown - Associated Press
- OH: Brown Strikes Back at GOP Tax Ad - Cincinnati Enquirer
- OH: DeWine's New Ads Target Brown - Elyria Chronicle-Telegram
- OH: DeWine Campaigns on Bipartisanship - Associated Press
- OH: DeWine Says He Can Work With His Foes - Elyria Chronicle-Telegram
- OH: McCain Lends Aid to DeWine - Chronicle-Telegram
- OH: Toledo to Host Senate Debate Between DeWine, Brown - Toledo Blade
- OH Senate Poll: Brown (D) 49% DeWine (R) 41% - Survey USA
- OH Senate Poll: Brown (D) 44% DeWine (R) 42% - Rasmussen Reports
- The GOP's Buckeye Blues - Richard Wolffe and Holly Bailey, Newsweek
- Stressing Pork, Not the Party - E. J. Dionne, Washington Post
- OH Senate Poll: Brown (D) 45% DeWine (R) 37% - Columbus Dispatch
- Ohio Democrats Make Nice to Unseat DeWine - Washington Post
- OH Senate Poll: DeWine (R) 46%, Brown (D) 39% - Rasmussen Reports
- OH: DeWine Joins GOP Attack on His Opponent's Record - Toledo Blade
- Buckeye Battle: Mike DeWine vs. Sherrod Brown - B. Braiker, Newsweek
- OH: Parties Watching Gay Marriage Debate's Effect on Elections - Beacon Journal/AP
- OH Poll: Democrats Stickland, Brown Lead Races - Survey USA
- 2006 Issues on Display in Ohio - Dan Gilgoff, US News & World Report
- OH: Brown Not Running From His Record - Toledo Blade
- OH: Immigration Reform Has DeWine, Brown in Agreement - Toledo Blade
- OH: DeWine Senate Race in National Spotlight - Columbus Dispatch
- A Choice, Not a Referendum: Support Senator DeWine - Hugh Hewitt, HughHewitt.com
- OH Senate Poll: Brown (D) 44% DeWine (R) 41% - Rasmussen Reports
- OH: Rival Targets DeWine for Taking Funds From Oil Firms - Toledo Blade
- Early Intensity Underlines Role of Races in Ohio - New York Times
- The Numbers From Ohio - Michael Barone, Barone Blog
- OH: Stage Is Set For DeWine-Brown Senate Race - Dayton Daily News
- OH Senate Poll: DeWine With 11-Point Lead Over Brown - Cleveland Plain Dealer
- OH Senate Poll: DeWine (R) 43% Brown (D) 41% - Rasmussen Reports
- OH: Rep. Brown Often Flies at Expense of Private Groups, Review Finds - Toledo Blade
- OH Senate Poll: DeWine (R) 45% Brown (D) 42% - Rasmussen Reports
- OH: Noe Casts Troubling Shadow Over Campaigns - Toledo Blade
- OH: Ohio Republicans Racing Storm Clouds - Washington Post
- Another Close Election in Ohio - George Will, Washington Post
- OH: GOP Chairman Sees Ohio in Center Again - Cincinnati Enquirer
- OH: Hackett Keeps Popping Up in U.S. News - Cincinnati Enquirer
- OH: Democrats Pin Hopes on Ohio to Retake Congress - Minneapolis Star Tribune