Florida Marginals

START

Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk

University and I would like to get your opinions on some political questions.

Would you be willing to spend five minutes answering some questions?

N= 800 100%

Continue ....................................... 1 ( 1/108) 800 100%

GENDR

RECORD GENDER

N= 800 100%

Male ........................................... 1 ( 1/109) 383 48%

Female ......................................... 2 417 52%

S2. Are you enrolled as a Democrat, Republican, or Independent / No Party

Affiliation?

N= 800 100%

Democrat ....................................... 1 ( 1/113) 326 41%

Republican ..................................... 2 287 36%

No party/Other ................................. 3 187 23%

Und/Ref/Not reg ................................ 4 0 0%

S3. What is your age category?

N= 800 100%

18-24 YRS ...................................... 1 ( 1/116) 33 4%

25-34 YRS ...................................... 2 50 6%

35-44 YRS ...................................... 3 144 18%

45-54 YRS ...................................... 4 168 21%

55-64 YRS ...................................... 5 168 21%

65-74 YRS ...................................... 6 144 18%

75+ YRS ........................................ 7 81 10%

Refused ........................................ 8 12 2%

S4. For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me what your ethnic

background / ancestry is?

N= 800 100%

White/Caucasian ................................ 1 ( 1/117) 536 67%

Black/African-American ......................... 2 99 12%

American Indian/Alaska Native .................. 3 5 1%

Asian .......................................... 4 9 1%

Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander ......... 5 5 1%

Hispanic/Latino ................................ 6 102 13%

Other .......................................... 7 20 3%

Don't know(DO NOT READ) ........................ 8 24 3%

PRE1

Great, I am going to read you a list of individuals in state and local

politics. For each, please tell me if your opinion of them is generally

favorable or generally unfavorable. If you are undecided or if you have never

heard of someone, just tell me that. First take Barack Obama.

N= 800 100%

Continue ....................................... 1 ( 1/118) 800 100%

Q1. Is your opinion of Barack Obama generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

N= 800 100%

Never heard .................................... 1 ( 1/119) 2 0%

Favorable ...................................... 2 361 45%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 384 48%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 53 7%

Q2. Is your opinion of Rick Scott generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q3. Is your opinion of Bill Nelson generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q4. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio (ROO-be-oh) generally favorable or

generally unfavorable?

N= 800 100%

Never heard .................................... 1 ( 1/122) 59 7%

Favorable ...................................... 2 321 40%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 246 31%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 174 22%

Q5. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

N= 800 100%

Never heard .................................... 1 ( 1/123) 1 0%

Favorable ...................................... 2 509 64%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 220 28%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 70 9%

Q6. Is your opinion of Charlie Crist generally favorable or generally

unfavorable?

N= 800 100%

Never heard .................................... 1 ( 1/124) 35 4%

Favorable ...................................... 2 363 45%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 282 35%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 120 15%

Q7. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush generally favorable or generally unfavorable?

N= 800 100%

Never heard .................................... 1 ( 1/125) 14 2%

Favorable ...................................... 2 410 51%

Unfavorable .................................... 3 284 36%

Heard of/Undecided ............................. 4 92 12%

Q8

The following are questions about Florida politicians and issues:

Q8. Do you think the country is heading in the right direction or is on the

wrong track?

N= 800 100%

Right direction ................................ 1 ( 1/126) 163 20%

Wrong Track .................................... 2 525 66%

Undecided ...................................... 3 112 14%

Q9. Do you think that Florida is heading in the right direction or is on the

wrong track?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as

President?

N= 800 100%

Approve ........................................ 1 ( 1/128) 327 41%

Disapprove ..................................... 2 398 50%

Undecided ...................................... 3 75 9%

Q11. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Rick Scott is doing as Governor?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q12. Is the recession over in Florida?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q13. Which is more important to you: maintaining state services or cutting

state spending?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q14. Thinking about the 2012 Republican Primary for President of the United

States, if the candidates were (READ LIST), for whom will you vote or toward

whom would you LEAN at this time?

N= 287 100%

Michele Bachmann ............................... 01 ( 1/132) 3 1%

Herman Cain .................................... 02 69 24%

Newt Gingrich .................................. 03 31 11%

Jon Huntsman ................................... 04 5 2%

Gary Johnson ................................... 05 2 1%

Fred Karger .................................... 06 0 0%

Ron Paul ....................................... 08 14 5%

Rick Perry ..................................... 09 27 9%

Buddy Roemer ................................... 10 0 0%

Mitt Romney .................................... 11 71 25%

Rick Santorum .................................. 12 4 1%

Other (DO NOT READ) ............................ 13 4 1%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 14 57 20%

Q15. If your first choice for the Republican Presidential nominee dropped out

of the race, who would you vote for instead (READ LIST) for whom will you vote

or toward whom would you LEAN at this time?

