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Pennsylvania Governor Race

Candidates

Lynn Swann (R)
Bio | Campaign Site
Ed Rendell (D)*
Bio | Campaign Site
RealClearPolitics Snapshot
RCP Average: Rendell + 21.8% | RCP Chart
RCP Ranking: Likely Democrat
Key Races: SEN | PA-4 | PA-6 | PA-7 | PA-8 | PA-10
Polling Data
PollDateSampleSwann (R)Rendell (D)*Und.Spread
RCP Average10/23 - 11/02-36.057.85.8Rendell +21.8
Mason-Dixon10/31 - 11/02625 LV38566Rendell +18.0
Morning Call10/29 - 11/01507 LV35605Rendell +25.0
Keystone Poll10/25 - 10/29355 LV34597Rendell +25.0
Quinnipiac10/23 - 10/29933 LV35586Rendell +23.0
Rasmussen10/28 - 10/28500 LV38565Rendell +18.0
See All Pennsylvania Governor Race Polling Data
Previous Election Results

Governor
2002: Rendell 53, Fisher 44
1998: Ridge 57, Itkin 31

President
2004: Kerry 51, Bush 48
2000: Gore 51, Bush 46
1996: Clinton 49, Dole 40

Demographics
Registered Voters: Dem 47.6% | Rep 40.7% | Other 11.7%
Occupation: Blue Collar 25.2% | White Collar 59.5% | Gray Collar 15.3%
Race: White 84.1% | Black 9.8% | Hispanic 3.2% | Asian 1.8%

Links For More Information
Blogs: PoliticsPA | Keystone Politics | GrassrootsPA | A Smoke Filled Room | Dick Polman | Tom Ferrick | Will Bunch

