POLL IS EMBARGOED UNTIL WEDNESDAY, MAY 4TH, AT 11:15 PM

POLL IS EMBARGOED UNTIL WEDNESDAY, MAY 4^TH, AT 11:15 PM

N= 400 100%

Hillsborough ................................... 1 ( 1/ 91) 118 30%

Rockingham ..................................... 2 92 23%

North/West ..................................... 3 90 23%

Central ........................................ 4 100 25%

START

Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for 7NEWS/Suffolk

University and I would like to get your opinions on some political questions.

Would you be willing to spend five minutes answering some questions?

N= 400 100%

Continue ....................................... 1 ( 1/ 93) 400 100%

RECORD GENDER

N= 400 100%

Male ........................................... 1 ( 1/ 94) 201 50%

Female ......................................... 2 199 50%

S2. How likely are you to vote in the Republican Presidential Primary in

January of 2012?

N= 400 100%

Very likely .................................... 1 ( 1/ 95) 323 81%

Somewhat likely ................................ 2 37 9%

50/50 .......................................... 3 40 10%

Not very likely ................................ 4 0 0%

Not at all likely .............................. 5 0 0%

Other/Dk/RF .................................... 6 0 0%

S3. Are you currently registered as a Democrat, Republican, Unenrolled/

Independent, something else or are you not registered to vote?

N= 400 100%

Democratic ..................................... 1 ( 1/ 98) 38 10%

Republican ..................................... 2 199 50%

Unenrolled/Ind ................................. 3 151 38%

Other .......................................... 4 8 2%

Not registered ................................. 5 4 1%

S4. Just to be clear, although you are a registered <S3> you intend to vote in

the Republican Presidential Primary in January 2012?

N= 197 100%

Yes ............................................ 1 ( 1/ 99) 197 100%

No ............................................. 2 0 0%

S5. What is your age category? (READ LIST)

N= 400 100%

18-34 years .................................... 1 ( 1/102) 29 7%

35-44 years .................................... 2 65 16%

45-54 years .................................... 3 86 22%

55-64 years .................................... 4 94 24%

65-74 years .................................... 5 57 14%

75+ years ...................................... 6 67 17%

Refused ........................................ 7 2 1%

S6. For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me what your ethnic

background / ancestry is?

READ LIST

N= 400 100%

White/Caucasian ................................ 1 ( 1/103) 359 90%

Black/African American ......................... 2 1 0%

American Indian/Alaska Native .................. 3 4 1%

Asian .......................................... 4 0 0%

Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander ......... 5 0 0%

Hispanic/Latino ................................ 6 3 1%

Other (DO NOT READ) ............................ 7 9 2%

Refused (DO NOT READ) .......................... 8 24 6%

Q1. Is your opinion of Barack Obama generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

N= 400 100%

Never heard of ................................. 1 ( 1/105) 0 0%

Favorable ...................................... 2 144 36%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 234 59%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 22 6%

Q2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

N= 400 100%

Never heard of ................................. 1 ( 1/106) 4 1%

Favorable ...................................... 2 258 65%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 86 22%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 52 13%

Q3. Is your opinion of Sarah Palin generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

N= 400 100%

Never heard of ................................. 1 ( 1/107) 0 0%

Favorable ...................................... 2 166 42%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 183 46%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 51 13%

Q4. Is your opinion of Jon Huntsman generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

N= 400 100%

Never heard of ................................. 1 ( 1/108) 235 59%

Favorable ...................................... 2 31 8%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 27 7%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 107 27%

Q5. Is your opinion of Tim Pawlenty generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

N= 400 100%

Never heard of ................................. 1 ( 1/109) 122 31%

Favorable ...................................... 2 119 30%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 51 13%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 108 27%

Q6. Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

N= 400 100%

Never heard of ................................. 1 ( 1/110) 14 4%

Favorable ...................................... 2 151 38%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 151 38%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 84 21%

Q7. Is your opinion of Michele Bachmann generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

N= 400 100%

Never heard of ................................. 1 ( 1/111) 118 30%

Favorable ...................................... 2 99 25%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 87 22%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 96 24%

Q8. Is your opinion of Donald Trump generally favorable or generally unfavorable?

N= 400 100%

Never heard of ................................. 1 ( 1/112) 1 0%

Favorable ...................................... 2 109 27%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 225 56%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 65 16%

Q9. Is your opinion of Ron Paul generally favorable or generally unfavorable?

