Contra the Keystone poll from a few days ago showing the race a dead heat, Quinnipiac is out this morning with a new poll giving Governor Ed Rendell a 12-point lead over Lynn Swann, 48% to 36%. Rendell scores a 51% job approval and a 49% reelect in the poll. 

The bad news for Rendell: 51% of voters think he broke his pledge on lowering property taxes in his first term. That's a very potent issue working against him. The bad news for Swann: 40% of voters (including 32% of Republicans and 41% of Independents) say he doesn't have the "right kind of experience" to be Governor.  The good news for Swann is that he still has a long time and a lot of opportunity to change those numbers in his favor.