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New Mexico-1

Polling Data
PollDateSampleWilson (R)*Madrid (D)Und.Spread
SurveyUSA11/03 - 11/05688 LV48502Madrid +2.0
Albuquerque Journal11/01 - 11/02503 LV45496Madrid +4.0
Pub Op Str (R)10/31 - 11/02450 LV48465Wilson +2.0
Reuters/Zogby10/24 - 10/29500 LV44532Madrid +9.0
Albuquerque Journal10/17 - 10/19503 LV42459Madrid +3.0
SurveyUSA10/13 - 10/15470 LV45533Madrid +8.0
RT Strategies/CD10/08 - 10/10986 LV44524Madrid +8.0
Reuters/Zogby09/25 - 10/02500 LV40506Madrid +10.0
Albuquerque Journal09/25 - 09/28400 LV44447Tie
SurveyUSA09/18 - 09/20503 LV51463Wilson +5.0
Albuquerque Journal08/25 - 08/31410 LV454210Wilson +3.0
RT Strategies/CD08/27 - 08/291,010 RV48457Wilson +3.0
Lake Research (D)08/21 - 08/21400 LV464410Wilson +2.0
Lake Research (D)01/25 - 01/29400 LV4443--Wilson +1.0
RealClearPolitics Analysis

New Mexico’s 1st Congressional District is made up of Albuquerque and most of its suburbs in Bernalillo County, and all of Torrance County. It is thus city, suburb and desert all in one. NM 01, like many of the districts in our top 10, gave George W. Bush a lower proportion of the two-party vote in 2004 than it did in 2000. The member from this district, which is about 2/5th Hispanic, is Heather Wilson, who has held the seat since a 1998 Special Election. Wilson faced a tough challenge from state senator Richard Romero in 2002 and 2004. She defeated him both times.

This time, she once again has her work cut out for her.Term-limited Attorney General Patricia Madrid is her opponent. Madrid has put together a very sizeable campaign war chest. The good news for Wilson: Madrid’s campaign has been tepid to date. In late August, the Albuquerque Tribune wrote that Madrid may have already lost the race because she has allowed Wilson to characterize her as being lax in her investigation of indicted state treasurer Robert Vigil. While the Journal is skeptical about the merits of the charge, they think that the politics of it have been devastating for Madrid. If this is so – it is bad news for Democrats. The “fundamentals” of this district make it a must-win if they wish to capture the House.
All Commentary & News Stories
- NM-1: Wilson Holds Slim Lead Over Madrid - Santa Fe New Mexican
- NM-1: Wilson Shares Stage with Laura Bush - Los Alamos Monitor
- Dems Have No Plan, But Might Not Matter - Jeffry Gardner, Albq. Tribune
- Heather Wilson Tries to Hold on in Albuquerque - Sonny Bunch, Wkly Std.
- NM-1: Rep. Wilson Getting Help From Debate, 5-Foot Duck - The Hill
- NM-1: All Politics is Local? New Mexico is Test - Los Angeles Times
- NM-1: Wilson Declares Victory in Debate, Challenges Madrid - Santa Fe New Mexican
- AKate Nash on NM's 1st District Race (Video) - Washington Journal
- NM-1: Wilson Leads Madrid in Campaign Fundraising - Associated Press
- NM-1: District Has One of Nation's Hottest Races - Christian Science Monitor
- Raucous Race Heats Up in New Mexico 1st District - FOX News
- In West, GOP No Longer a Shoo-in - USA Today
- NM-1: Revolt Over Wilson Bill Shocks Panel - The Hill
- NM-1: Madrid Declines Debate With Wilson - Albuquerque Tribune
- NM: 1st District Race Tests Loyalty to Bush - USA Today
- NM: Ethics Key To 1st District Race - Los Angeles Times