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Stuart Rothenberg
Stuart Rothenberg is the editor of the The Rothenberg Political Report, and a regular columnist for Roll Call Newspaper.Subscribe to Stuart Rothenberg RSS Article Feed.
Recent Articles
- The Nation's Focus is on Obama, Not Palin - November 19, 2009
- If you are planning on reading a column about former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin's presidential prospects, you will be deeply disappointed. I don't know whether Palin will...
- Election Results Show How the Context Has Changed - November 16, 2009
- The discussion about whether the election results earlier this month reflected local factors or constituted a referendum on President Barack Obama creates a false...
- Learning the Right Lessons From Tuesday's Results - November 9, 2009
- Everyone and his brother has opinions about what happened on Tuesday, but not all assessments are equally correct, just as not all of the descriptions of the contests,...
- After Hoffman, Rubio Is Likely Conservatives' Next Challenge - November 6, 2009
- The defeat of Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman in New York's 23rd district isn't likely to change conservatives' plans to turn their attention quickly to...
- FL-8: A Lesson in How Not to Win Re-Election - November 3, 2009
- After almost 30 years doing this, I shouldn't be surprised by anything Members of Congress do. But even I was taken aback when Rep. Alan Grayson (D-Fla.) referred to an...
- The Outlook for the 2009 Elections - October 29, 2009
- We are still a few days away from Election Day, but party strategists, operatives and local activists are already blaming their own nominees for their defeats. The...
- A Road Well-Traveled in Drive to Hold Power: Destroy the Opposition - October 27, 2009
- I had to chuckle when I read reports that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada is preparing to run a decidedly negative campaign this year, with an unnamed...
- Will the Buckeye State Swing Back to the GOP in 2010? - October 23, 2009
- Get out your map and draw a big fat bull's-eye on Ohio. The state looks to be a test of whether the GOP can bounce back strongly after two terrible election cycles, and...
- Landscape Shift Means Trouble for House Democrats - October 20, 2009
- Already prepared to deal with challenging midterm turnout dynamics that favor the GOP, national Democratic strategists now find themselves looking at higher unemployment...
- New Jersey Numbers: Is the Gubernatorial Race a Tossup? - October 16, 2009
- Anyone in his right mind would now have to rate next month's gubernatorial election in New Jersey as a tossup. After all, virtually every poll shows the race within the...
- Don't Believe the Corzine Surge Just Yet - October 3, 2009
- The gubernatorial race in New Jersey has not changed fundamentally recently, no matter what you may read in poorly produced Associated Press stories distributed by the...
- All Signs Point to Another Top-Notch Election Cycle in 2010 - September 13, 2009
- I began this year doubtful that we'd see much excitement in the 2010 elections. I'm quickly changing my tune. After two big elections, Democrats didn't have many...
- It's Time for All to Recharge Their Batteries - August 7, 2009
- If a picture is worth a thousand words, then the photograph on the cover of this newspaper's July 28 edition is worth an entire library. The photo, showing Speaker Nancy...
- Sizing Up the 2010 Senate Contests - August 4, 2009
- Six months ago, the 2010 Senate battlefield looked relatively bare, with a few obvious skirmishes mostly in states with GOP incumbents. Three months later, the outlook...
- Four Months To Learn to Say 'Gov. Chris Christie' - July 31, 2009
- The raid last week in New Jersey that resulted in the arrest of 44 people, including a number of officeholders, probably is the straw that breaks Democratic Gov. Jon...
- History and the Expectations Game for the House in 2010 - July 24, 2009
- One of the jobs of nonpartisan analysts is to keep the parties honest. Partisans have a tendency to talk themselves into certain opinions, and there are enough data out...
- Can Running Against Bush Work in 2010? - July 21, 2009
- Democrats ran against Herbert Hoover for decades. Republicans ran against Jimmy Carter for years. Can Democrats make 2010 another referendum on George W. Bush, or at...
- Educating America About a Judge and Other Summer Follies - July 17, 2009
- In a stunning statement Monday sure to affect her confirmation prospects, Supreme Court nominee Sonia Sotomayor pledged her "fidelity to the law." That must have been...
- Can Democrats Get Re-Elected by Voting Against Obama? - July 10, 2009
- The extent of Democratic losses in next year's midterm elections will rest, in part, on the ability of Democrats elected in conservative or Republican districts over the...
