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Stuart Rothenberg
Stuart Rothenberg is the editor of the The Rothenberg Political Report, and a regular columnist for Roll Call Newspaper.Subscribe to Stuart Rothenberg RSS Article Feed.
Recent Articles
- The Most Vulnerable Senator Up for Re-Election in 2010? - April 7, 2009
- Coverage of Dodd's special treatment from lender Countrywide Financial - and his designation as a "friend of Angelo" - has blanketed local media, severely damaging...
- New York's 20th: It Is a Little Like Kissing Your Sister - April 3, 2009
- Both parties' Congressional campaign committees and the Democratic National Committee sent out press releases moments after all the votes were counted Tuesday night. The...
- For North Dakota's Kent Conrad, the Time Is Now - March 31, 2009
- But it's not just his chairmanship that makes North Dakota's senior Senator a key player. It's that Conrad begins with well-earned credibility as one of the Senate's...
- Is the New York Race A Referendum on the Candidates or Politics? - March 27, 2009
- But even some Republicans acknowledge that Tedisco, the State Assembly Minority Leader, is, as one put it, like "the old dog that can't learn new tricks." Democrats have...
- Polls, Press Releases And Partisanship: Let the Reader Beware - March 24, 2009
- But if you only read about the NPR poll on the Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Web site, you would have a seriously distorted view of the results of the survey. "Latest NPR...
- Should Democrats Worry About Obama Disconnect in 2010? - March 20, 2009
- Their fear is that even if Obama remains personally popular, voters will not look kindly on their party's candidates for Congress and governor if the economy remains...
- National Mood Isn't Always Visible On the Ground - March 17, 2009
- The special election in New York's 20th district has become a barnburner, with Republican Jim Tedisco holding only the slightest (and statistically insignificant)...
- Savvy Players Are Big Factor in Current Success of Democrats - March 13, 2009
- Instead, there is one other Democratic advantage - and Republican shortcoming - that can't be ignored: People. Democrats simply have smarter, tougher, more cold-blooded...
- One Thing Obama Didn't Change Is the Same Old Rhetoric - March 10, 2009
- Indeed, more than 25 years ago, on Oct. 11, 1983, the Washington Post editorialized: "'Special interests' has become a central issue in the contest for the Democratic...
- Have Republicans Found Their Floor in The House With 178? - March 3, 2009
- Don't bet on it. National surveys continue to show that the damage to the Republican brand remains very real, and it will likely take the party more than a few months to...
- If This Is Bank Nationalization, It's Not What Marx Meant - February 27, 2009
- Socialism involves an economic system defined by state ownership of the means of production, not a brief government investment in a failing bank with the full intention...
- Are Republicans Ready To Mount a Comeback In the Northeast? - February 24, 2009
- Democrats also hold nine of the region's 12 Senate seats and hope to pick up a 10th in New Hampshire next year. In the Mid-Atlantic, things aren't much better for...
- Optimism About Obama Is the Only Optimism Out There - February 17, 2009
- A Feb. 7-8 CNN/Opinion Research survey found Americans see the president as a strong leader who so far has done a good job handling foreign policy, policies on terrorism...
- First Impressions of The '10 Candidates Making the Rounds - February 13, 2009
- My first meeting of the year (and the cycle) was with Kinzinger, and to be totally honest, I was dreading it. Another Iraq War veteran running for Congress? Oh, brother....
- This Can't Be What Obama, Pelosi and Reid Expected - February 9, 2009
- However, Democrats shouldn't overreact to their current problems, which range from the party's handling of the economic stimulus bill to the tax problems of some of the...
- Did GOP Get Rolled in the Granite Senate? - February 6, 2009
- If Sen.-designee Bonnie Newman becomes the Democrats' 60th vote to bring the Employee Free Choice Act to the floor (assuming it ever gets that far) or to confirm a judge...
- House GOP Finds the Right Economic Stimulus Strategy - February 2, 2009
- Nice talking points, but the reality is quite different.The argument that Republicans will "pay a price" for opposing the bill is entirely speculative. Given that nobody...
- On Second Thought, Let's Make That Sen. Gillibrand - January 31, 2009
- Yes, early on Gillibrand showed unusual fundraising strength and potential, and yes, she had good political bloodlines and contacts. But the district that she was...
- 2010 Senate Races: Another Tough Cycle For the Republicans - January 27, 2009
- Democrats begin with at least half a dozen good opportunities, depending on candidate recruitment and how President Barack Obama performs over the next two years.While...
