Early October Florida GOP Poll (10-2-07)

1. If the Republican primary for President of the United States were held in your state today which one candidate would you vote for? Your choices will be Sam Brownback, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson or no opinion. Now if the Republican primary were held today which candidate would you vote for?

			Age				Race				Gender		Political Philosophy
		Total	18 - 29	30 - 44	45 - 64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Other	Male	Female	Reli-gious	Gen-eral	Moderate cons.	Mod-erate
(Base)		(725)	(26)	(57)	(272)	(370)	(671)	(14)	(20)	(20)	(309)	(416)	(199)	(253)	(170)	(103)
		%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
	Giuliani	29.0	37.3	39.1	28.7	27.2	29.5	42.9	40.0	5.0	25.2	32.5	21.8	32.5	39.2	18.8
	Thompson	19.0	16.7	25.3	22.6	14.5	18.2	14.3	5.0	25.0	24.6	13.0	21.5	21.5	15.1	11.1
	Romney	16.0	4.1	6.5	11.3	22.7	17.4	.0	.0	15.0	15.9	17.1	20.0	16.7	19.0	4.8
	McCain	10.0	7.6	6.8	10.5	11.2	10.9	.0	5.0	10.0	11.0	10.1	8.6	10.2	10.6	14.2
	Huckabee	6.0	8.3	1.5	8.8	3.7	5.7	.0	5.0	10.0	5.5	5.8	10.3	4.4	1.9	5.4
	Paul	3.0	6.8	7.4	3.7	2.3	3.1	14.3	5.0	.0	3.6	3.1	.8	3.2	4.6	7.0
	Brownback	1.0	.0	2.8	.7	1.6	1.2	.0	5.0	5.0	1.0	1.7	3.2	.0	.5	2.1
	Hunter	1.0	8.4	.0	1.1	1.2	1.0	7.1	.0	5.0	1.3	1.2	1.9	1.2	.0	2.7
	No opinion	15.0	10.8	10.5	12.8	15.5	13.0	21.4	35.0	25.0	12.0	15.6	11.9	10.3	9.1	33.9

2. Age:

			Age				Race				Gender		Political Philosophy
		Total	18 - 29	30 - 44	45 - 64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Other	Male	Female	Reli-gious	Gen-eral	Moderate cons.	Mod-erate
(Base)		(725)	(26)	(57)	(272)	(370)	(671)	(14)	(20)	(20)	(309)	(416)	(199)	(253)	(170)	(103)
		%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
	18 - 29	3.6	100.0	.0	.0	.0	3.1	.0	15.0	10.0	5.8	1.9	6.7	1.6	4.2	1.9
	30 - 44	8.5	.0	100.0	.0	.0	6.3	42.9	20.0	25.0	12.3	4.6	7.8	10.5	5.1	10.6
	45 - 64	37.2	.0	.0	100.0	.0	37.6	21.4	50.0	35.0	37.2	37.7	34.3	35.1	38.9	45.4
	65+	50.6	.0	.0	.0	100.0	53.1	35.7	15.0	30.0	44.7	55.8	51.2	52.8	51.8	42.1

3. Race:

			Age				Race				Gender		Political Philosophy
		Total	18 - 29	30 - 44	45 - 64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Other	Male	Female	Reli-gious	Gen-eral	Moderate cons.	Mod-erate
(Base)		(725)	(26)	(57)	(272)	(370)	(671)	(14)	(20)	(20)	(309)	(416)	(199)	(253)	(170)	(103)
		%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
	White	92.0	83.0	70.6	92.9	95.6	100.0	.0	.0	.0	92.2	92.8	92.3	94.6	92.3	84.6
	Black	3.0	.0	15.2	1.7	2.2	.0	100.0	.0	.0	1.6	2.2	3.1	2.4	1.8	6.4
	Hispanic	2.1	8.5	5.4	2.7	.6	.0	.0	100.0	.0	2.3	3.1	2.0	1.7	2.3	2.8
	Other	2.9	8.5	8.8	2.6	1.7	.0	.0	.0	100.0	3.9	1.9	2.6	1.3	3.7	6.1

4. Gender:

			Age				Race				Gender		Political Philosophy
		Total	18 - 29	30 - 44	45 - 64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Other	Male	Female	Reli-gious	Gen-eral	Moderate cons.	Mod-erate
(Base)		(725)	(26)	(57)	(272)	(370)	(671)	(14)	(20)	(20)	(309)	(416)	(199)	(253)	(170)	(103)
		%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
	Male	47.0	73.9	68.2	46.8	41.7	42.5	35.7	35.0	60.0	100.0	.0	46.3	49.9	41.7	50.0
	Female	53.0	26.1	31.8	53.2	58.3	57.5	64.3	65.0	40.0	.0	100.0	53.7	50.1	58.3	50.0

5. Political philosophy:

			Age				Race				Gender		Political Philosophy
		Total	18 - 29	30 - 44	45 - 64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Other	Male	Female	Reli-gious	Gen-eral	Moderate cons.	Mod-erate
(Base)		(725)	(26)	(57)	(272)	(370)	(671)	(14)	(20)	(20)	(309)	(416)	(199)	(253)	(170)	(103)
		%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
	Religious conservative	27.4	50.3	25.0	25.3	27.8	27.6	28.6	25.0	25.0	27.2	27.6	100.0	.0	.0	.0
	General conservative	35.0	15.2	43.3	33.0	36.6	35.8	28.6	30.0	15.0	37.2	33.2	.0	100.0	.0	.0
	Moderate conservative	23.1	26.9	13.8	24.1	23.7	23.4	14.3	25.0	30.0	20.7	25.5	.0	.0	100.0	.0
	Moderate	14.4	7.6	18.0	17.6	12.0	13.3	28.6	20.0	30.0	14.9	13.7	.0	.0	.0	100.0