N= 230 100%

Michele Bachmann ............................... 01 ( 1/134) 17 7%

Herman Cain .................................... 02 62 27%

Newt Gingrich .................................. 03 32 14%

Jon Huntsman ................................... 04 6 3%

Gary Johnson ................................... 05 0 0%

Fred Karger .................................... 06 0 0%

Ron Paul ....................................... 08 7 3%

Rick Perry ..................................... 09 21 9%

Buddy Roemer ................................... 10 0 0%

Mitt Romney .................................... 11 40 17%

Rick Santorum .................................. 12 5 2%

Other (DO NOT READ) ............................ 13 2 1%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 14 38 17%

Q16. If the General Election for United States President were held today and

the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney for whom

will you vote or towards whom do you LEAN at this time?

N= 800 100%

Obama .......................................... 1 ( 1/136) 334 42%

Romney ......................................... 2 337 42%

Other .......................................... 3 39 5%

Undecided ...................................... 4 80 10%

Refused ........................................ 5 10 1%

Q17. How about Barack Obama and Herman Cain?

N= 800 100%

Obama .......................................... 1 ( 1/137) 338 42%

Cain ........................................... 2 308 39%

Other .......................................... 3 32 4%

Undecided ...................................... 4 115 14%

Refused ........................................ 5 7 1%

Q18. How about Barack Obama and Rick Perry?

N= 800 100%

Obama .......................................... 1 ( 1/138) 364 46%

Perry .......................................... 2 273 34%

Other .......................................... 3 34 4%

Undecided ...................................... 4 119 15%

Refused ........................................ 5 10 1%

Q19. How about Barack Obama and Ron Paul?

N= 800 100%

Obama .......................................... 1 ( 1/139) 348 44%

Paul ........................................... 2 255 32%

Other .......................................... 3 39 5%

Undecided ...................................... 4 151 19%

Refused ........................................ 5 7 1%

Q20. How about Barack Obama and Newt Gingrich?

N= 800 100%

Obama .......................................... 1 ( 1/140) 361 45%

Gingrich ....................................... 2 302 38%

Other .......................................... 3 40 5%

Undecided ...................................... 4 89 11%

Refused ........................................ 5 8 1%

Q21. How satisfied are you with the Republican field of candidates?

N= 287 100%

Very satisfied ................................. 1 ( 1/141) 25 9%

Somewhat satisfied ............................. 2 142 49%

Somewhat dissatisfied .......................... 3 64 22%

Very dissatisfied .............................. 4 42 15%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 5 14 5%

{ROTATE Q22 & Q23}

Q22. Assume for a moment that Marco Rubio was selected as the vice

presidential candidate of the Republican Party in 2012. Knowing this, would

you vote for the Democratic ticket of Obama-Biden or the Republican ticket

which would include Rubio as Vice President?

N= 800 100%

Dem Ticket Obama-Biden ......................... 1 ( 1/142) 324 41%

Rep Ticket Nominee-Rubio ....................... 2 369 46%

Independent candidate (DO NOT READ) ............ 3 13 2%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4 94 12%

Q23. Assume for a moment that Hillary Clinton was selected as the vice

presidential candidate of the Democratic Party in 2012-instead of Joe Biden.

Knowing this, would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Obama-Clinton or for

the Republican ticket?

N= 800 100%

Dem Ticket Obama-Clinton ....................... 1 ( 1/143) 402 50%

Rep Ticket ..................................... 2 330 41%

Independent candidate (DO NOT READ) ............ 3 17 2%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4 51 6%

Q24. Now, if the 2012 general election for president were held today, would yo

u vote for a Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton or the Repu

blican ticket with Marco Rubio as Vice President?

N= 800 100%

Dem Ticket Obama-Clinton ....................... 1 ( 1/144) 365 46%

Rep Ticket Nominee-Rubio ....................... 2 345 43%

Independent candidate (DO NOT READ) ............ 3 13 2%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4 77 10%

Q25. Thinking about how you feel going into the 2012 Presidential election,

which of the following statements comes closest to how you feel?

N= 800 100%

I will vote democratic no matter what .......... 1 ( 1/145) 235 29%

I will vote republican no matter what .......... 2 233 29%

I will vote democratic only if the economy gets a 3 104 13%

lot better

I will vote republican only if the economy gets a 4 41 5%

lot worse

Undecided ...................................... 5 187 23%

Q26. Despite who you're personally voting for, who do you expect the next

president will be - Barack Obama or one of the Republican candidates?

