31.29	0.032
	IBD/TIPP POLL
	LIKELY VOTERS TRACKING
Q:  If the 2008 election for United States President were held today and the following were candidates for whom would you vote? Would you say Democrat Barack Obama, Republican John McCain? (Candidates rotated)
		DAY 3 (OCT 15 RELEASE)				DAY 2 (OCT 14 RELEASE)				DAY 1 (OCT 13 RELEASE)
	Polling Period	10/9 to 10/14				10/7 to 10/13				10/6 to 10/12
	Margin of Error	+/- 3.5-percentage points				+/- 3.5-percentage points				+/- 3.5-percentage points
	Sample Size	872 Likely Voters				884 Likely Voters				825 Likely Voters
		Obama	McCain	Not sure		Obama	McCain	Not sure		Obama	McCain	Not sure
Overall	Two Man Race	45%	42%	13%		45%	42%	13%		45%	43%	13%
Region	Northeast	46%	35%	19%		52%	31%	17%		53%	31%	16%
	Midwest	42%	46%	12%		42%	45%	13%		43%	44%	14%
	South	44%	45%	11%		41%	47%	12%		41%	48%	11%
	West	51%	38%	11%		48%	40%	12%		47%	43%	10%
Area Type	Urban	52%	35%	13%		52%	36%	12%		51%	35%	14%
	Suburban	44%	44%	12%		43%	42%	15%		43%	44%	13%
	Rural	35%	51%	14%		34%	52%	14%		34%	57%	10%
Age	18-24	65%	32%	3%		74%	21%	5%		66%	26%	7%
	25-44	52%	40%	8%		47%	42%	11%		46%	41%	13%
	45-64	43%	45%	12%		45%	42%	13%		44%	44%	12%
	65+	32%	45%	23%		31%	48%	21%		36%	48%	16%
Gender	Male	39%	50%	12%		40%	48%	12%		41%	48%	11%
	Female	51%	35%	14%		49%	37%	14%		48%	38%	14%
Parental Status	Parents	47%	41%	12%		46%	41%	13%		43%	42%	15%
	Non-Parents	44%	43%	13%		45%	42%	13%		45%	43%	11%
Race	White	39%	49%	12%		39%	48%	12%		40%	49%	11%
	Black/Hispanic	74%	11%	14%		73%	14%	13%		73%	12%	15%
Income	Under 30K	51%	33%	17%		52%	28%	19%		52%	30%	18%
	30K-50K	50%	38%	11%		49%	38%	13%		44%	42%	13%
	50-75K	46%	44%	10%		44%	45%	11%		40%	48%	12%
	75K+	48%	44%	8%		45%	46%	9%		49%	43%	8%
Party	Democrats	85%	7%	8%		85%	7%	8%		86%	7%	7%
	Republicans	5%	87%	7%		4%	89%	7%		5%	88%	7%
	Ind./Other	38%	38%	24%		39%	36%	25%		39%	37%	25%
Investor	Yes	45%	45%	11%		42%	46%	12%		41%	48%	10%
	No	49%	37%	15%		50%	35%	16%		52%	34%	15%
White	White men	34%	56%	10%		35%	54%	11%		35%	55%	10%
	White women	44%	43%	13%		43%	43%	14%		43%	44%	13%
Black/Hisp	Black	81%	3%	16%		83%	4%	12%		86%	3%	11%
	Hispanic	59%	29%	12%		48%	37%	15%		45%	32%	23%
Women	Single women	62%	25%	14%		58%	27%	15%		59%	29%	13%
	Married women	44%	43%	13%		44%	42%	14%		43%	42%	15%
Education	High School	46%	36%	18%		45%	36%	19%		45%	37%	18%
	Some College	40%	50%	10%		44%	45%	12%		43%	44%	14%
	College Degree or more	47%	42%	11%		45%	44%	11%		45%	45%	9%
Ideology	Conservative	20%	68%	12%		20%	67%	13%		20%	69%	11%
	Moderate	61%	26%	13%		60%	26%	14%		60%	25%	15%
	Liberal	85%	7%	8%		81%	9%	10%		81%	9%	11%
HH Description	Upper/Upper Middle	45%	45%	10%		39%	46%	15%		40%	47%	13%
	Middle	43%	45%	12%		45%	43%	12%		46%	42%	12%
	Working	57%	33%	10%		52%	37%	11%		46%	41%	13%
	Lower	53%	14%	34%		48%	29%	23%		44%	38%	18%
Religion	Protestant	36%	53%	11%		33%	56%	11%		35%	55%	10%
	Catholic	46%	43%	10%		45%	42%	13%		42%	43%	15%
	Other Christian	41%	46%	13%		42%	46%	12%		41%	50%	9%
	Jewish	78%	9%	13%		70%	12%	19%		74%	6%	20%
	Other	71%	20%	9%		60%	28%	11%		58%	28%	14%
	None	61%	22%	16%		63%	20%	17%		64%	20%	15%
Union Household	Yes	54%	41%	5%		57%	37%	6%		60%	32%	8%
	No	44%	42%	14%		43%	43%	15%		42%	45%	13%
Displays Flag	Yes	36%	50%	14%		34%	51%	15%		34%	51%	14%
	No	65%	25%	10%		64%	25%	10%		65%	26%	9%