SurveyUSA has a new poll out tonight in Virginia that shows Allen's 19pt lead in their last poll dwindling to only 3pts in what can only be described as post Macaca fallout. This is on the back of a Rasmussen poll last week that showed a 5 pt race and tightening towards Webb. My position had been that Allen's remarks had done more damage to his '08 presidential run than his Senate reelection, but these polls certainly call that analysis in question.

Let's just say that I remain skeptical that this race has suddenly become a 3-5 point race because of the Macaca incident 10 days ago. The SurveyUSA poll indicates a 40 point swing among younger voters toward Webb which the size of in some ways defies common sense. Ten, fifteen, even twenty points sure, but a 40-point swing I don't buy. There is more analysis on the RCP Virginia Senate Page, but I would caution against drawing sweeping conclusions from these two polls.