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Colorado - 4

Polling Data
PollDateSampleMusgrave (R)Paccione (D)UndSpread
SurveyUSA10/31 - 11/02571 LV44432Musgrave +1.0
RT Strategies/CD10/24 - 10/26991 LV45487Paccione +3.0
Strategic Services (D)10/22 - 10/24600 LV4245--Paccione +3.0
SurveyUSA10/15 - 10/17509 LV48384Musgrave +10.0
Mason-Dixon10/03 - 10/07400 LV463612Musgrave +10.0
SurveyUSA09/18 - 09/20424 LV46425Musgrave +4.0
RT Strategies/CD08/27 - 08/29996 RV474112Musgrave +6.0
SurveyUSA08/13 - 08/15452 LV46424Musgrave +4.0
Strategic Services (D)05/31 - 06/05600 LV4746--Musgrave +1.0
RealClearPolitics Analysis
Key State Races: Governor | CO-4 | CO-5 | CO-7

(October 21) Even though this a relatively conservative district having delivered 58% for President Bush in 2004 Musgrave was always considered a potentially vulnerable incumbent because she only pulled 51% in 2004 after originally winning the seat with 55% in 2002. This race is currently #28 on RCP’s House list and may have to drop lower if Musgrave continues to poll as impressively as she has in the last two public survey which both show her with 10 point leads. The DCCC pulled a significant amount of ad support for the Democratic challenger about two weeks ago which might have shut the door on Paccione’s upset hopes.
All Commentary & News Stories
- CO: Bush Boosts Musgrave, Beauprez, Defends War Effort - Rocky Mountain News
- CO: Bush, Cheney to Cover Colorado - Denver Post
- Rebecca Boyle on CO's 4th District Race (Video) - Washington Journal
- CO-4: Hopefuls Conduct Civil Debate - Denver Post
- CO-4: Musgrave Objects To Paccione's Hair Salon Visits - Associated Press
- CO-4: Paccione Pulls Out of Debate with Musgrave - Coloradoan
- CO-4: DCCC Pulls Big Chunk of Ad Time for Paccione - Rocky Mountain News
- CO-4/7: Perlmutter, Musgrave Lead Key Races - Denver Post
- CO: GOP in Deep Trouble, Poll Finds - Rocky Mountain News
- CO: Musgrave 'Vulnerable' in 4th District, Some Claim - Denver Post
- CO-4 Poll: Musgrave (R) 46% Paccione (D) 42% - Survey USA