State Newspaper Coverage: Pittsburgh Post-Gazette | Pittsburgh Tribune-Review

State Parties: Pa GOP | Pa Dems

Recent Commentary & News Stories
- PA: Casey, Rendell Hold Leads - Centre Daily Times
- PA: Swann Rips Rendell in Ad to Black Voters - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Rendell Asks and the Cash Rolls in - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Swann Attacks Rendell Camp on Broad Front - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Swann's Ex-Teammates Not All Backing Election - Philadelphia Inquirer
See All Pennsylvania Governor Race Commentary & News Stories
Polling Data
PollDateSampleSwann (R)Rendell (D)*Und.Spread
RCP Average10/23 - 11/02-36.057.85.8Rendell +21.8
Strategic Vision (R)11/02 - 11/041200 LV35587Rendell +23.0
Mason-Dixon10/31 - 11/02625 LV38566Rendell +18.0
Morning Call10/29 - 11/01507 LV35605Rendell +25.0
Strategic Vision (R)10/28 - 10/301200 LV37585Rendell +21.0
Keystone Poll10/25 - 10/29355 LV34597Rendell +25.0
Quinnipiac10/23 - 10/29933 LV35586Rendell +23.0
Rasmussen10/28 - 10/28500 LV38565Rendell +18.0
Zogby Interactive*10/23 - 10/27LV4255--Rendell +13.0
West Chester Univ.10/22 - 10/25601 LV32579Rendell +25.0
Phil. Inquirer10/16 - 10/25698 LV34586Rendell +24.0
Strategic Vision (R)10/20 - 10/231200 LV37576Rendell +20.0
Mason-Dixon10/18 - 10/21625 LV35569Rendell +21.0
Rasmussen10/16 - 10/16500 LV40573Rendell +17.0
Zogby Interactive*10/10 - 10/16760 LV4451--Rendell +7.0
Morning Call10/03 - 10/08511 LV35569Rendell +21.0
Mason-Dixon09/22 - 09/26625 LV375410Rendell +17.0
Zogby Interactive*09/19 - 09/2542526Rendell +10.0
Strategic Vision (R)09/22 - 09/241200 LV37556Rendell +18.0
Quinnipiac09/19 - 09/24933 LV39556Rendell +16.0
Rasmussen09/20 - 09/20500 LV36568Rendell +20.0
Phil. Inquirer09/14 - 09/20666 LV33605Rendell +27.0
Keystone Poll09/13 - 09/18604 RV345214Rendell +18.0
Zogby Interactive*08/29 - 09/05893 LV42526Rendell +10.0
USA Today/Gallup08/23 - 08/27883 RV35578Rendell +22.0
Rasmussen08/22 - 08/22500 LV38507Rendell +12.0
Keystone Poll08/16 - 08/21551 RV345313Rendell +19.0
Zogby Interactive*08/15 - 08/21671 LV44488Rendell +4.0
Strategic Vision (R)08/11 - 08/131200 LV41516Rendell +10.0
Quinnipiac08/08 - 08/131011 LV37544Rendell +17.0
Morning Call07/31 - 08/03550 RV355114Rendell +16.0
Issues PA/Pew Poll07/17 - 07/301507-Weighted273535Rendell +8.0
Rasmussen07/26 - 07/26500 LV40508Rendell +10.0
Strategic Vision (R)07/14 - 07/161200 LV364913Rendell +13.0
Rasmussen06/19 - 06/19500 LV36507Rendell +14.0
Quinnipiac06/13 - 06/191076 RV315511Rendell +24.0
Strategic Vision (R)06/09 - 06/111200 LV384911Rendell +11.0
Greenberg Quinlan (D)05/21 - 05/25756 LV36563Rendell +20.0
Rasmussen05/22 - 05/22500 LV34529Rendell +18.0
Quinnipiac05/02 - 05/081487 RV335510Rendell +22.0
Strategic Vision (R)05/05 - 05/071200 LV41499Rendell +8.0
Keystone Poll04/27 - 05/01578 RV354913Rendell +14.0
Issues PA/Pew Poll04/17 - 04/261503-Weighted293040Rendell +1.0
Morning Call04/17 - 04/25508 RV394516Rendell +6.0
Rasmussen04/20 - 04/20500 LV44418Swann +3.0
Strategic Vision (R)04/07 - 04/091200 LV424413Rendell +2.0
Quinnipiac03/28 - 04/031354 RV374712Rendell +10.0
Issues PA/Pew Poll03/14 - 03/221500-Weighted352934Swann +6.0
Rasmussen03/14 - 03/14500 LV41447Rendell +3.0
Strategic Vision (R)03/10 - 03/121200 LV444410Tie
Mansfield University02/13 - 03/071102 A344219Rendell +8.0
Morning Call02/25 - 03/02668 RV434611Rendell +3.0
Rasmussen02/16 - 02/16500 LV43467Rendell +3.0
Quinnipiac02/08 - 02/131045 RV364814Rendell +12.0
Keystone Poll01/31 - 02/05497 RV424513Rendell +3.0
Strategic Vision (R)01/20 - 01/221200 LV464410Swann +2.0
Rasmussen01/15 - 01/15500 LV45438Swann +2.0
Strategic Vision (R)12/16 - 12/181200 LV414514Rendell +4.0
Quinnipiac11/30 - 12/061447 RV354814Rendell +13.0
Strategic Vision (R)11/11 - 11/131200 RV424513Rendell +3.0
Rasmussen11/07 - 11/07500 LV365010Rendell +14.0
Strategic Vision (R)10/14 - 10/161200 RV414613Rendell +5.0
Quinnipiac09/26 - 10/031530 RV343715Rendell +3.0
Keystone Poll09/08 - 09/13129 RV335314Rendell +20.0
Strategic Vision (R)09/10 - 09/121200 RV43489Rendell +5.0
Strategic Vision (R)07/29 - 07/311200 RV414712Rendell +6.0
Rasmussen07/20 - 07/20500 LV41478Rendell +6.0
Quinnipiac07/06 - 07/101639 RV364813Rendell +12.0
Keystone Poll05/31 - 06/05128 RV344224Rendell +8.0
Quinnipiac04/13 - 04/181395 RV354814Rendell +13.0
Keystone Poll02/23 - 03/20162 RV295912Rendell +30.0
Quinnipiac02/10 - 02/141250 RV345013Rendell +16.0
All Commentary & News Stories
- PA: Casey, Rendell Hold Leads - Centre Daily Times
- PA: Swann Rips Rendell in Ad to Black Voters - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Rendell Asks and the Cash Rolls in - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Swann Attacks Rendell Camp on Broad Front - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Swann's Ex-Teammates Not All Backing Election - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Swann, Rendell Clash on Gun Laws - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: GOP Governors Punting on Swann Campaign? - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: Swann Reiterates His Intention to Cut Taxes, Spending - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: After Pay Raise 'Mistake,' Rendell Wants Term Limits - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: Rendell and Swann Debate Taxes, Raise - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Rendell, Swann Set for Debate - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: In This Political Season, State is Awash in Polls - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: Rendell's War Chest Grows - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Rendell Now Regrets Role in Pay Raise - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Bush's Drag on Santorum Helps Casey to 10-Point Lead - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Swann Has Trouble Catching On - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: Casey Clings to Lead; Rendell Lets Clock Run - Pittsburgh Tribune-Review
- PA: Swann Blitzes Dems, Rendell Over Pay Raises - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: Swann's Wife a Reluctant Campaigner - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Swann Says He Would Add More Police - Associated Press
- Wisdom and Judgment Deficiency - Cal Thomas, Sacramento Bee
