Early October Michigan GOP Poll (10-2-07)

1. If the Republican primary for President of the United States were held in your state today which one candidate would you vote for? Your choices will be Sam Brownback, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson or no opinion. Now if the Republican primary were held today which candidate would you vote for?

			Age				Race				Gender		Political Philosophy
		Total	18 - 29	30 - 44	45 - 64	65+	White	Black	Hisp-anic	Other	Male	Female	Reli-gious	Gen-eral	Moderate cons.	Mod-erate
(Base)		(1190)	(64)	(217)	(484)	(425)	(1064)	(64)	(10)	(52)	(475)	(715)	(323)	(314)	(246)	(307)
		%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
	Giuliani	19.0	21.9	24.9	14.9	13.6	17.0	10.9	10.0	17.3	17.5	16.1	13.2	24.3	21.5	16.0
	Romney	16.0	4.7	11.5	14.7	24.0	18.1	6.3	20.0	3.8	19.2	15.4	16.5	25.3	14.2	6.3
	McCain	15.0	20.3	14.3	14.3	14.1	15.0	7.8	.0	15.4	13.5	15.2	15.0	6.3	20.4	19.5
	Thompson	14.0	7.8	16.1	17.6	9.2	14.2	7.8	.0	15.4	16.2	12.2	22.5	18.1	9.2	4.5
	Huckabee	6.0	6.3	7.8	5.4	3.8	5.0	7.8	10.0	7.7	5.9	4.9	6.3	5.6	6.4	4.7
	Paul	5.0	10.9	5.5	5.0	3.1	4.4	4.7	20.0	7.7	6.1	3.8	4.4	4.4	3.7	8.1
	Brownback	2.0	1.6	2.8	2.3	1.6	2.1	3.1	10.0	.0	3.2	1.4	4.4	2.2	.4	1.8
	Hunter	2.0	4.7	.9	1.4	.9	1.3	3.1	.0	.0	1.3	1.4	1.7	1.7	1.8	1.0
	No opinion	21.0	21.9	16.1	24.6	29.6	22.8	48.4	30.0	32.7	17.3	29.7	16.0	12.2	22.5	38.1

2. Age:

			Age				Race				Gender		Political Philosophy
		Total	18 - 29	30 - 44	45 - 64	65+	White	Black	Hisp-anic	Other	Male	Female	Reli-gious	Gen-eral	Moderate cons.	Mod-erate
(Base)		(1190)	(64)	(217)	(484)	(425)	(1064)	(64)	(10)	(52)	(475)	(715)	(323)	(314)	(246)	(307)
		%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
	18 - 29	11.0	100.0	.0	.0	.0	4.8	10.9	.0	11.5	6.7	4.5	15.5	7.2	11.9	9.5
	30 - 44	30.0	.0	100.0	.0	.0	17.9	18.8	60.0	17.3	22.7	15.2	23.8	34.4	28.6	33.2
	45 - 64	33.0	.0	.0	100.0	.0	41.2	32.8	10.0	46.2	38.7	42.0	30.1	33.6	35.9	33.2
	65+	26.0	.0	.0	.0	100.0	36.2	37.5	30.0	25.0	31.8	38.3	30.6	24.8	23.7	24.1

3. Race:

			Age				Race				Gender		Political Philosophy
		Total	18 - 29	30 - 44	45 - 64	65+	White	Black	Hisp-anic	Other	Male	Female	Reli-gious	Gen-eral	Moderate cons.	Mod-erate
(Base)		(1190)	(64)	(217)	(484)	(425)	(1064)	(64)	(10)	(52)	(475)	(715)	(323)	(314)	(246)	(307)
		%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
	White	94.0	79.7	87.6	90.5	90.6	100.0	.0	.0	.0	90.3	88.8	93.6	96.1	93.2	93.0
	Black	4.0	10.9	5.5	4.3	5.6	.0	100.0	.0	.0	3.4	6.7	4.7	1.6	5.9	4.3
	Hispanic	1.0	.0	2.8	.2	.7	.0	.0	100.0	.0	1.1	.7	1.4	1.2	.3	.9
	Other	.9	9.4	4.1	5.0	3.1	.0	.0	.0	100.0	5.3	3.8	.3	1.1	.6	1.7

4. Gender:

			Age				Race				Gender		Political Philosophy
		Total	18 - 29	30 - 44	45 - 64	65+	White	Black	Hisp-anic	Other	Male	Female	Reli-gious	Gen-eral	Moderate cons.	Mod-erate
(Base)		(1190)	(64)	(217)	(484)	(425)	(1064)	(64)	(10)	(52)	(475)	(715)	(323)	(314)	(246)	(307)
		%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
	Male	47.0	50.0	49.8	38.0	35.5	40.3	25.0	50.0	48.1	100.0	.0	45.7	51.9	45.5	44.4
	Female	53.0	50.0	50.2	62.0	64.5	59.7	75.0	50.0	51.9	.0	100.0	54.3	48.1	54.5	55.6

5. Political philosophy:

			Age				Race				Gender		Political Philosophy
		Total	18 - 29	30 - 44	45 - 64	65+	White	Black	Hisp-anic	Other	Male	Female	Reli-gious	Gen-eral	Moderate cons.	Mod-erate
(Base)		(1190)	(64)	(217)	(484)	(425)	(1064)	(64)	(10)	(52)	(475)	(715)	(323)	(314)	(246)	(307)
		%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
	Religious conservative	27.3	35.9	21.2	24.8	31.5	27.4	31.3	40.0	13.5	26.9	27.3	100.0	.0	.0	.0
	General conservative	26.9	17.2	31.8	26.2	25.2	27.4	9.4	30.0	25.0	28.8	24.8	.0	100.0	.0	.0
	Moderate conservative	20.7	21.9	19.4	22.7	18.8	20.4	31.3	10.0	15.4	19.8	21.3	.0	.0	100.0	.0
	Moderate	25.1	25.0	27.6	26.2	24.5	24.7	28.1	20.0	46.2	24.4	26.7	.0	.0	.0	100.0