- RNC Race Too Close to Call as Election Approaches - January 23, 2009
- National committee members are an insular group, greatly valuing their experiences on the national committee and doubting the ability of anyone who has not been part of...
- Gubernatorial Race Will Show if Jersey GOP Has a Pulse - January 16, 2009
- In 2006, state Sen. Tom Kean Jr. ran a spirited but underfunded Senate campaign, losing by 9 points to Democrat Bob Menendez. And Kean's 44.3 percent statewide was a...
- Change That at Least Some People Can Believe In - January 8, 2009
- Republicans are unhappy with the size of the stimulus package, while liberals are worried that his foreign policy advisers are too conservative. Gays are angry that he's...
- It May Not Be the Economy, Stupid, in the End - January 7, 2009
- George W. Bush, after all, was initially elected to cut taxes, to turn the page on Bill Clinton's personal failings and to reverse the country's cultural drift to the...
- Can Anyone Bring America Together in an Era of Division? - December 2, 2008
- Just go to the Web or turn on a cable TV news network, and you'll see and hear the kind of coarse, downright mean characterizations of politicians that have made...
- Is 2008 a Realigning Election? Numbers Offer Some Clues - November 11, 2008
- Moreover, in the past two elections, Democrats gained at least a dozen Senate seats and at least 50 House seats, taking total control of Congress. At the state level,...
- Republicans: 1st Day of the Rest of Your Lives - RealClearPolitics - November 6, 2008
- Republicans, This Is the First Day of the Rest of Your Lives - November 6, 2008
- I know that this will happen because I've seen it before: each time a party has suffered big losses, frustration boils over. It happened after the 1980, 1984, 1988, 1992...
- The Fat Lady Sings and Democrats Are Preparing to Rejoice - November 4, 2008
- Polling for the past few weeks has shown voters increasingly comfortable with the Illinois Democrat, giving him better and better reviews on a number of issues and...
- Did the NRCC Make the Right Picks? - October 29, 2008
- The five Democratic seats targeted by the NRCC - Paul Kanjorski's (Pa.), Nick Lampson's (Texas), Carol Shea-Porter's (N.H.), Steve Kagen's (Wis.) and retiring Rep. Bud...
- It's Getting Bleaker for McCain, Worse for Hill Republicans - October 23, 2008
- Republicans, conservatives and some in the media (who don't want the competitive race story to end) hang their hopes onto a poll here or there that shows a tight race....
- Swing Districts Will Show What Election Looks Like - October 15, 2008
- But now, gains of that magnitude would be a distinct disappointment for rank-and-file Democrats, and it would be GOP strategists who would heave a huge sigh of relief at...
- Big Five States: Tough and Getting Tougher for McCain - October 9, 2008
- Winning those 29 states would give McCain 274 electoral votes, four more than he needs to win the presidency. Losing even one of those 29 states with five or more...
- For Republicans, Another Blood Bath Looms on Horizon - October 8, 2008
- McCain still has a month to change the focus of the race, and Obama may have peaked too soon. But public concern about the economy isn't likely to disappear over the...
- Plenty of Questions Still Remain in This Bifurcated Election - September 29, 2008
- Two polls released the same day by major news-gathering organizations painted very different pictures of the state of the presidential contest. A Washington Post/ABC...
- When Campaigns Lie, What Should the Voters Do? - September 25, 2008
- So when I see an ad, the first thing I think about is how it might be a distortion. McCain wants the war in Iraq to last at least 100 years? Obama wants to teach sex ed...
- Will Schumer Get Democrats to 60 Seats This Cycle? - September 23, 2008
- One other GOP incumbent, Oregon Sen. Gordon Smith, appears to be in a difficult race with challenger Jeff Merkley (D), based both on some limited polling and Smith's...
- What's the Top Electoral College State This Year? - September 19, 2008
- If John McCain carries Colorado in November, I'd expect him to hold onto all of George W. Bush's 2000 states, with the exception of New Hampshire. If he does that, and...
- Now It's the DCCC That Is Swimming Against the Tide - September 15, 2008
- Given that, it certainly appears that the DCCC is running a risk by promoting some candidates who have little or no chance to win in the fall, and by lumping together...
- For Obama, McCain, Standing Pat May Be The Wrong Approach - September 8, 2008
- While voters now tell pollsters that the economy is the top issue, Palin and former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani spent much of their time Wednesday night in St. Paul,...
- For GOP Delegates, Sarah Palin on the Ticket Is a No-Brainer - September 3, 2008
- "She connects with people. She's the mom next door," said the Republican, who argued that Palin's greatest strength is getting presumptive GOP presidential nominee Sen....