- PA: Gubernatorial Candidates Plan at Least 3 Forums - Patriot-News
- PA: Teflon Ed Unfazed After Tough Year - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: Swann Targets Inheritance Tax Again - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: Ex-Athletes Have Poor Track Record in Statewide Elections - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- The Rise of the Lincoln Democrats - E. J. Dionne, Washington Post
- PA: Don't Be Quick to Rule Out Swann, Campaign Says - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Troopers Endorse Swann - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: Rendell Says This Campaign Will Be His Last - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Rendell's Campaign is Low-Key and Upbeat - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA Governor Poll: Rendell (D) 51% Swann (R) 41% - Strategic Vision
- PA: Lynn Swann, Happy to Be on the President's Team - Washington Post
- PA Governor Poll: Rendell (D) 57% Swann (R) 38% - Quinnipiac
- John Micek: Pennsylvania Governor's Race (Video) - Washington Journal
- PA: Swann Puts His Message, Policy Ideas in a Book - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Democrats Unify as Gov. Rendell Embraces Casey - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA Governor Poll: Rendell (D) 35% Swann (R) 27% - IssuesPA
- PA: Swann Urges Rendell to Clean Up Slots 'Mess' - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA Governor Poll: Rendell (D) Sustains Double-Digit Lead - Rasmussen Reports
- PA: In the Suburbs, a Tepid Liking for Ed Rendell - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Swann Solicits Thoughts on Crime in South Phila. - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Rendell Aide Criticizes Swann for Accepting Pay for Speech - AP
- PA Governor Poll: Rendell (D) 49% Swann (R) 36% - Strategic Vision
- PA: Rendell 'Loves' Reporters, but They're Off the Bus - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Analysis: State's Spending Spikes Under Rendell - Associated Press
- PA: Swann Still Looking for Momentum - Philadelphia Inquirer
- Pa. Races Could Set Table for 2008 - Salena Zito, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review
- PA: Swann Makes New Hit on Property-Tax Plan - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA Governor Poll: Rendell (D) 50% Swann (R) 36% - Rasmussen Reports
- PA: Swann Details His Program for Boosting Education - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA Governor Poll: Rendell (D) 55% Swann (R) 31% - Quinnipiac
- PA: Swann's Storybook Life Has a Painful Chapter - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: In Fundraising, Rendell Piles It on as Swann Plays Catch-Up - Pitt Tribune-Review
- Swann Song in Pennsylvania? - G. Terry Madonna & Michael Young, RCP
- PA Poll: Rendell, Casey Maintain Leads Over Republicans - Strategic Vision
- PA: Swann, Rendell Campaigns Trade Political Volleys - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: Lynn Swann Is Running Like a Pro - Washington Post
- PA: Missteps Dog Swann Campaign - Washington Times
- Lynn Swann on His Run for Pa. Governor (Video) - Your World
- PA: Swann's Big Test: Phila. Suburbs - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Former Gov. Ridge Steps Up for 5-City Tour with Swann - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA Governor Poll: Rendell (D) 52% Swann (R) 34% - Rasmussen Reports
- PA: Ridge to Join Swann's Campaign - Pittsburgh Tribune-Review
- PA: State is No Sure Thing for GOP - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Swann Unveils His Property Tax Plan - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: Swann Aims to Hitch Raise to Rendell - Philadelphia Inquirer
- Republicans Pin Hopes on Black Candidates - Associated Press
- PA Primary Post-Mortem - G. Terry Madonna & Michael Young, RCP
- PA: Republicans' Anger Could Drag Down Santorum, Swann - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: Rendell, Swann Hitting the Road to November - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: TV Ads Boost Rendell - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA Governor Poll: Rendell Opens 22-Point Lead Over Swann - Quinnipiac
- PA: Rendell, Casey Hold on in Polls - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- The Year of the Black Republican? - Washington Post
- PA Poll: Rendell, Casey with 8 Point Leads - Strategic Vision
- PA: Rendell Leads Swann 5-1 in Fund Raising - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: Swann Gets Cash Boost From GOP Group - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA Poll: Santorum Closes Gap, Rendell Widens Lead - Pitt Tribune-Review
- PA: A Swann Victory Will Mean a Pay Cut - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA: Swann's Candidacy Creating Some Friction in GOP - Associated Press
- PA Governor Poll: Swann (R) 44% Rendell (D) 41% - Rasmussen Reports
- PA Governor Poll: Rendell (D) 45% Swann (R) 39% - Muhlenberg
- M. Cantwell, E. Rendell, J. Rell, T. Drumheller (Transcript) - Hardball
- PA: Campaign Gift to Rendell Is a Source of Contention - Pittsburgh PG
- PA: Specter Offers Support, Advice to Swann - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- What Swann Must Do - Colin McNickle, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review
- PA: Populist Leader in Race for Governor - Philadelphia Inquirer
- Voter Fraud in Pennsylvania? - John Fund, Opinion Journal
- PA Governor Poll: Rendell (D) 44% Swann (R) 42% - Strategic Vision
- PA: A Pennsylvania Spoiler Joins Race for Governor - New York Times
- PA: Poll Results Go Against Predictions in Senate, Gov. Races - Morning Call
- PA: Statewide Campaigns Start Early, May Get Nasty - Tribune-Democrat
- PA Governor Poll: Rendell Leads Swann By 10 Points - Quinnipiac
- PA: Rendell's Bulging War Chest Swamps Swann - Pittsburgh Trib-Review
- PA: Election-Year Budget Fight Expected to Be Fierce - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA: Lynn Swann Is Running Like a Pro For Governor - Washington Post
- PA: Rendell's Score on Jobs to Determine Election Fate - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- PA Governor Poll: Swann 35% Rendell 29% Undecided 34% - IssuesPA/Pew
- PA: A Sense That Swann Must Widen His Appeal - Philadelphia Inquirer
- PA Governor Poll: Rendell 44% Swann 41% - Rasmussen Reports