N= 400 100%

Never heard of ................................. 1 ( 1/113) 21 5%

Favorable ...................................... 2 162 41%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 127 32%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 90 23%

Q10. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

N= 400 100%

Never heard of ................................. 1 ( 1/114) 12 3%

Favorable ...................................... 2 164 41%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 124 31%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 100 25%

Q11. Is your opinion of Colin Powell generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

N= 400 100%

Never heard of ................................. 1 ( 1/115) 11 3%

Favorable ...................................... 2 258 65%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 82 21%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 49 12%

The following are questions about national politicians and issues:

Q12. Do you think the country is heading in the right direction or is on the

wrong track?

N= 400 100%

Right direction ................................ 1 ( 1/116) 47 12%

Wrong track .................................... 2 334 84%

Undecided ...................................... 3 19 5%

Q13. Do you believe the Republican Party today is too conservative, not

conservative enough, or does it match your values?

N= 400 100%

Too conservative ............................... 1 ( 1/117) 115 29%

Not conservative enough ........................ 2 140 35%

Matches my values .............................. 3 95 24%

Undecided ...................................... 4 50 13%

Q14. Do you think the Tea Party has too much influence in Washington, not

enough influence or is their level of influence about right?

N= 400 100%

Too much ....................................... 1 ( 1/118) 79 20%

Not enough ..................................... 2 122 31%

About right .................................... 3 142 36%

Undecided ...................................... 4 57 14%

PRE15

There is a long list of candidates who may appear on the ballot next January

in New Hampshire's Presidential Primary.

N= 400 100%

Continue ....................................... 1 ( 1/119) 400 100%

Q15. If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were held today and the

candidates were {alphabetical} Michele Bachmann, John Bolton, Herman Cain, Mitch Daniels,

Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Jon Huntsman, Gary Johnson, Fred Karger,

Roy Moore, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Buddy Roemer, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum

and Donald Trump, for whom will you vote or toward whom would you LEAN at this time?

N= 400 100%

Michele Bachmann ............................... 01 ( 1/120) 10 3%

John Bolton .................................... 02 5 1%

Herman Cain .................................... 03 8 2%

Mitch Daniels .................................. 04 3 1%

Newt Gingrich .................................. 05 11 3%

Rudy Giuliani .................................. 06 30 8%

Mike Huckabee .................................. 07 23 6%

Jon Huntsman ................................... 08 1 0%

Gary Johnson ................................... 09 3 1%

Fred Karger .................................... 10 0 0%

Roy Moore ...................................... 11 0 0%

Sarah Palin .................................... 12 26 7%

Ron Paul ....................................... 13 32 8%

Tim Pawlenty ................................... 14 19 5%

Buddy Roemer ................................... 15 1 0%

Mitt Romney .................................... 16 138 35%

Rick Santorum .................................. 17 7 2%

Donald Trump ................................... 18 32 8%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 19 51 13%

Q16. If your first choice for the Republican Presidential nominee dropped out

of the race, who would you vote for instead (READ LIST), for whom will you

vote or toward whom would you LEAN at this time?

N= 400 100%

Michele Bachmann ............................... 01 ( 1/122) 14 4%

John Bolton .................................... 02 1 0%

Herman Cain .................................... 03 4 1%

Mitch Daniels .................................. 04 7 2%

Newt Gingrich .................................. 05 33 8%

Rudy Giuliani .................................. 06 35 9%

Mike Huckabee .................................. 07 38 10%

Jon Huntsman ................................... 08 5 1%

Gary Johnson ................................... 09 2 1%

Fred Karger .................................... 10 0 0%

Roy Moore ...................................... 11 0 0%

Sarah Palin .................................... 12 16 4%

Ron Paul ....................................... 13 22 6%

Tim Pawlenty ................................... 14 12 3%

Buddy Roemer ................................... 15 0 0%

Mitt Romney .................................... 16 66 17%

Rick Santorum .................................. 17 3 1%

Donald Trump ................................... 18 22 6%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 19 120 30%

Q17. Despite who you're personally voting for, who do you expect the next

president will be - Barack Obama or one of the Republican candidates?

N= 400 100%

Barack Obama ................................... 01 ( 1/124) 113 28%

Michele Bachmann ............................... 02 3 1%

John Bolton .................................... 03 2 1%

Herman Cain .................................... 04 2 1%

Mitch Daniels .................................. 05 1 0%

Newt Gingrich .................................. 06 5 1%

Rudy Giuliani .................................. 07 9 2%

Mike Huckabee .................................. 08 16 4%

Jon Huntsman ................................... 09 0 0%

Gary Johnson ................................... 10 0 0%

Fred Karger .................................... 11 0 0%

Roy Moore ...................................... 12 0 0%

Sarah Palin .................................... 13 6 2%

Ron Paul ....................................... 14 4 1%

Tim Pawlenty ................................... 15 7 2%

Buddy Roemer ................................... 16 0 0%

Mitt Romney .................................... 17 81 20%

Rick Santorum .................................. 18 2 1%

Donald Trump ................................... 19 30 8%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 20 119 30%

Q18. Of the Republican candidates we've discussed thus far, who do you feel is

the most conservative?...I can read the list of candidates again if you would

like.