- N.C. Controversy Reveals Perils of Reporting on Polls - June 30, 2009
- One of the growing problems with political reporting is the explosion of polls and the tendency - particularly among local TV reporters and editors, cable TV hosts and...
- Georgia's Roy Barnes Hopes for a Successful Second Act - June 26, 2009
- The last time I saw Roy Barnes was the day before Election Day in 2002. The Democrat was hobnobbing with CNN executives, reporters and producers in a hip Atlanta...
- Just What is Marco Rubio Up To? - June 24, 2009
- The GOP field in the 2010 Florida Senate race was supposed to clear quickly when Gov. Charlie Crist (R) announced his bid. But someone forget to tell former state...
- For Connecticut's Dodd, the News Is Decidedly Mixed - June 19, 2009
- Since my April 6 column ("The Most Vulnerable Senator Up for Re-Election in 2010?"), Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) has had his ups and his downs. His supporters happily...
- Dodd's Tenuous Position for Reelection - Roll Call - June 19, 2009
- Virginia Democrats Play It Smart by Nominating Deeds - June 12, 2009
- The Virginia gubernatorial race just got a whole lot tougher for Republican nominee Bob McDonnell. Instead of nominating a liberal from Northern Virginia (former state...
- It's Time to Change The Tone of Our 'Politics' Coverage - June 9, 2009
- In May, I made an appearance on "Hardball with Chris Matthews," one of MSNBC's political shows. The segment's main focus was the current state of the Republican...
- Democrats Face Turnout Challenges in Key Districts in 2010 - June 5, 2009
- Democratic political strategists know that for all of their party's advantages next year, they'll almost certainly have significant turnout issues in more than a...
- Can Steele End the Debate Over Who Is a Republican? - June 2, 2009
- Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele's comments last month to RNC state chairmen calling for the party to turn the corner "on regret, recrimination,...
- Handicapping Pa.: Does Toomey Have A Chance to Win? - May 27, 2009
- The Guest Observer column in this newspaper's May 18 edition, written by Brian Wild, who worked as chief of staff to then-Rep. Pat Toomey (R), makes some interesting...
- For Democrats, a Political Pothole That Could've Been Avoided - May 21, 2009
- Republicans have found the soft underbelly of the administration of President Barack Obama, and her name is Nancy Pelosi. The Speaker performed admirably during her...
- With All the Bad News, How Can the NRCC Recruit Candidates? - May 19, 2009
- Over the past few weeks, a handful of potentially strong Republican challengers have jumped into House races. Sid Leiken in Oregon, Frank Guinta in New Hampshire, Van...
- For Hill Republicans, An Opportunity to Rebrand Their Party - May 12, 2009
- Republicans have begun their "rebranding" campaign by holding a town hall in Northern Virginia. Those efforts surely are necessary, since the party's standing in polls...
- Off-Year Shenanigans: What's a Party Committee to Do? - May 8, 2009
- It's the off year for the House and Senate campaign committees, which means that most of the time is spent on matters like planning, fundraising and candidate...
- Anti-Establishment Candidates Come in All Shapes and Sizes - May 5, 2009
- Senate primaries in three states already look like classic battles featuring insurgent candidates preparing to take on the preferred choice of "the establishment." But...
- Specter Switch Could Send Ripples Far and Wide for Both Parties - May 1, 2009
- Pennsylvania Sen. Arlen Specter's party switch is one of those developments that both reflects the depth of the problems facing the GOP and could begin a new chapter for...
- For Obama, Deference Is Starting to Become a Troubling Habit - April 28, 2009
- It certainly looks as if President Barack Obama can't quite make up his mind on how to deal with calls within his party for a full-scale public investigation - with...
- April Madness: Can GOP Win Back the House in 2010? - April 24, 2009
- Cheerleading has its place, including on a high school or college basketball court. But not when it comes to political analysis. Over the past couple of weeks, at least...
- Media Cover Obama Like He's Ultimate A-List Celebrity - April 20, 2009
- For the national media, Barack Obama isn't merely the president of the United States. He's so much more than that. Obama is a celebrity, and he and his family are...
- The End of House GOP Retirement Woes? - Roll Call - April 16, 2009
- Have House GOP Retirement Woes Run Their Course? - April 16, 2009
- House retirements are running a bit ahead of schedule this cycle, at least compared with where they stood in 2005 and 2007. And if they even approach the same numbers as...