Ohio 2008 Numbers
Quinnipiac has new 2008 numbers out in Ohio. On balance they are good news for Senator Clinton.
Democratic Field
Clinton 38%
Obama 13%
Edwards 11%
Gore 6%
Biden 2%
Kucinich 2%
Richardson 1%
Dodd 0%
Republican Field
Giuliani 30%
McCain 22%
Gingrich 11%
Romney 4%
6 Candidates at 1% (Brownback, Thompson, Hagel, Huckabee, Pataki, Tancredo)
General Election
Clinton 46%
Giuliani 43%
Clinton 46%
McCain 42%
Clinton 52%
Romney 31%
Edwards 44%
McCain 41%
McCain 41%
Obama 38%
Ohio is very likely to be the critical swing state again in 2008 and given the relative stasis in the electoral map it is hard to see how Democrats get 270 electoral votes without carrying Ohio.
Clinton's 25-point lead in the Democratic field is impressive as well as her leads on both McCain and Giuliani in the head-to-head numbers. A silver lining for Republicans is I suspect the GOP "brand" is still in the toilet in Ohio after the '06 debacles in the Governor and Senate races. As we get further away from 2006 that should begin to improve and help the Republican nominee's polling numbers.
I spoke with Quinnipiac's Peter Brown yesterday who pointed out that Hillary is drawing 35% and 38% of the "White Born Again Evangelicals" against Giuliani and McCain. On the surface that seems high and probably speaks to the disillusionment with the Republican party in Ohio, but it may be a small warning sign for Republicans that perhaps the party's nominee can't rely on overwhelming evangelical support in the same way George W. Bush has, especially if the GOP nominee is McCain or Giuliani.

