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(October 29) We don’t buy the double-digit polls in this race, but it does look like Doyle has established a firm lead. The recent University of Wisconsin poll showing Green trailing by 14 points, was not of likely voters, a very important distinction this close to election day. However, given the prevailing anti-GOP winds the edge has to be with the Democrat. (October 20) Doyle has maintained a pretty consistent 5 point lead in the RCP Average this last month. We still view this race as a toss up. The 13 point WPR lead for Doyle looks to be an outlier. |
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Governor
2002: Doyle 45, McCallum 41, Thompson 10
1998: Thompson 60, Garvey 39
President
2004: Kerry 50, Bush 49
2000: Gore 48, Bush 48, Nader 4
1996: Clinton 49, Dole 38 |
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Occupation: Blue Collar 28.4% | White Collar 56.6% | Gray Collar 15.0%
Race: White 87.3% | Black 5.6% | Hispanic 3.6% | Asian 1.6% |
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Democratic Field