N= 400 100%

Michele Bachmann ............................... 01 ( 1/126) 33 8%

John Bolton .................................... 02 0 0%

Herman Cain .................................... 03 4 1%

Mitch Daniels .................................. 04 0 0%

Newt Gingrich .................................. 05 52 13%

Rudy Giuliani .................................. 06 1 0%

Mike Huckabee .................................. 07 34 9%

Jon Huntsman ................................... 08 2 1%

Gary Johnson ................................... 09 0 0%

Fred Karger .................................... 10 0 0%

Roy Moore ...................................... 11 0 0%

Sarah Palin .................................... 12 27 7%

Ron Paul ....................................... 13 71 18%

Tim Pawlenty ................................... 14 6 2%

Buddy Roemer ................................... 15 0 0%

Mitt Romney .................................... 16 30 8%

Rick Santorum .................................. 17 7 2%

Donald Trump ................................... 18 13 3%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 19 120 30%

Q19. Who do you feel is the least conservative?...And I can read the list of

candidates again if you would like.

N= 400 100%

Michele Bachmann ............................... 01 ( 1/128) 4 1%

John Bolton .................................... 02 1 0%

Herman Cain .................................... 03 0 0%

Mitch Daniels .................................. 04 0 0%

Newt Gingrich .................................. 05 7 2%

Rudy Giuliani .................................. 06 43 11%

Mike Huckabee .................................. 07 21 5%

Jon Huntsman ................................... 08 3 1%

Gary Johnson ................................... 09 0 0%

Fred Karger .................................... 10 0 0%

Roy Moore ...................................... 11 0 0%

Sarah Palin .................................... 12 30 8%

Ron Paul ....................................... 13 20 5%

Tim Pawlenty ................................... 14 9 2%

Buddy Roemer ................................... 15 1 0%

Mitt Romney .................................... 16 54 14%

Rick Santorum .................................. 17 1 0%

Donald Trump ................................... 18 50 13%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 19 156 39%

Q20. Some Republicans have stated they are NOT running for president in 2012,

however, if Jeb Bush, Scott Brown, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, or Colin

Powell were to enter the presidential race, would you support one of them over

the candidate that is currently your first choice?

N= 400 100%

Jeb Bush ....................................... 1 ( 1/130) 29 7%

Brown .......................................... 2 24 6%

Christie ....................................... 3 63 16%

Jindal ......................................... 4 9 2%

Powell ......................................... 5 118 30%

None ........................................... 6 112 28%

Undecided ...................................... 7 45 11%

Q21. How satisfied are you with the Republican field of candidates?

N= 400 100%

Very satisfied ................................. 1 ( 1/131) 39 10%

Somewhat satisfied ............................. 2 171 43%

Somewhat dissatisfied .......................... 3 106 27%

Very dissatisfied .............................. 4 52 13%

Undecided ...................................... 5 32 8%

Q22. Do you think Donald Trump will become an official candidate for president?

N= 400 100%

Yes ............................................ 1 ( 1/132) 156 39%

No ............................................. 2 220 55%

Undecided ...................................... 3 24 6%

Q23. Thinking about Mitt Romney, does his involvement in helping to pass

Massachusetts's universal health care make you more likely to vote for him,

less likely, or does it not affect your decision?

N= 400 100%

More likely .................................... 1 ( 1/133) 57 14%

Less likely .................................... 2 114 29%

No effect ...................................... 3 211 53%

Undecided ...................................... 4 18 5%

Q24. What is the most important quality in a presidential candidate to you?

N= 400 100%

“Honesty”....................................... 01 ( 1/134) 115 29%

“Good leader”................................... 02 31 8%

“Listen to voters”.............................. 03 26 7%

“Openness”...................................... 04 6 2%

“Work on economy”............................... 05 23 6%

“Integrity”..................................... 06 40 10%

“Balance budget”................................ 07 26 7%

“Uphold constitution”........................... 08 10 3%

“Business experience”........................... 09 8 2%

“Truthful”...................................... 10 10 3%

“Smart”......................................... 11 15 4%

“Conservative”.................................. 12 7 2%

“Strong”........................................ 13 14 4%

“Fiscal conservative”........................... 14 3 1%

“Experienced”................................... 15 6 2%

Other ................................. 00 41 10%

Don't know ..................................... 99 19 5%

Q25. What do you think is the most important issue facing the country right

now?

