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Minnesota Governor Race

Candidates

Tim Pawlenty (R)*
Bio | Campaign Site
Mike Hatch (D)
Bio | Campaign Site
RealClearPolitics Snapshot
RCP Average: Hatch + 2.4% | RCP Chart
RCP Ranking: Toss Up
Key State Races: Senate | MN-6
Polling Data
PollDateSamplePawlenty (R)*Hatch (D)Und.Spread
RCP Average10/23 - 11/06-42.645.04.6Hatch +2.4
Star Tribune11/05 - 11/06747 LV41447Hatch +3.0
SurveyUSA11/03 - 11/05710 LV45451Tie
Rasmussen11/01 - 11/01500 LV45471Hatch +2.0
U. of Minnesota10/23 - 10/28663 LV39457Hatch +6.0
Mason-Dixon10/23 - 10/27625 LV43447Hatch +1.0
See All Minnesota Governor Race Polling Data
RealClearPolitics Analysis
(November 7) We think Pawlenty hangs on in a very tough year for Republicans.

(November 4) This race is a case of which polls do you believe? The Star-Tribune and the two university polls indicating a 6-10 point Hatch lead or Mason-Dixon, Rasmussen and SurveyUSA which all have this a one point race. We believe the one point polls. This race is very, very close.
Previous Election Results

Governor
2002: Pawlenty 44, Moe 36, Penny 16
1998: Ventura 37, Coleman 34, Humphrey 28

President
2004: Kerry 51, Bush 48
2000: Gore 48, Bush 46
1996: Clinton 51, Dole 35

Demographics
Occupation: Blue Collar 23.3% | White Collar 62.3% | Gray Collar 14.4%
Race: White 88.2% | Black 3.4% | Hispanic 2.9% | Asian 2.9%

Links for More Information
Recent Commentary & News Stories
- MN: Pawlenty Survives Tidal Wave, Raises National Profile - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Gov Debate Offers Contrasts - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: The Pace Quickens in Governor's Race - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Pawlenty and Hatch Argue Over Budget Cuts - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: The Environment Enters the Governor's Race - Minneapolis Star Tribune
See All Minnesota Governor Race Commentary & News Stories
Polling Data
PollDateSamplePawlenty (R)*Hatch (D)Und.Spread
RCP Average10/23 - 11/06-42.645.04.6Hatch +2.4
Star Tribune11/05 - 11/06747 LV41447Hatch +3.0
SurveyUSA11/03 - 11/05710 LV45451Tie
Rasmussen11/01 - 11/01500 LV45471Hatch +2.0
U. of Minnesota10/23 - 10/28663 LV39457Hatch +6.0
Zogby Interactive*10/23 - 10/27LV4546--Hatch +1.0
Mason-Dixon10/23 - 10/27625 LV43447Hatch +1.0
St. Cloud State U.10/15 - 10/27499 LV36467Hatch +10.0
Rasmussen10/25 - 10/25500 LV44452Hatch +1.0
SurveyUSA10/21 - 10/23606 LV44452Hatch +1.0
Zogby Interactive*10/10 - 10/16737 LV4545--Tie
MN Star-Tribune10/06 - 10/11818 LV37464Hatch +9.0
Rasmussen10/04 - 10/04500 LV46502Hatch +4.0
SurveyUSA09/25 - 09/27616 LV45443Pawlenty +1.0
Zogby Interactive*09/19 - 09/25718 LV43446Hatch +1.0
Mason-Dixon09/18 - 09/20625 LV423911Pawlenty +3.0
U. of Minnesota09/13 - 09/181023 LV42445Hatch +2.0
Star Tribune09/13 - 09/15820 LV42425Tie
Zogby Interactive*08/29 - 09/05n/a414215Hatch +1.0
Rasmussen08/28 - 08/28500 LV45398Pawlenty +6.0
Gallup08/23 - 08/27790 LV43445Hatch +1.0
Zogby Interactive*08/15 - 08/21n/a414312Hatch +2.0
Rasmussen08/01 - 08/01500 LV463612Pawlenty +10.0
SurveyUSA07/21 - 07/23616 RV50366Pawlenty +14.0
Star Tribune07/06 - 07/11813 LV43418Pawlenty +2.0
Rasmussen06/25 - 06/25500 LV42477Hatch +5.0
Rasmussen04/27 - 04/27500 LV43459Hatch +2.0
Rasmussen02/20 - 02/20500 LV424510Hatch +3.0
Rasmussen01/16 - 01/16500 LV424310Hatch +1.0
Rasmussen12/14 - 12/14500 LV41489Hatch +7.0
All Commentary & News Stories
- MN: Pawlenty Survives Tidal Wave, Raises National Profile - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Gov Debate Offers Contrasts - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: The Pace Quickens in Governor's Race - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Pawlenty and Hatch Argue Over Budget Cuts - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: The Environment Enters the Governor's Race - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Ticket Splitters Favor Pawlenty, Klobuchar - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Governor Debate Focuses on Stem Cell Research - Pioneer Press/AP
- MN: Governor Candidates Spar Over 5 Little Letters: t a x e s - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Gov Debate: A Faceoff on Three Issues -- And a Couple of Attacks - Star Tribune
- Rochelle Olson on the MN Governor Race (Video) - Washington Journal
- MN: Pawlenty, Hatch Tied in New Poll - Minneapolis Star-Tribune
- MN: Gov Candidates Debate State of the State - Minneapolis Star-Tribune
- MN: Pawlenty, Hatch Roll in Gov Primaries - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Gov Race Gets Down to Tactics - Minneapolis Star-Tribune
- MN: Pawlenty, Hatch Pull TV Ads on 9/11 - St. Paul Pioneer Press
- MN: Pawlenty's Coffers Filling Faster Than Rival Hatch's - Pioneer Press
- MN: Pawlenty Airs Campaign Pitch - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- Minnesota's Muddled Election Scene - Steven Schier, St. Paul Pioneer Press
- MN: Pawlenty Treads a Tightrope on His Loyalty to Bush - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN Governor Poll: Pawlenty (R) 46% Hatch (DFL) 36% - Rasmussen Reports
- MN: Hatch Saves Now to Spend It Later - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Pawlenty in Line to Lead Governors - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN Governor Poll: Pawlenty (R) 50% Hatch (D) 36% - Survey USA
- MN Governor Poll: Pawlenty (R) 43% Hatch (D) 41% - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Hatch Calls for Reversing Cuts to Law Enforcement - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN Governor Poll: Hatch (D) 47% Pawlenty (R) 42% - Rasmussen Reports
- MN: Judi Dutcher Will Be Hatch's Gov Running Mate - Star Tribune
- MN: A Campaign Preview: Half Empty or Half Full? - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Hatch Battles Way to DFL Endorsement - Pioneer Press
- MN: Republicans Give Pawlenty an Enthusiastic Nod - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: A Wiser Pawlenty Readies for Race - Pioneer Press
- As Minnesota Goes . . . - Barry Casselman, Weekly Standard
- MN: Gov. Pawlenty Touts 'Innovative Spirit' - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Hatch, Klobuchar Dominate DFL Rivals at Precinct Caucuses - Pioneer Press