N= 800 100%

Barack Obama ................................... 01 ( 1/146) 308 39%

Michele Bachmann ............................... 02 2 0%

Herman Cain .................................... 03 69 9%

Newt Gingrich .................................. 04 35 4%

Jon Huntsman ................................... 05 2 0%

Gary Johnson ................................... 06 0 0%

Fred Karger .................................... 07 0 0%

Ron Paul ....................................... 09 2 0%

Rick Perry ..................................... 10 38 5%

Buddy Roemer ................................... 11 0 0%

Mitt Romney .................................... 12 116 15%

Rick Santorum .................................. 13 0 0%

Other (DO NOT READ) ............................ 14 17 2%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 15 211 26%

Q27. Marco Rubio's Senate website says his parents came to America following

Fidel Castro's 1959 takeover. But media reports last week revealed they came

to the U.S. three years earlier, before Castro was in Cuba. Marco Rubio says

his parents were exiled from Cuba in 1961 when they tried to return. Do you

think Marco Rubio exaggerated his story or did he tell the truth?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q27A. Do you think the Republicans are intentionally stalling efforts to

jumpstart the economy to insure that Barack Obama is not re-elected?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q27B. During these difficult economic times would you be in favor of stopping

monetary assistance to other countries until the United States can pay its own

bills?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q27C. Would you be in favor of a flat tax to replace the current federal tax

rate?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q28. Last November, in Florida's election for Governor for whom did you vote:

Republican Rick Scott, Democrat Alex Sink, Independence Party Candidate Peter

Allen, Independent Michael Arth, Independent Farid Khavari, Independent C.C.

Reed, or Independent Daniel Imperato {Im-per-AH-toe}, or did you not vote?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q29. Would you characterize Governor Rick Scott's first year on the job as

positive and productive, negative and damaging or as having little impact?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q30. If you had the chance to vote again today would you vote for current

Governor Republican Rick Scott, his former opponent Democrat Alex Sink, or

someone else?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q31. Is Governor Rick Scott staying true to his campaign promises?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q32. Do you agree with how Governor Rick Scott is governing the state?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

Q33. What do you think is the most important issue facing the country right

now?

N= 800 100%

Reducing the national debt ..................... 01 ( 1/158) 115 14%

Taxes .......................................... 02 20 3%

Jobs and the economy ........................... 03 406 51%

Schools and education .......................... 04 32 4%

Health care .................................... 05 33 4%

Military involvement in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya 06 29 4%

Energy independence ............................ 07 26 3%

Illegal immigration ............................ 08 32 4%

Abortion policy ................................ 09 7 1%

Same-sex marriage .............................. 10 6 1%

Civil liberties ................................ 11 12 2%

Terrorism and National Security ................ 12 21 3%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 13 61 8%

Q34. What do you think is the second most important issue facing the country

right now?

N= 739 100%

Reducing the national debt ..................... 01 ( 1/160) 124 17%

Taxes .......................................... 02 57 8%

Jobs and the economy ........................... 03 154 21%

Schools and education .......................... 04 76 10%

Health care .................................... 05 86 12%

Military involvement in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya 06 49 7%

Energy independence ............................ 07 13 2%

Illegal immigration ............................ 08 42 6%

Abortion policy ................................ 09 4 1%

Same-sex marriage .............................. 10 8 1%

Civil liberties ................................ 11 8 1%

Terrorism and National Security ................ 12 30 4%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 13 88 12%

Q35. Are your values similar to the values of the Tea Party?

N= 800 100%

Yes ............................................ 1 ( 1/162) 235 29%

No ............................................. 2 407 51%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3 148 19%

Refused (DO NOT READ) .......................... 4 10 1%

Q36. Would you describe yourself as conservative, moderate or liberal?

N= 800 100%

Conservative ................................... 1 ( 1/163) 351 44%

Moderate ....................................... 2 288 36%

Liberal ........................................ 3 107 13%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4 54 7%

DEMO

THE FINAL TWO QUESTIONS WILL HELP US CLASSIFY YOUR ANSWERS WITH OTHERS TAKING

THE SURVEY

N= 800 100%

Continue ....................................... 1 ( 1/164) 800 100%

Q38. Are there any members of your household who are union members

N= 800 100%

Yes ............................................ 1 ( 1/165) 118 15%

No ............................................. 2 670 84%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3 12 2%

Q39. Do you currently have children in the school system?

N= 800 100%

Yes ............................................ 1 ( 1/166) 165 21%

No ............................................. 2 623 78%

Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3 12 2%