READ LIST

N= 400 100%

Reducing the national debt ..................... 01 ( 1/136) 112 28%

Taxes .......................................... 02 8 2%

Jobs and the economy ........................... 03 149 37%

Schools and education .......................... 04 8 2%

Health care .................................... 05 21 5%

Military involvement in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya 06 24 6%

Energy independence ............................ 07 19 5%

Illegal immigration ............................ 08 20 5%

Abortion policy ................................ 09 5 1%

Same sex marriage .............................. 10 1 0%

Civil liberties ................................ 11 2 1%

Terrorism and National security ................ 12 15 4%

Undecided ...................................... 13 16 4%

Q26. What do you think is then second most important issue facing the country

right now?

READ LIST

N= 384 100%

Reducing the national debt ..................... 01 ( 1/138) 58 15%

Taxes .......................................... 02 22 6%

Jobs and the economy ........................... 03 74 19%

Schools and education .......................... 04 22 6%

Health care .................................... 05 40 10%

Military involvement in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya 06 56 15%

Energy independence ............................ 07 27 7%

Illegal immigration ............................ 08 38 10%

Abortion policy ................................ 09 5 1%

Same sex marriage .............................. 10 1 0%

Civil liberties ................................ 11 6 2%

Terrorism and National security ................ 12 35 9%

Undecided ...................................... 13 0 0%

Q27. Recently, Congressman Paul Ryan introduced a plan to reduce the national

debt called "The Path to Prosperity," which has been embraced by most

Republicans in Washington. The plan makes significant cuts to Medicare and

Medicaid and calls for cutting corporate taxes. How would you characterize

your support for this plan, strongly approve, approve, disapprove, strongly

disapprove?

N= 400 100%

Strongly approve ............................... 1 ( 1/140) 68 17%

Approve ........................................ 2 119 30%

Disapprove ..................................... 3 81 20%

Strongly disapprove ............................ 4 75 19%

Undecided ...................................... 5 57 14%

Q28. Do you agree or disagree that raising taxes should be an option for

helping to reduce the national debt?

N= 400 100%

Agree .......................................... 1 ( 1/141) 129 32%

Disagree ....................................... 2 252 63%

Undecided ...................................... 3 19 5%

Q29. Do you agree or disagree that making changes or cuts to entitlement

programs like Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security are necessary for

reducing the national debt?

N= 400 100%

Agree .......................................... 1 ( 1/142) 192 48%

Disagree ....................................... 2 180 45%

Undecided ...................................... 3 28 7%

Q30. Do you think that the near-universal health care bill passed by Democrats

last year should be repealed, modified or left alone?

N= 400 100%

Repealed ....................................... 1 ( 1/143) 209 52%

Modified ....................................... 2 134 34%

Left alone ..................................... 3 39 10%

Undecided ...................................... 4 18 5%

Q31. Should the federal government eliminate tax breaks and subsidies for oil

companies?

N= 400 100%

Yes ............................................ 1 ( 1/144) 256 64%

No ............................................. 2 107 27%

Undecided ...................................... 3 37 9%

Q32. Does the White House producing President Obama's long form birth

certificate put the issue of Obama's birthplace to rest?

N= 400 100%

Yes ............................................ 1 ( 1/145) 237 59%

No ............................................. 2 105 26%

Undecided ...................................... 3 58 15%

Q33. Are you comfortable with religious language and references in political

speeches?

N= 400 100%

Yes ............................................ 1 ( 1/146) 289 72%

No ............................................. 2 84 21%

Undecided ...................................... 3 27 7%

Q34. Do you feel that a President's religion should affect his or her

policymaking all of the time, some of the time, or never?

N= 400 100%

All of the time ................................ 1 ( 1/147) 48 12%

Some of the time ............................... 2 93 23%

Never .......................................... 3 253 63%

Undecided ...................................... 4 6 2%

Q35. Are Mormons Christians?

N= 400 100%

Yes ............................................ 1 ( 1/148) 250 63%

No ............................................. 2 72 18%

Undecided ...................................... 3 78 20%

DEMOS

[THE FINAL QUESTIONS WILL HELP US CLASSIFY YOUR RESPONSES WITH OTHERS TAKING

THE SURVEY]

N= 400 100%

Continue ....................................... 1 ( 1/149) 400 100%

Q36. Are your values similar to that of the Tea Party?

N= 400 100%

Yes ............................................ 1 ( 1/150) 82 21%

No ............................................. 2 303 76%

Undecided ...................................... 3 15 4%

Q37. Would you describe yourself as conservative, moderate or liberal?

N= 400 100%

Conservative ................................... 1 ( 1/151) 180 45%

Moderate ....................................... 2 171 43%

Liberal ........................................ 3 34 9%

Undecided ...................................... 4 15 4%

Q38. Do you currently have children in the school system?

N= 400 100%

Yes ............................................ 1 ( 1/152) 116 29%

No ............................................. 2 282 71%

Undecided ...................................... 3 2 1%